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Nakoda Group (NGIL) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · IN · Market cap ₹745M

NG Nakoda Group NGIL · NSE
Price₹41.81
Fair Value₹13.63
Upside-67.4%
Quality57/100
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Evidence: High Range ₹12.42 – ₹17.71

Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated today

Share price +1.8% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

₹42.63 ₹22.58 Fair Value ₹13.63 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range ₹22.58 – ₹42.63 · fair‑value band ₹12.42 – ₹17.71 · the ₹41.81 price screens above the ₹13.63 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.

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Analysis

Nakoda Group (NGIL) currently trades at ₹41.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹13.63 — implying the stock looks roughly 67.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Nakoda Group generated revenue of ₹435M at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue declined 20.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.3%. Net debt stands at ₹129M. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹435M
Revenue growth (YoY) -20.6%
Net margin 3.5%
Return on equity 5.3%
Free cash flow −₹7.6M FY2026
P/E ratio 47.5
More key figures
Operating margin 13.2%
EPS (TTM) ₹0.8800
EPS growth (YoY) +106,852%
Net debt ₹129M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Nakoda Group of Industries Limited engages in the manufacture and trading of tutty fruity and other agriculture commodities in India. The company offers karonda cherries, sweet lime peels, orange cut peels, various jams, fruit pulp, sauces, canned vegetables, and frozen fruits and vegetables; deals in preparation, processing, and trading of dry fruits, roasted and salted nuts, popcorns, sesame seeds hulled auto dry, spices, chikkis, pickles, papads, fox nuts, cotton and cotton bales, chia seeds, sabja seeds, gulkand, sugar syrups, amla candies, amla powder, amla murabba, etc. It serves its products to ice-cream factories, bakeries, sweet and namkeen factories, airline companies, railway catering, cotton and cloth mills, food factories, pharmaceutical, and Indian military. The company exports also its products to the Middle East and European countries. Nakoda Group of Industries Limited was founded in 1989 and is based in Nagpur, India.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Nakoda Group reported revenue of ₹435M in FY2026 versus ₹596M in FY2022, a compound −7.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹15.0M in FY2026, compounding −3.0%/yr from FY2022.

Revenue −7.6%/yr
FY22 ₹596M
FY23 ₹546M
FY24 ₹471M
FY25 ₹463M
FY26 ₹435M
Net income −3.0%/yr
FY22 ₹17.0M
FY23 ₹9.1M
FY24 −₹21.2M
FY25 −₹36.4M
FY26 ₹15.0M

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nakoda Group (NGIL) undervalued?
As of Jul 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹13.63 versus a price of ₹41.81 — about −67% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of NGIL?
Our model-based fair value for Nakoda Group is ₹13.63 (as of Jul 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹41.81.
What is the quality score of NGIL?
Nakoda Group has a Quality Score of 57/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Nakoda Group (NGIL)?
Nakoda Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹435M (latest available figure, as of Jul 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NGIL?
The net profit margin of Nakoda Group is about 3.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.