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MVV Energie AG (MVV1) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · DE · Market cap €2.0B

ME MVV Energie AG MVV1 · XETRA
Price€30.50
Fair Value€27.00
Upside-11.5%
Quality51/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 1.4% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
4.28% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 33/100
Evidence: Medium Range €25.51 – €35.10 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price +0.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 11% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from €25.51 (bear) to €35.10 (bull), base €27.00. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 51/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€31.74 €22.09 Fair Value €27.00 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €22.09 – €31.74 · fair‑value band €25.51 – €35.10 · the €30.50 price screens above the €27.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

MVV Energie AG (MVV1) currently trades at €30.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €27.00, implying the stock looks roughly 11.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, MVV Energie AG generated revenue of €5.7B at a net margin of 1.3%. Revenue grew 12.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.5%. Net debt stands at €1.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €25.51 (bear case) to €35.10 (bull case); at €30.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -11%, MVV1 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income €25.29 €25.56 €23.78 76
ROIC Compounder €13.95 €17.51 €20.47 72
Gordon GGM €9.71 €13.65 €17.28 70
All 15 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €12.85 €27.01 €34.21 54
PEG = 1.0 €4.05 €5.78 €7.52 46
EPV €13.95 €17.51 €20.47 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €9.71 €13.65 €17.28 70
DDM Multi-Stage €9.71 €13.11 €16.50 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €25.51 €34.01 €42.52 63
P/S Multiple €24.09 €32.12 €40.15 58
P/B Multiple €24.09 €32.12 €40.15 55
EV/EBIT €37.86 €54.52 €71.18 53
EV/EBITDA €46.87 €66.54 €86.21 54
EV/Revenue €28.30 €45.63 €62.96 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €17.12 €22.94 €34.23 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income €25.29 €25.56 €23.78 76
ROIC Compounder €13.95 €17.51 €20.47 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €18.90 €27.00 €35.10 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (€34.01) versus Dividend Discount (€13.11). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €5.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.7%
Net margin 1.3%
Return on equity 5.5%
Free cash flow −€4.1M FY2025
P/E ratio 26.8
More key figures
Operating margin 7.1%
EPS (TTM) €1.13
Dividend yield 4.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -54.6%
Net debt €1.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 56
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

MVV Energie AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides electricity, heat, gas, water, and waste treatment and disposal products primarily in Germany. It operates through four segments: Customer Solutions, New Energies, Generation and Infrastructure, and Other Activities.

Full company description

MVV Energie AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides electricity, heat, gas, water, and waste treatment and disposal products primarily in Germany. It operates through four segments: Customer Solutions, New Energies, Generation and Infrastructure, and Other Activities. The Customer Solutions segment engages in the energy and water retail and wholesale, direct marketing of renewable energy, commodities, and service and trading businesses. This segment also offers services to third-party customers. The New Energies segment operates waste, biomass power, biomethane, and biogas plants; and photovoltaics systems and wind turbines. This segment also engages in the national and international project development, and operation and management of windfarms and solar parks. The Generation and Infrastructure segment engages in the conventional energies activities; and operates electricity, district heating, gas, and water grid facilities with a total length of approximately 19,000 kilometers. The Other Activities segment provides metering, billing, and information technology services. It serves industrial, commercial and private household customers. The company was incorporated in 1974 and is based in Mannheim, Germany. MVV Energie AG operates as a subsidiary of MV Mannheimer Verkehr GmbH.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

MVV Energie AG reported revenue of €5.8B in FY2025 versus €4.2B in FY2021, a compound +8.2%/yr. Reported net income was €125M in FY2025, compounding −11.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 37/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€5.8B
Latest YoY
−8.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+11.0%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y)
+5.5%
Revenue +8.2%/yr
FY21 €4.2B
FY22 €5.9B
FY23 €6.6B
FY24 €6.3B
FY25 €5.8B
Net income −11.0%/yr
FY21 €199M
FY22 −€292M
FY23 €1.0B
FY24 €183M
FY25 €125M

MVV1 screens 11% overvalued. Compare with Iberdrola, S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MVV Energie AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MVV1

Peer Group

Utilities - Diversified · 51 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Above median
Fair Value upside −12% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Below median
Revenue growth -9% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.58× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 26.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.01× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.41× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 6.7× · Cheaper than median
PEG 5.85× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 18 · sector 14
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 22 · sector 33
HEALTH 71 · sector 49
DIVIDEND 86 · sector 80

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Iberdrola, S.A IBE €21.25 €9.34 -56%
Enel SpA ENEL €10.28 €5.83 -43%
Engie SA 1ENGI €26.59 €17.39 -35%
Sempra SRE $93.15 $47.77 -49%
E.ON SE EOAN €19.34 €11.71 -39%
RWE Aktiengesellschaft generates and 1RWE €56.52 €29.64 -48%
ACWA Power Company 2082 198.20 SAR 25.38 SAR -87%
Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. BIPUN C$55.05 C$17.66 -68%
EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG EBK €69.00 €21.11 -69%
EDP, S.A EDP €4.41 €3.81 -14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is MVV Energie AG (MVV1) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €27.00 versus a price of €30.50, about −11% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MVV1?
Our model-based fair value for MVV Energie AG is €27.00 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €30.50.
What is the quality score of MVV1?
MVV Energie AG has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
MVV Energie AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €5.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MVV1?
The net profit margin of MVV Energie AG is about 1.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does MVV Energie AG pay a dividend?
MVV Energie AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.23% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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