Naysaa Securities Ltd (NAYSAA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Naysaa Securities Ltd ₹265, price ₹677, upside -60.8%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹3.09 – ₹794.05 · fair‑value band ₹170.32 – ₹375.36 · the ₹676.60 price screens above the ₹265.25 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Naysaa Securities Limited provides investment advisory services, and investment related tools and services in India. The company offers equity broking services; IPO guidance services to HNI, retail, corporate, NRI, and QFI clients; and mutual funds advisory services.
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Naysaa Securities Limited provides investment advisory services, and investment related tools and services in India. The company offers equity broking services; IPO guidance services to HNI, retail, corporate, NRI, and QFI clients; and mutual funds advisory services. It also provides derivatives trading; NRI offerings; fixed deposit bonds; and loans realty services. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Mumbai, India.
Stock analysis
Naysaa Securities Ltd (NAYSAA) currently trades at ₹676.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹265.25, 60.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹283.75 per share, and 1 of the 11 models we run sit above the ₹676.60 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹33.30, and 10 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ₹170.32 (bear) to ₹375.36 (bull), the price of ₹676.60 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Naysaa Securities Ltd reported revenue of ₹535M in FY2024 versus ₹224M in FY2020, a compound +24.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹14.9M in FY2024, compounding +51.8%/yr from FY2020.
Key figures
Market cap ₹1.1B (≈ $11.1M) · P/E ratio 379.3 · P/S ratio 10.5 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.8100 · Net margin 2.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.0% · Operating margin 1.4% · Revenue (TTM) ₹239M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −61%, NAYSAA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (₹33.30 to ₹934.63). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ₹170.32Fair Value ₹265.25Bull ₹375.36
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+314.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.4%
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+179.2%
’14
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’22
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’24
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +11.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1% → 3%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 47.5%/yr over ~5Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
⚠ Approximate: the rate leans on 2024, which sits 202% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+38.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +32.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Capital Markets · 460 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside−60.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets3.4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)1.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)1.4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−19.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)379.3× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 84
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 32
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 44
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Naysaa Securities Ltd (NAYSAA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹265.25 versus a price of ₹676.60, about −61% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NAYSAA?
Our model-based fair value for Naysaa Securities Ltd is ₹265.25 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹676.60.
What is the quality score of NAYSAA?
Naysaa Securities Ltd has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Naysaa Securities Ltd (NAYSAA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹265.25 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹170.32, optimistic scenario ₹375.36. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Naysaa Securities Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹265.25, about −61% upside versus a price of ₹676.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹170.32, optimistic scenario ₹375.36. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Naysaa Securities Ltd (NAYSAA)?
Naysaa Securities Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹239M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Naysaa Securities Ltd (NAYSAA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Naysaa Securities Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +38.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -12.4 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NAYSAA use?
Our models discount Naysaa Securities Ltd at 11.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.74, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Naysaa Securities Ltd that is +38.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Naysaa Securities Ltd (NAYSAA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Naysaa Securities Ltd grew -12.4 % a year. The price currently implies +38.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Naysaa Securities Ltd (NAYSAA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Naysaa Securities Ltd (+38.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Naysaa Securities Ltd (NAYSAA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.52 %: that much free cash flow Naysaa Securities Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Naysaa Securities Ltd (NAYSAA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Naysaa Securities Ltd it is ₹265.25 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹676.60. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Naysaa Securities Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, NAYSAA trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹676.60, fair value ₹265.25, a gap of about −61% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NAYSAA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹676.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹265.25). For Naysaa Securities Ltd the two are ₹411.35 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Naysaa Securities Ltd worth?
The market values Naysaa Securities Ltd at about ₹1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹676.60; our models calculate a fair value of ₹265.25 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NAYSAA?
Our models span a range for Naysaa Securities Ltd: cautious scenario ₹170.32, base ₹265.25, optimistic ₹375.36 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹676.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NAYSAA?
Naysaa Securities Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 379.3 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹265.25 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Naysaa Securities Ltd (NAYSAA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Naysaa Securities Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NAYSAA from its 52-week high?
Naysaa Securities Ltd trades at ₹676.60, about 15% below its 52-week high of ₹794.05 and 36% above the low of ₹495.70 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹265.25 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Naysaa Securities Ltd?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company,, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Naysaa Securities Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹676.60, calculated fair value ₹265.25 (−61%), Quality Score 58/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NAYSAA calculated?
We run Naysaa Securities Ltd through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹265.25, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Naysaa Securities Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Naysaa Securities Ltd (NAYSAA)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹676.60. Our model-based fair value is ₹265.25, about −61% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Naysaa Securities Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹375.36). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹170.32 to ₹375.36) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of Naysaa Securities Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Naysaa Securities Ltd (NAYSAA)?
The market capitalisation of Naysaa Securities Ltd is ₹1.1B (≈ $11.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Naysaa Securities Ltd (NAYSAA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Naysaa Securities Ltd is 10.5 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Naysaa Securities Ltd (NAYSAA)?
Earnings per share at Naysaa Securities Ltd are ₹0.8100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 379.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Naysaa Securities Ltd (NAYSAA)?
The net margin of Naysaa Securities Ltd is 2.8% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Naysaa Securities Ltd (NAYSAA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Naysaa Securities Ltd is −4.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Naysaa Securities Ltd (NAYSAA)?
The operating margin of Naysaa Securities Ltd is 1.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Naysaa Securities Ltd (NAYSAA)?
Revenue at Naysaa Securities Ltd is growing −19.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +253%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Naysaa Securities Ltd (NAYSAA) carry?
The net debt of Naysaa Securities Ltd is ₹17.1M (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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