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Neptune Digital Assets Corp (NDA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Neptune Digital Assets Corp C$0.47, price C$0.64, upside -26.6%, quality 31 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Oct 5, 2026
Neptune Digital Assets Corp
NDA · VWeak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.
Loss over the last twelve months · -2.6% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 20.6%
Fair value C$0.4700 · Overvalued (−26.6%)
Quality 31/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +64.2 %/yr in CAD)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/8)
Narrow moat 17/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.1350 – C$2.78 · fair‑value band C$0.3600 – C$0.5900 · the C$0.6400 price screens above the C$0.4700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 5, 2026.
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Company profile
Neptune Digital Assets Corp. builds, owns, and operates infrastructure supporting the digital currency ecosystem in Canada and the United States. The company stakes and lends various digital currencies.
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Neptune Digital Assets Corp. builds, owns, and operates infrastructure supporting the digital currency ecosystem in Canada and the United States. The company stakes and lends various digital currencies. It also engages in the Bitcoin mining, blockchain staking, and node management to earn digital currency staking rewards; and decentralized finance activities, as well as participates in liquidity mining pools. The company was formerly known as Neptune Dash Technologies Corp. and changed its name to Neptune Digital Assets Corp. in December 2020. Neptune Digital Assets Corp. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Stock analysis
Neptune Digital Assets Corp (NDA) currently trades at C$0.6400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.4700, 26.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 9 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: C$0.3600 (bear) to C$0.5900 (bull), the price of C$0.6400 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Neptune Digital Assets Corp reported revenue of C$1.8M in FY2025 versus C$359K in FY2021, a compound +49.3%/yr. Reported net income was C$368K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap C$81.3M (≈ $57.0M) · P/S ratio 71.6 · Net margin 20.6% · Return on equity −0.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.7% · Operating margin −314% · Revenue (TTM) C$1.1M · Revenue growth (YoY) −66.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −27%, NDA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear C$0.3600
Fair Value C$0.4700
Bull C$0.5900
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple
C$0.3600
C$0.4700
C$0.5900
55
NCAV (Graham)
C$0.2800
C$0.3700
C$0.5600
51
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple
C$0.3600
C$0.4700
C$0.5900
55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
C$0.2800
C$0.3700
C$0.5600
51
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
31/100
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 11
Profitability
25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
65
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
79
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−26.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−24.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+64.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+43.7%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+8.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−216% → −162%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Capital Markets · 457 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Financials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Canadian Stocks
- Valuation of the Canada market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, MS | $188.08 | $314.07 | +67% |
| The Goldman Sachs Group GS | $900.36 | $766.86 | −15% |
| The Charles Schwab Corporation SCHW | $97.74 | $118.07 | +21% |
| Interactive Brokers Group IBKR | $89.24 | $23.12 | −74% |
| Robinhood Markets, Inc HOOD | $116.22 | $47.77 | −59% |
| Macquarie Group MQG | A$245.63 | A$80.51 | −67% |
| CITIC Securities Company 600030 | ¥26.29 | ¥18.35 | −30% |
| Guotai Haitong Securities Co 601211 | ¥17.21 | ¥19.35 | +12% |
| East Money Information Co 300059 | ¥18.28 | ¥4.94 | −73% |
| Nomura Holdings NMR | $9.91 | $10.19 | +3% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Neptune Digital Assets Corp (NDA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.4700 versus a price of C$0.6400, about −27% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NDA?
Our model-based fair value for Neptune Digital Assets Corp is C$0.4700 (as of Oct 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.6400.
What is the quality score of NDA?
Neptune Digital Assets Corp has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Neptune Digital Assets Corp (NDA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.4700 (as of Oct 5, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.3600, optimistic scenario C$0.5900. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Neptune Digital Assets Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.4700, about −27% upside versus a price of C$0.6400 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.3600, optimistic scenario C$0.5900. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Neptune Digital Assets Corp (NDA)?
Neptune Digital Assets Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$1.1M (latest available figure, as of Oct 5, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Neptune Digital Assets Corp (NDA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Neptune Digital Assets Corp it is C$0.4700 per share (as of Oct 5, 2026), against a price of C$0.6400. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Neptune Digital Assets Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 5, 2026, NDA trades above its calculated fair value: price C$0.6400, fair value C$0.4700, a gap of about −27% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NDA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.6400); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.4700). For Neptune Digital Assets Corp the two are C$0.1700 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Neptune Digital Assets Corp worth?
The market values Neptune Digital Assets Corp at about C$81.3M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 5, 2026). Per share that is C$0.6400; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.4700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NDA?
Our models span a range for Neptune Digital Assets Corp: cautious scenario C$0.3600, base C$0.4700, optimistic C$0.5900 per share (as of Oct 5, 2026, price C$0.6400). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Neptune Digital Assets Corp (NDA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Neptune Digital Assets Corp (as of Oct 5, 2026): return on equity −0.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NDA from its 52-week high?
Neptune Digital Assets Corp trades at C$0.6400, about 50% below its 52-week high of C$1.27 and 39% above the low of C$0.4600 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.4700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Neptune Digital Assets Corp?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company,, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Neptune Digital Assets Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 5, 2026: price C$0.6400, calculated fair value C$0.4700 (−27%), Quality Score 31/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NDA calculated?
We run Neptune Digital Assets Corp through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.4700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Neptune Digital Assets Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Neptune Digital Assets Corp (NDA)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was C$0.6400. Our model-based fair value is C$0.4700, about −27% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Neptune Digital Assets Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.5900). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of Neptune Digital Assets Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Neptune Digital Assets Corp (NDA)?
The market capitalisation of Neptune Digital Assets Corp is C$81.3M (≈ $57.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Neptune Digital Assets Corp (NDA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Neptune Digital Assets Corp is 71.6 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Neptune Digital Assets Corp (NDA)?
The net margin of Neptune Digital Assets Corp is 20.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Neptune Digital Assets Corp (NDA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Neptune Digital Assets Corp is −0.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Neptune Digital Assets Corp (NDA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Neptune Digital Assets Corp is −7.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Neptune Digital Assets Corp (NDA)?
The operating margin of Neptune Digital Assets Corp is −314% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Neptune Digital Assets Corp (NDA)?
Revenue at Neptune Digital Assets Corp is growing −66.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −24.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Neptune Digital Assets Corp (NDA)?
Earnings per share at Neptune Digital Assets Corp are growing +355% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Neptune Digital Assets Corp (NDA) generate?
The free cash flow of Neptune Digital Assets Corp is −C$8.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Neptune Digital Assets Corp (NDA) carry?
The net debt of Neptune Digital Assets Corp is C$9.1M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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