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PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk (NAIK) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · ID · Market cap 293B IDR

PA PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk NAIK · JK
Price90.00 IDR
Fair Value94.42 IDR
Upside+4.9%
Quality55/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.41% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Moderate moat 64/100
Evidence: High Range 70.81 IDR – 148.30 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from 156.79 IDR to 94.42 IDR (−39.8%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +8.4% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (70.81 IDR to 148.30 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (21 months)

669.68 IDR 70.00 IDR Fair Value 94.42 IDR Nov 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

21‑month range 70.00 IDR – 669.68 IDR · fair‑value band 70.81 IDR – 148.30 IDR · the 90.00 IDR price screens below the 94.42 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk (NAIK) currently trades at 90.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 94.42 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 4.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk generated revenue of 224B IDR at a net margin of 14.2%. Revenue grew 14.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.6%. Net debt stands at 20.8B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 70.81 IDR (bear case) to 148.30 IDR (bull case); at 90.00 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at 5%, NAIK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 163.10 IDR 313.37 IDR 630.10 IDR 80
Residual Income 64.08 IDR 84.66 IDR 246.26 IDR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 131.83 IDR 260.87 IDR 490.63 IDR 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 172.91 IDR 277.36 IDR 618.90 IDR 38
5Y Revenue Exit 131.83 IDR 228.34 IDR 428.60 IDR 39
5Y P/E Exit 152.82 IDR 333.12 IDR 576.88 IDR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 140.63 IDR 304.80 IDR 418.19 IDR 36
10Y P/E Exit 161.10 IDR 350.42 IDR 676.08 IDR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 62.72 IDR 437.37 IDR 613.79 IDR 54
Lynch FV 157.92 IDR 225.59 IDR 293.27 IDR 50
PEG = 1.0 157.92 IDR 225.59 IDR 293.27 IDR 46
EPV 92.26 IDR 108.12 IDR 122.23 IDR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 28.17 IDR 61.50 IDR 103.47 IDR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 28.17 IDR 50.38 IDR 64.09 IDR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 138.34 IDR 184.46 IDR 230.57 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 117.59 IDR 156.79 IDR 195.99 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 117.59 IDR 156.79 IDR 195.99 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 155.99 IDR 207.21 IDR 258.42 IDR 53
EV/Revenue 105.91 IDR 150.30 IDR 194.69 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 31.66 IDR 42.42 IDR 63.31 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 163.10 IDR 313.37 IDR 630.10 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 131.83 IDR 260.87 IDR 490.63 IDR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 64.08 IDR 84.66 IDR 246.26 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 118.10 IDR 176.68 IDR 221.64 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 200.09 IDR 285.84 IDR 371.60 IDR 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (304.80 IDR) versus Asset-Based (42.42 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 224B IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.0%
Net margin 14.2%
Return on equity 15.6%
Free cash flow 31.8B IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 11.0
More key figures
Operating margin 17.3%
EPS (TTM) 8.00 IDR
Dividend yield 3.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -12.4%
Net debt 20.8B IDR FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 57
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 25
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 31
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 66
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk provides fire protection system products in Indonesia. The company offers control valves comprising butterfly valves, gate valves, check valves, Y strainers, and automatic air ventilation products; fire suppression systems consisting of Inergen, FM-200, and Novec 1230 fire suppression systems, as well as high-pressure CO2 …

Full company description

PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk provides fire protection system products in Indonesia. The company offers control valves comprising butterfly valves, gate valves, check valves, Y strainers, and automatic air ventilation products; fire suppression systems consisting of Inergen, FM-200, and Novec 1230 fire suppression systems, as well as high-pressure CO2 systems; firefighting pumps, including end suction products, vertical turbines, horizontal split case fire pumps, multi-stage multi-outlet products, hydro steam products, and Jockey fire pumps; and fire detection alarm systems, such as addressable fire alarm system control panels, fire detectors, fire alarm bells, horns and strobes, manual pull stations, annunciators, and intelligent and IP-based products. It also provides firefighting foam system products comprising foam system concentrates, foam system bladder tanks, foam system chambers, foam water monitors, fire hose reels, and high-expansion foam products; fire sprinklers and hydrant systems, including fire sprinkler systems, water monitors, fire hydrant systems, firefighting equipment, water spray systems, deluge systems, nozzles, outdoor hydrant boxes, fire hydrant pillars (CI and PF), hydrant nozzles and fire hoses, and Siamese connections (2-way) products; and design and engineering, supply, installation, testing and commissioning, and maintenance services. In addition, the company engages in trading activities; and undertakes construction contract projects for installation and maintenance. It serves the oil and gas plant, data center, banking, power plant, petrochemical, and industrial plant industries. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Jakarta Barat, Indonesia. PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Adiwarna Anugerah Investama.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk reported revenue of 216B IDR in FY2025 versus 77.7B IDR in FY2021, a compound +29.1%/yr. Reported net income was 30.7B IDR in FY2025, compounding +41.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
216B IDR
Latest YoY
+4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.1%
Revenue +29.1%/yr
FY21 77.7B IDR
FY22 105B IDR
FY23 124B IDR
FY24 207B IDR
FY25 216B IDR
Net income +41.7%/yr
FY21 7.6B IDR
FY22 10.7B IDR
FY23 13.2B IDR
FY24 30.9B IDR
FY25 30.7B IDR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NAIK

Peer Group

Building Materials · 253 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside +5% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 14% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.4% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.39× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.31× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 6.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 40 · sector 27
FUTURE 70 · sector 2
PAST 62 · sector 15
HEALTH 100 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 68 · sector 42

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $102.92 $70.57 -31%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,711 ₹4,719 -60%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥54.52 ¥13.95 -74%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,073 ₹1,245 -59%
CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO 21.71 MXN 15.42 MXN -29%
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥16.99 ¥26.14 +54%
Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM ₹435.25 ₹227.96 -48%
Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM ₹26,930 ₹8,215 -69%
TCC Group 1101B 43.70 TWD 10.48 TWD -76%
Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 53.30 TWD 13.98 TWD -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk (NAIK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 94.42 IDR versus a price of 90.00 IDR, about +5% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of NAIK?
Our model-based fair value for PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk is 94.42 IDR (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 90.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of NAIK?
PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk (NAIK)?
PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 224B IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NAIK?
The net profit margin of PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk is about 14.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk pay a dividend?
PT Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.00% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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