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NFON AG (NFN) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · DE · Market cap €61.6M

NA NFON AG NFN · XETRA
Price€3.73
Fair Value€2.72
Upside-27.1%
Quality59/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 1.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Narrow moat 29/100
Evidence: High Range €2.04 – €3.39 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −6.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 27% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€3.39). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€19.65 €3.14 Fair Value €2.72 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €3.14 – €19.65 · fair‑value band €2.04 – €3.39 · the €3.73 price screens above the €2.72 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

NFON AG (NFN) currently trades at €3.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.72, implying the stock looks roughly 27.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, NFON AG generated revenue of €88.6M at a net margin of 1.6%. Revenue declined 2.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.9%. Net debt stands at €7.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €2.04 (bear case) to €3.39 (bull case); at €3.73, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -27%, NFN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €4.68 €6.47 €8.72 80
Rev-Margin DCF €3.31 €4.56 €6.10 74
ROIC Compounder €1.83 €1.99 €2.11 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €4.72 €6.70 €9.34 38
Owner Earnings €5.40 €7.70 €10.77 31
5Y Revenue Exit €3.31 €4.51 €6.00 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €5.57 €8.91 €12.93 41
5Y P/E Exit €3.36 €4.61 €5.92 38
10Y Revenue Exit €3.83 €5.01 €6.57 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €5.12 €7.69 €11.27 37
10Y P/E Exit €3.90 €5.08 €6.52 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €0.9200 €3.51 €4.75 54
Lynch FV €0.8500 €1.22 €1.58 50
PEG = 1.0 €0.8500 €1.22 €1.58 46
EPV €1.83 €1.99 €2.11 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple €2.04 €2.72 €3.39 63
P/S Multiple €1.73 €2.31 €2.89 58
P/B Multiple €1.73 €2.31 €2.89 55
EV/EBIT €3.24 €4.13 €5.02 53
EV/EBITDA €6.88 €8.99 €11.10 54
EV/Revenue €2.36 €3.14 €3.91 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €1.51 €2.02 €3.02 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €4.68 €6.47 €8.72 80
Rev-Margin DCF €3.31 €4.56 €6.10 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €2.05 €1.97 €1.59 61
ROIC Compounder €1.83 €1.99 €2.11 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €1.51 €2.16 €2.80 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€5.08) versus Earnings-Based (€1.22). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €88.6M
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.3%
Net margin 1.6%
Return on equity 2.9%
Free cash flow €7.9M FY2025
P/E ratio 41.0
More key figures
Operating margin -0.9%
EPS (TTM) €0.0900
EPS growth (YoY) +200%
Net debt €7.9M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 53
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

NFON AG engages in the provision of integrated cloud business communication in Germany, Austria, the United Kingdom, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, Spain, France, and Switzerland.

Full company description

NFON AG engages in the provision of integrated cloud business communication in Germany, Austria, the United Kingdom, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, Spain, France, and Switzerland. It offers business telephony products, such as cloud telephony, cloud telephony details, sip trunk, sip trunk details, and devices; intelligent assistants, including Nia, Nia FrontDesk, botario, AI Essentials, and AI Capabilities; integrations, which includes Microsoft teams integration for cloud telephony, CRM integrations, telephony integrations, and application programming interface; and add-ons, such as queue monitoring, reception, hospitality, and call recording. In addition, the company provides solutions for industries, comprising health and wellness, retail and e-commerce, finance legal and insurance, travel and hospitality, and public sectors. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Munich, Germany.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

NFON AG reported revenue of €89.1M in FY2025 versus €75.9M in FY2021, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was €2.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 70/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€89.1M
Latest YoY
+2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.7%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.6%
Revenue +4.1%/yr
FY21 €75.9M
FY22 €80.8M
FY23 €82.3M
FY24 €87.3M
FY25 €89.1M
Net income
FY21 −€8.9M
FY22 −€15.6M
FY23 −€802K
FY24 €710K
FY25 €2.2M

NFN screens 27% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NFON AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NFN

Peer Group

Software - Infrastructure · 370 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside −27% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -1% · Below median
Revenue growth -2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.07× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 41.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.42× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.80× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 9.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 10.9× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 46
PAST 12 · sector 15
HEALTH 96 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $384.00 $274.17 -29%
Oracle Corporation ORAC C$9.08 C$2.94 -68%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $160.78 $44.96 -72%
Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS €354.50 €93.61 -74%
Block, Inc XYZ A$114.53 A$70.69 -38%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $79.94 $44.89 -44%
Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 ¥71.60 ¥34.00 -53%
Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS ₹11,651 ₹5,821 -50%
360 Security Technology Inc 601360 ¥9.64 ¥5.05 -48%
One97 Communications Limited PAYTM ₹1,342 ₹181.50 -86%

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Frequently asked questions

Is NFON AG (NFN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €2.72 versus a price of €3.73, about −27% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NFN?
Our model-based fair value for NFON AG is €2.72 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €3.73.
What is the quality score of NFN?
NFON AG has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of NFON AG (NFN)?
NFON AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €88.6M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NFN?
The net profit margin of NFON AG is about 1.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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