New Fortress Energy LLC (NFE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 16, 2026: fair value of New Fortress Energy LLC $9.11, price $4.15, upside +119.5%, quality 21 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.98 – $2,772 · fair‑value band $4.91 – $12.86 · the $4.15 price screens below the $9.11 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 11, 2026.
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New Fortress Energy Inc. operates as an integrated gas-to-power energy infrastructure company that provides energy and development services to end-users worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Terminals and Infrastructure, and Ships.
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The Terminals and Infrastructure segment engages in the natural gas procurement and liquefaction; and logistics, shipping, facilities and conversion, or development of natural gas-fired power generation.
The Ships segment offers floating storage and regasification units (FRSU) and liquefied natural gas (LNG) carriers which are leased to customers under long-term or spot arrangements.
The company operates landed micro-fuel handling facility in San Juan, Puerto Rico; and LNG receiving facility and gas-fired power plant at the Port of Pichilingue in Baja California Sur, Mexico. New Fortress Energy Inc. was founded in 1998 and is based in New York, New York.
Stock analysis
New Fortress Energy LLC (NFE) currently trades at $4.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.11, implying the stock looks roughly 54.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $21.42 per share, and 3 of the 3 models we run sit above the $4.15 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $9.19, and 0 of the 3 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $4.91 (bear) to $12.86 (bull), the price of $4.15 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
New Fortress Energy LLC reported revenue of $1.5B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +3.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.8B in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $37.5M · P/S ratio 0.03 · EPS (TTM) $−334.50 · Dividend yield 9.3% · Net margin −123% · Return on equity −392% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.9% · Operating margin −24.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 3 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 96% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at 120%, NFE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$4.91Fair Value $9.11Bull$12.86
Price $4.15 · Upside +119.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.32/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−36.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+60.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−34.4% (2020) → −11.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (96 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
Compare New Fortress Energy LLC with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Midstream · 83 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score21 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+119.5% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets−17.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−149.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−24.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth2.7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)9.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "New Fortress Energy LLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NFE
Frequently asked questions
Is New Fortress Energy LLC (NFE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.11 versus a price of $4.15, about +120% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NFE?
Our model-based fair value for New Fortress Energy LLC is $9.11 (as of Oct 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.15.
What is the quality score of NFE?
New Fortress Energy LLC has a Quality Score of 21/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for New Fortress Energy LLC (NFE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $9.11 (as of Oct 11, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario $4.91, optimistic scenario $12.86. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the New Fortress Energy LLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $9.11, about +120% upside versus a price of $4.15 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $4.91, optimistic scenario $12.86. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of New Fortress Energy LLC (NFE)?
New Fortress Energy LLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.3B (latest available figure, as of Oct 11, 2026).
Does New Fortress Energy LLC pay a dividend?
New Fortress Energy LLC currently shows a dividend yield of 9.25% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 11, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of New Fortress Energy LLC (NFE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For New Fortress Energy LLC it is $9.11 per share (as of Oct 11, 2026), against a price of $4.15. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is New Fortress Energy LLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 11, 2026, NFE trades below its calculated fair value: price $4.15, fair value $9.11, a gap of about +120% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NFE?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.15); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($9.11). For New Fortress Energy LLC the two are $4.96 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is New Fortress Energy LLC worth?
The market values New Fortress Energy LLC at about $37.5M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 11, 2026). Per share that is $4.15; our models calculate a fair value of $9.11 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NFE?
Our models span a range for New Fortress Energy LLC: cautious scenario $4.91, base $9.11, optimistic $12.86 per share (as of Oct 11, 2026, price $4.15). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of NFE?
The PEG ratio of New Fortress Energy LLC is 26.53 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 11, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of New Fortress Energy LLC (NFE)?
Balance-sheet figures for New Fortress Energy LLC (as of Oct 11, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 21/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NFE from its 52-week high?
New Fortress Energy LLC trades at $4.15, about 96% below its 52-week high of $98.50 and 4% above the low of $3.98 (as of Oct 16, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $9.11 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to New Fortress Energy LLC?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Enbridge Inc, The Williams Companies, Inc, Enterprise Products Partners L.P., Energy Transfer LP,, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is New Fortress Energy LLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 11, 2026: price $4.15, calculated fair value $9.11 (+120%), Quality Score 21/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NFE calculated?
We run New Fortress Energy LLC through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $9.11, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.4 % above its aggregate fair value. New Fortress Energy LLC currently trades 54 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of New Fortress Energy LLC (NFE)?
The closing price on Oct 16, 2026 was $4.15. Our model-based fair value is $9.11, about +120% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with New Fortress Energy LLC right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (21/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($4.91). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide ($4.91 to $12.86). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of New Fortress Energy LLC
How large is the market capitalisation of New Fortress Energy LLC (NFE)?
The market capitalisation of New Fortress Energy LLC is $37.5M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of New Fortress Energy LLC (NFE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of New Fortress Energy LLC is 0.03 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of New Fortress Energy LLC (NFE)?
Earnings per share at New Fortress Energy LLC are $−334.50. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of New Fortress Energy LLC (NFE)?
The dividend yield of New Fortress Energy LLC is 9.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of New Fortress Energy LLC (NFE)?
The net margin of New Fortress Energy LLC is −123% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of New Fortress Energy LLC (NFE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of New Fortress Energy LLC is −392% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of New Fortress Energy LLC (NFE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of New Fortress Energy LLC is 4.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of New Fortress Energy LLC (NFE)?
The operating margin of New Fortress Energy LLC is −24.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at New Fortress Energy LLC (NFE)?
Revenue at New Fortress Energy LLC is growing +2.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −14.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at New Fortress Energy LLC (NFE)?
Earnings per share at New Fortress Energy LLC are growing −89.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does New Fortress Energy LLC (NFE) generate?
The free cash flow of New Fortress Energy LLC is −$1.2B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does New Fortress Energy LLC (NFE) carry?
The net debt of New Fortress Energy LLC is $8.2B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 11, 2026