MVV Energie AG (MVV1) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of MVV Energie AG stock €26.88, price €30.20, that is 11.0% below the price, quality 51 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 14 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €22.92 – €31.74 · fair‑value band €18.81 – €30.43 · the €30.20 price screens above the €26.88 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 9, 2026.
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MVV Energie AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides electricity, heat, gas, water, and waste treatment and disposal products primarily in Germany. It operates through four segments: Customer Solutions, New Energies, Generation and Infrastructure, and Other Activities.
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The Customer Solutions segment engages in the energy and water retail and wholesale, direct marketing of renewable energy, commodities, and service and trading businesses. This segment also offers services to third-party customers.
The New Energies segment operates waste, biomass power, biomethane, and biogas plants; and photovoltaics systems and wind turbines. This segment also engages in the national and international project development, and operation and management of windfarms and solar parks.
The Generation and Infrastructure segment engages in the conventional energies activities; and operates electricity, district heating, gas, and water grid facilities with a total length of approximately 19,000 kilometers.
The Other Activities segment provides metering, billing, and information technology services. It serves industrial, commercial and private household customers. The company was incorporated in 1974 and is based in Mannheim, Germany.
MVV Energie AG operates as a subsidiary of MV Mannheimer Verkehr GmbH.
Stock analysis
MVV Energie AG (MVV1) currently trades at €30.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €26.88, 11% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €33.46 per share, and 5 of the 14 models we run sit above the €30.20 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €12.19, and 9 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €18.81 (bear) to €30.43 (bull), the price of €30.20 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2007: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2007.
MVV Energie AG reported revenue of €5.8B in FY2025 versus €4.2B in FY2021, a compound +8.2%/yr. Reported net income was €125M in FY2025, compounding −11.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €2.0B Mid · P/E ratio 46.5 · P/S ratio 0.55 · EPS (TTM) €0.6500 · Dividend yield 4.3% · Net margin 0.8% · Return on equity 4.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.8% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at −11%, MVV1 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€18.81Fair Value €26.88Bull€30.43
Price €30.20 · Downside -11.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2007: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2007.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.4% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+10.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.3%
Per share before 2007divided by the spin-off factor 1.0383
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5.8% vs 3.0%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 5%
AI conclusion: Diversified utility operations offer regulated stability as the main strength, yet thin evidence of a durable moat and negative free cash flow remain the central weakness.
Main risk: Missing new funding tools block economic rollout of carbon capture at biomass plants and would delay the climate-positive target.
MVV is advancing carbon capture at its biomass plants, viewing the technology as technically ready for large-scale use. Still, the company stresses that without new funding tools, economic rollout remains out of reach even as it pushes back its climate-positive target. Does its diversified utility setup help absorb these transition hurdles, or does reliance on external support slow the shift?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Diversified · 49 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Above median
Fair Value upside−11.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)4.1% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets2.8% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)1.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)1.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−5.7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)4.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.58× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MVV Energie AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MVV1
Frequently asked questions
Is MVV Energie AG (MVV1) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €26.88 versus a price of €30.20, about 11% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MVV1?
Our model-based fair value for MVV Energie AG is €26.88 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €30.20.
What is the quality score of MVV1?
MVV Energie AG has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €26.88 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario €18.81, optimistic scenario €30.43. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the MVV Energie AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €26.88, about 11% lower versus a price of €30.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €18.81, optimistic scenario €30.43. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
MVV Energie AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €5.4B (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
Does MVV Energie AG pay a dividend?
MVV Energie AG currently shows a dividend yield of 4.30% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 9, 2026).
How much is the dividend of MVV Energie AG (MVV1) and when is the ex-dividend date?
MVV Energie AG pays a dividend of €1.30 per share a year, a dividend yield of 4.3%. The last ex-dividend date was Mar 16, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2000. The payout ratio is 200% of earnings. Our assessment: Pays more than it earns. The company pays out more in dividends than it earns, and free cash flow clearly does not cover the dividend either. It may need to be cut unless profits recover.
What is the intrinsic value of MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For MVV Energie AG it is €26.88 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of €30.20. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is MVV Energie AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, MVV1 trades above its calculated fair value: price €30.20, fair value €26.88, a gap of about −11% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MVV1?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€30.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€26.88). For MVV Energie AG the two are €3.32 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is MVV Energie AG worth?
The market values MVV Energie AG at about €2.0B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is €30.20; our models calculate a fair value of €26.88 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MVV1?
Our models span a range for MVV Energie AG: cautious scenario €18.81, base €26.88, optimistic €30.43 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price €30.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MVV1?
MVV Energie AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 46.5 (as of Nov 9, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €26.88 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 12.4. Other multiples: PEG 5.9, P/B 0.9, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 9.4.
What is the PEG ratio of MVV1?
The PEG ratio of MVV Energie AG is 5.85 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 9, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
Balance-sheet figures for MVV Energie AG (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity 4.1%, debt of 0.58 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MVV1 from its 52-week high?
MVV Energie AG trades at €30.20, about 4% below its 52-week high of €31.30 and 3% above the low of €29.18 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €26.88 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to MVV Energie AG?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Iberdrola, S.A, Enel SpA, Engie SA, E.ON SE, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is MVV Energie AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price €30.20, calculated fair value €26.88 (−11%), Quality Score 51/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MVV1 calculated?
We run MVV Energie AG through 14 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €26.88 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. MVV Energie AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was €30.20. Our model-based fair value is €26.88, about 11% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with MVV Energie AG right now?
The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of MVV Energie AG (MVV1) come from?
Earnings per share at MVV Energie AG grew +19.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.9 %, EBIT margin −4.0 %, tax rate +0.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +16.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of MVV Energie AG
How large is the market capitalisation of MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
The market capitalisation of MVV Energie AG is €2.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
The price-to-sales ratio of MVV Energie AG is 0.55 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
Earnings per share at MVV Energie AG are €0.6500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 46.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
The dividend yield of MVV Energie AG is 4.3% (payout 200%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
The net margin of MVV Energie AG is 0.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
The return on equity (ROE) of MVV Energie AG is 4.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of MVV Energie AG is 1.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
The operating margin of MVV Energie AG is 1.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
Revenue at MVV Energie AG is growing −5.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
Earnings per share at MVV Energie AG are growing −54.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does MVV Energie AG (MVV1) generate?
The free cash flow of MVV Energie AG is −€4.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does MVV Energie AG (MVV1) carry?
The net debt of MVV Energie AG is €1.1B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 9, 2026