Mud & Hound Public Company (MUD) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TH · Market cap 969M THB
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated today
Share price +31.4% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 0.3900 THB – 1.19 THB · fair‑value band 0.6200 THB – 1.42 THB · the 0.9200 THB price screens above the 0.6200 THB fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.
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Mud & Hound Public Company (MUD) currently trades at 0.9200 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.6200 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 32.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Mud & Hound Public Company generated revenue of 2.3B THB at a net margin of -32.9%. Revenue declined 17.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -60.8%. Net debt stands at 2.1B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.6200 THB (bear case) to 1.42 THB (bull case); at 0.9200 THB, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 156% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -33%, MUD screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Mud & Hound Public Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the retail of food and beverages in Thailand and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Food and Beverage, and Garment. The Food and Beverage segment produces and distributes snacks and drinks, as well as operates restaurants. The Garment segment produces and distributes clothing and leather work products. It operates as an authorized franchisee for Au Bon Pain bakery café and Dunkin' Donuts; and owns brands, such as Greyhound Café, Greyhound Original, M Kitchen, Le Grand Véfour, and Another Hound Café. In addition, the company provides management services. The company was formerly known as Mudman Public Company Limited and changed its name to Mud & Hound Public Company Limited in June 2021. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand. Mud & Hound Public Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Sub Sri Thai Public Company Limited.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Mud & Hound Public Company reported revenue of 2.3B THB in FY2025 versus 2.2B THB in FY2021, a compound +1.8%/yr. Reported net income was −672M THB in FY2025.
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10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
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|---|---|---|---|
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| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $28.18 | $14.95 | -47% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $150.74 | $59.42 | -61% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$101.34 | C$60.84 | -40% |
| Restaurant Brands International Limited RSTRF | $77.57 | $43.31 | -44% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc D1RI34 | R$265.92 | R$41.43 | -84% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $42.88 | $41.58 | -3% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $170.46 | $101.50 | -40% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.