Neonode Inc (NEON) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $18.8M
Neonode Inc
NEON · US
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $4.41 to $1.10 (−75.1%) since Jul 19, 2026. Share price +6.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 24% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from $0.8220 (bear) to $1.37 (bull), base $1.10. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 44/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.7517 – $29.30 · fair‑value band $0.8220 – $1.37 · the $0.8835 price screens below the $1.10 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Neonode Inc (NEON) currently trades at $0.8835, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.10, implying the stock looks roughly 24.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $2.2M. Revenue grew 19.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 42.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $25.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.8220 (bear case) to $1.37 (bull case); at $0.8835, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at 24%, NEON screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($12.51) versus Asset-Based ($0.9900). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 9
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Neonode Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides software solutions for machine perception to detect and track persons and objects in video streams from cameras and other types of imagers in the United States, Japan, South Korea, Germany, Sweden, China, and internationally.
Full company description
Neonode Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides software solutions for machine perception to detect and track persons and objects in video streams from cameras and other types of imagers in the United States, Japan, South Korea, Germany, Sweden, China, and internationally. It also offers optical sensing solutions for contactless touch, touch, and gesture sensing. In addition, the company licenses its zForce technology to original equipment manufacturers and automotive Tier 1 suppliers, as well as provides non-recurring engineering services related to application development. Further, it provides machine perception solutions. The company serves office equipment, automotive, industrial automation, medical, military, and avionics markets. Neonode Inc. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Neonode Inc reported revenue of $2.1M in FY2025 versus $5.8M in FY2021, a compound −22.9%/yr. Reported net income was $8.5M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Electronic Components · 647 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 | 1,790 TWD | 602.37 TWD | -66% |
| Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 | ¥56.06 | ¥38.44 | -31% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 | 1,503,000 KRW | 172,954 KRW | -88% |
| Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 | ¥202.11 | ¥21.19 | -90% |
| Shengyi Technology Co 600183 | ¥143.23 | ¥36.30 | -75% |
| Shennan Circuits Co 002916 | ¥385.80 | ¥125.52 | -67% |
| Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 | HK$238.60 | HK$75.68 | -68% |
| Kingboard Laminates Holdings 1888 | HK$38.70 | HK$8.95 | -77% |
| Asia Vital Components Co 3017 | 2,910 TWD | 1,369 TWD | -53% |
| Nan Ya Printed Circuit Board Corporation 8046 | 1,215 TWD | 1,768 TWD | +46% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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