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MVV Energie AG (MVV1) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of MVV Energie AG €27.09, price €30.50, upside -11.2%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Utilities · DE · ISIN DE000A0H52F5

ME Some data Sep 24, 2026

MVV Energie AG

MVV1 · XETRA

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value €27.09 · Overvalued (−11%)
!Quality 51/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +11.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.4% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
·4.26% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
!Narrow moat 33/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 18 out of 100
!Weak on past: 22 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€31.74 €22.58 Fair Value €27.09 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €22.58 – €31.74 · fair‑value band €21.09 – €32.45 · the €30.50 price screens above the €27.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

MVV Energie AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides electricity, heat, gas, water, and waste treatment and disposal products primarily in Germany. It operates through four segments: Customer Solutions, New Energies, Generation and Infrastructure, and Other Activities.

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MVV Energie AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides electricity, heat, gas, water, and waste treatment and disposal products primarily in Germany. It operates through four segments: Customer Solutions, New Energies, Generation and Infrastructure, and Other Activities. The Customer Solutions segment engages in the energy and water retail and wholesale, direct marketing of renewable energy, commodities, and service and trading businesses. This segment also offers services to third-party customers. The New Energies segment operates waste, biomass power, biomethane, and biogas plants; and photovoltaics systems and wind turbines. This segment also engages in the national and international project development, and operation and management of windfarms and solar parks. The Generation and Infrastructure segment engages in the conventional energies activities; and operates electricity, district heating, gas, and water grid facilities with a total length of approximately 19,000 kilometers. The Other Activities segment provides metering, billing, and information technology services. It serves industrial, commercial and private household customers. The company was incorporated in 1974 and is based in Mannheim, Germany. MVV Energie AG operates as a subsidiary of MV Mannheimer Verkehr GmbH.

Stock analysis

MVV Energie AG (MVV1) currently trades at €30.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €27.09, implying the stock looks roughly 12.6% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €34.01 per share, and 6 of the 14 models we run sit above the €30.50 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €15.35, and 8 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: €21.09 (bear) to €32.45 (bull), the price of €30.50 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

MVV Energie AG reported revenue of €5.8B in FY2025 versus €4.2B in FY2021, a compound +8.2%/yr. Reported net income was €125M in FY2025, compounding −11.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €2.0B · P/E ratio 27.0 · P/S ratio 0.58 · EPS (TTM) €1.13 · Dividend yield 4.3% · Net margin 2.1% · Return on equity 5.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −11%, MVV1 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €21.09 Fair Value €27.09 Bull €32.45
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income €26.44 €27.11 €26.51 76
EPV €17.51 €22.18 €26.22 74
ROIC Compounder €17.51 €22.18 €26.22 72
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €12.85 €26.57 €33.56 66
EPV €17.51 €22.18 €26.22 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €10.98 €15.96 €21.01 69
DDM Multi-Stage €10.98 €15.35 €20.18 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple €25.51 €34.01 €42.52 63
P/S Multiple €24.09 €32.12 €40.15 58
P/B Multiple €24.09 €32.12 €40.15 55
EV/EBIT €37.86 €54.52 €71.18 65
EV/EBITDA €46.87 €66.54 €86.21 67
EV/Revenue €28.30 €45.63 €62.96 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €17.12 €22.94 €34.23 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income €26.44 €27.11 €26.51 76
ROIC Compounder €17.51 €22.18 €26.22 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €18.81 €26.88 €34.94 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 54
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 37/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.4% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+10.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.6% vs 3%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

MVV1 screens 13% overvalued. Compare with Iberdrola, S.A →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Diversified · 51 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Above median
Fair Value upside −11% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −9% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.58× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.01× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.41× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 6.7× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 5.85× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)18 · sector 3
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 6
PAST (return on equity)22 · sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)71 · sector 49
DIVIDEND (yield)85 · sector 83

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Iberdrola, S.A IBE €20.37 €10.04 −51%
Enel SpA ENEL €8.92 €3.30 −63%
Engie SA ENGI €23.80 €20.64 −13%
Sempra SRE $80.98 $43.35 −46%
E.ON SE EOAN €17.47 €9.09 −48%
RWE Aktiengesellschaft generates and RWE €60.38 €47.21 −22%
ACWA Power Company 2082 172.50 SAR 27.47 SAR −84%
Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. BIP $35.78 $42.92 +20%
EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG EBK €68.00 €21.11 −69%
EDP, S.A EDP €4.86 €3.81 −22%

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MVV Energie AG · Fair Value
€27.09 −13%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MVV Energie AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MVV1

Frequently asked questions

Is MVV Energie AG (MVV1) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €27.09 versus a price of €30.50, about −11% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MVV1?
Our model-based fair value for MVV Energie AG is €27.09 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €30.50.
What is the quality score of MVV1?
MVV Energie AG has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €27.09 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario €21.09, optimistic scenario €32.45. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the MVV Energie AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €27.09, about −11% upside versus a price of €30.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €21.09, optimistic scenario €32.45. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
MVV Energie AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €5.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does MVV Energie AG pay a dividend?
MVV Energie AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.26% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For MVV Energie AG it is €27.09 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €30.50. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is MVV Energie AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MVV1 trades above its calculated fair value: price €30.50, fair value €27.09, a gap of about −11% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MVV1?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€30.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€27.09). For MVV Energie AG the two are €3.41 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is MVV Energie AG worth?
The market values MVV Energie AG at about €2.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €30.50; our models calculate a fair value of €27.09 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MVV1?
Our models span a range for MVV Energie AG: cautious scenario €21.09, base €27.09, optimistic €32.45 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €30.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MVV1?
MVV Energie AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €27.09 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 5.9, P/B 1.0, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 6.7.
What is the PEG ratio of MVV1?
The PEG ratio of MVV Energie AG is 5.85 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
Balance-sheet figures for MVV Energie AG (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.5%, debt of 0.58 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MVV1 from its 52-week high?
MVV Energie AG trades at €30.50, about 3% below its 52-week high of €31.30 and 6% above the low of €28.80 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €27.09 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to MVV Energie AG?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Iberdrola, S.A, Enel SpA, Engie SA, Sempra, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is MVV Energie AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €30.50, calculated fair value €27.09 (−11%), Quality Score 51/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MVV1 calculated?
We run MVV Energie AG through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €27.09, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. MVV Energie AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was €30.50. Our model-based fair value is €27.09, about −11% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with MVV Energie AG right now?
The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of MVV Energie AG (MVV1) come from?
Earnings per share at MVV Energie AG grew +19.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.9 %, EBIT margin −4.0 %, tax rate +0.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +16.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of MVV Energie AG

How large is the market capitalisation of MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
The market capitalisation of MVV Energie AG is €2.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
The price-to-sales ratio of MVV Energie AG is 0.58 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
Earnings per share at MVV Energie AG are €1.13 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
The dividend yield of MVV Energie AG is 4.3% (payout 115%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
The net margin of MVV Energie AG is 2.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
The return on equity (ROE) of MVV Energie AG is 5.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of MVV Energie AG is 1.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
The operating margin of MVV Energie AG is 8.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
Revenue at MVV Energie AG is growing −8.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at MVV Energie AG (MVV1)?
Earnings per share at MVV Energie AG are growing −54.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does MVV Energie AG (MVV1) generate?
The free cash flow of MVV Energie AG is −€4.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does MVV Energie AG (MVV1) carry?
The net debt of MVV Energie AG is €1.1B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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