New Fortress Energy LLC (NFE) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $124M · ISIN US6443931000
What is New Fortress Energy LLC really worth?
New Fortress Energy LLC
NFE · US
Below-average quality, and trading another 160% above our fair value of $0.1105.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price −11.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.1360). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (4/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.0680 to $0.1360) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.2750 – $54.69 · fair‑value band $0.0680 – $0.1360 · the $0.2872 price screens above the $0.1105 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
Analysis
New Fortress Energy LLC (NFE) currently trades at $0.2872, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1105, implying the stock looks roughly 159.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 4/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $0.4300 per share, and 1 of the 3 models we run sit above the $0.2872 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.1300, and 2 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $1.3B. Revenue declined 50.8% year over year. Net debt stands at $8.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.0680 (bear case) to $0.1360 (bull case); at $0.2872, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −62%, NFE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($0.4300) versus Dividend Discount ($0.1300). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (66).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 7 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 6
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
New Fortress Energy Inc. operates as an integrated gas-to-power energy infrastructure company that provides energy and development services to end-users worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Terminals and Infrastructure, and Ships.
Full company description
New Fortress Energy Inc. operates as an integrated gas-to-power energy infrastructure company that provides energy and development services to end-users worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Terminals and Infrastructure, and Ships. The Terminals and Infrastructure segment engages in the natural gas procurement and liquefaction; and logistics, shipping, facilities and conversion, or development of natural gas-fired power generation. The Ships segment offers floating storage and regasification units (FRSU) and liquefied natural gas (LNG) carriers which are leased to customers under long-term or spot arrangements. The company operates landed micro-fuel handling facility in San Juan, Puerto Rico; and LNG receiving facility and gas-fired power plant at the Port of Pichilingue in Baja California Sur, Mexico. New Fortress Energy Inc. was founded in 1998 and is based in New York, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
New Fortress Energy LLC reported revenue of $1.5B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +3.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.8B in FY2025.
NFE screens 160% overvalued. Compare with Enbridge Inc →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Midstream · 88 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Enbridge Inc ENB | $50.37 | $35.83 | −29% |
| The Williams Companies, Inc WMB | $74.41 | $11.73 | −84% |
| Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD | $39.02 | $20.94 | −46% |
| TC Energy Corporation TRP | C$88.72 | C$24.53 | −72% |
| Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI | $32.02 | $10.92 | −66% |
| Energy Transfer LP, ET | $21.31 | $11.45 | −46% |
| MPLX LP owns and MPLX | $59.25 | $36.42 | −39% |
| ONEOK, Inc OKE | $94.90 | $58.62 | −38% |
| Targa Resources Corp TRGP | $286.91 | $79.61 | −72% |
| Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG | $280.80 | $199.99 | −29% |
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