Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Mexco Energy Corporation $8.93, price $10.64, upside -16.1%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $6.23 – $29.07 · fair‑value band $6.70 – $11.17 · the $10.64 price screens above the $8.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Mexco Energy Corporation, an independent oil and gas company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, condensate, and natural gas liquids in the United States.
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Mexco Energy Corporation, an independent oil and gas company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, condensate, and natural gas liquids in the United States. It owns partial interests in wells located in the states of Texas, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Louisiana, Alabama, Arkansas, Wyoming, Kansas, Colorado, Montana, Virginia, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Ohio. It also owns leasehold mineral, royalty, and other interests. The company was formerly known as Miller Oil Company and changed its name to Mexco Energy Corporation in April 1980. Mexco Energy Corporation was incorporated in 1972 and is based in Midland, Texas.
Stock analysis
Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC) currently trades at $10.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.93, implying the stock looks roughly 19.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $11.71 per share, and 11 of the 26 models we run sit above the $10.64 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $1.39, and 15 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $6.70 (bear) to $11.17 (bull), the price of $10.64 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Mexco Energy Corporation reported revenue of $6.6M in FY2026 versus $6.6M in FY2022, a compound −0.1%/yr. Reported net income was $1.3M in FY2026, compounding −17.8%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $22.1M · P/E ratio 15.2 · P/S ratio 3.02 · EPS (TTM) $0.7100 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 19.9% · Return on equity 8.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −16%, MXC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $6.70Fair Value $8.93Bull $11.17
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.2975 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.1% a year
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−1.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.9%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 32%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−1.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −4.0% a year for the price.
Compare Mexco Energy Corporation with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 307 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−16% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Above median
Return on assets5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)23% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)29% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth13% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.9% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mexco Energy Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MXC
Frequently asked questions
Is Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.93 versus a price of $10.64, about −16% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MXC?
Our model-based fair value for Mexco Energy Corporation is $8.93 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $10.64.
What is the quality score of MXC?
Mexco Energy Corporation has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $8.93 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $6.70, optimistic scenario $11.17. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mexco Energy Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $8.93, about −16% upside versus a price of $10.64 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $6.70, optimistic scenario $11.17. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC)?
Mexco Energy Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.8M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Mexco Energy Corporation pay a dividend?
Mexco Energy Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.94% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Mexco Energy Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by -1.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +18.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MXC use?
Our models discount Mexco Energy Corporation at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.35, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Mexco Energy Corporation that is -1.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Mexco Energy Corporation grew +18.6 % a year. The price currently implies -1.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Mexco Energy Corporation (-1.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.17 %: that much free cash flow Mexco Energy Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mexco Energy Corporation it is $8.93 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $10.64. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mexco Energy Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MXC trades above its calculated fair value: price $10.64, fair value $8.93, a gap of about −16% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MXC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($10.64); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($8.93). For Mexco Energy Corporation the two are $1.71 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mexco Energy Corporation worth?
The market values Mexco Energy Corporation at about $22.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $10.64; our models calculate a fair value of $8.93 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MXC?
Our models span a range for Mexco Energy Corporation: cautious scenario $6.70, base $8.93, optimistic $11.17 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $10.64). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MXC?
Mexco Energy Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $8.93 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.6, P/B 1.1, P/S 3.3, EV/EBITDA 4.9.
What is the PEG ratio of MXC?
The PEG ratio of Mexco Energy Corporation is 0.63 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mexco Energy Corporation (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 8.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MXC from its 52-week high?
Mexco Energy Corporation trades at $10.64, about 29% below its 52-week high of $15.02 and 46% above the low of $7.31 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $8.93 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mexco Energy Corporation?
From the same area (Energy) we also value CNOOC Limited, ConocoPhillips explores for,, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mexco Energy Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $10.64, calculated fair value $8.93 (−16%), Quality Score 63/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MXC calculated?
We run Mexco Energy Corporation through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $8.93, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Mexco Energy Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $10.64. Our model-based fair value is $8.93, about −16% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mexco Energy Corporation right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Mexco Energy Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC)?
The market capitalisation of Mexco Energy Corporation is $22.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mexco Energy Corporation is 3.02 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC)?
Earnings per share at Mexco Energy Corporation are $0.7100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC)?
The dividend yield of Mexco Energy Corporation is 0.9% (payout 14.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC)?
The net margin of Mexco Energy Corporation is 19.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mexco Energy Corporation is 8.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mexco Energy Corporation is 15.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC)?
The operating margin of Mexco Energy Corporation is 28.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC)?
Revenue at Mexco Energy Corporation is growing +12.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −11.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC)?
Earnings per share at Mexco Energy Corporation are growing +103% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC) hold?
Mexco Energy Corporation holds more cash than debt, $2.7M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026