PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk (NAIK) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk IDR 124, price IDR 90, upside +37.7%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
22‑month range 70.00 IDR – 669.68 IDR · fair‑value band 78.22 IDR – 206.09 IDR · the 90.00 IDR price screens below the 123.94 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk provides fire protection system products in Indonesia.
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PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk provides fire protection system products in Indonesia. The company offers control valves comprising butterfly valves, gate valves, check valves, Y strainers, and automatic air ventilation products; fire suppression systems consisting of Inergen, FM-200, and Novec 1230 fire suppression systems, as well as high-pressure CO2 systems; firefighting pumps, including end suction products, vertical turbines, horizontal split case fire pumps, multi-stage multi-outlet products, hydro steam products, and Jockey fire pumps; and fire detection alarm systems, such as addressable fire alarm system control panels, fire detectors, fire alarm bells, horns and strobes, manual pull stations, annunciators, and intelligent and IP-based products. It also provides firefighting foam system products comprising foam system concentrates, foam system bladder tanks, foam system chambers, foam water monitors, fire hose reels, and high-expansion foam products; fire sprinklers and hydrant systems, including fire sprinkler systems, water monitors, fire hydrant systems, firefighting equipment, water spray systems, deluge systems, nozzles, outdoor hydrant boxes, fire hydrant pillars (CI and PF), hydrant nozzles and fire hoses, and Siamese connections (2-way) products; and design and engineering, supply, installation, testing and commissioning, and maintenance services. In addition, the company engages in trading activities; and undertakes construction contract projects for installation and maintenance. It serves the oil and gas plant, data center, banking, power plant, petrochemical, and industrial plant industries. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Jakarta Barat, Indonesia. PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Adiwarna Anugerah Investama.
Stock analysis
PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk (NAIK) currently trades at 90.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 123.94 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 27.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 269.36 IDR per share, and 18 of the 22 models we run sit above the 90.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 42.42 IDR, and 4 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 78.22 IDR (bear) to 206.09 IDR (bull), the price of 90.00 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk reported revenue of 216B IDR in FY2025 versus 77.7B IDR in FY2021, a compound +29.1%/yr. Reported net income was 30.7B IDR in FY2025, compounding +41.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 300B IDR (≈ $30.0M) · P/E ratio 10.0 · P/S ratio 1.42 · EPS (TTM) 9.00 IDR · Dividend yield 3.3% · Net margin 14.2% · Return on equity 14.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at 38%, NAIK screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 78.22 IDRFair Value 123.94 IDRBull 206.09 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (4.39 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.1%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+44.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+41.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.3%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 18%
2025 sits 127% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−4.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −7.0% a year for the price.
Compare PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 257 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Above median
Fair Value upside+38% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)14% · Top 25%
Return on assets9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)11% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−21% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NAIK
Frequently asked questions
Is PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk (NAIK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 123.94 IDR versus a price of 90.00 IDR, about +38% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NAIK?
Our model-based fair value for PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk is 123.94 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 90.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of NAIK?
PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk (NAIK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 123.94 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario 78.22 IDR, optimistic scenario 206.09 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 123.94 IDR, about +38% upside versus a price of 90.00 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 78.22 IDR, optimistic scenario 206.09 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk (NAIK)?
PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 215B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk pay a dividend?
PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.33% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk (NAIK)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by -4.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +29.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NAIK use?
Our models discount PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk that is -4.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk (NAIK) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk grew +29.1 % a year. The price currently implies -4.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk (NAIK) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk (-4.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk (NAIK)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.61 %: that much free cash flow PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk (NAIK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk it is 123.94 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 90.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, NAIK trades below its calculated fair value: price 90.00 IDR, fair value 123.94 IDR, a gap of about +38% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NAIK?
No. The price is what the market pays today (90.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (123.94 IDR). For PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk the two are 33.94 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk worth?
The market values PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk at about 300B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 90.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 123.94 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NAIK?
Our models span a range for PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk: cautious scenario 78.22 IDR, base 123.94 IDR, optimistic 206.09 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 90.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NAIK?
PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 123.94 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 7.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk (NAIK)?
Balance-sheet figures for PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 14.0%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NAIK from its 52-week high?
PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk trades at 90.00 IDR, about 33% below its 52-week high of 134.02 IDR and 29% above the low of 70.00 IDR (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 123.94 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Vulcan Materials Company, UltraTech Cement Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 90.00 IDR, calculated fair value 123.94 IDR (+38%), Quality Score 56/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NAIK calculated?
We run PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 123.94 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk currently trades 38 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk (NAIK)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 90.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 123.94 IDR, about +38% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk right now?
The model range is unusually wide (78.22 IDR to 206.09 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk (NAIK)?
The market capitalisation of PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk is 300B IDR (≈ $30.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk (NAIK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk is 1.42 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk (NAIK)?
Earnings per share at PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk are 9.00 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk (NAIK)?
The dividend yield of PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk is 3.3% (payout 33.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk (NAIK)?
The net margin of PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk is 14.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk (NAIK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk is 14.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk (NAIK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk is 14.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk (NAIK)?
The operating margin of PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk is 11.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk (NAIK)?
Revenue at PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk is growing −20.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +27.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk (NAIK)?
Earnings per share at PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk are growing −62.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk (NAIK) carry?
The net debt of PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk is 20.8B IDR (fiscal year 2023, ≈ 0.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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