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NGK Corporation (NGKIF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $13.0B

NC NGK Corporation logo NGK Corporation NGKIF · US
Price$34.02
Fair Value$27.91
Upside-18.0%
Quality66/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 8.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.44% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/11)
Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: High Range $20.60 – $34.89 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −26.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 18% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from $20.60 (bear) to $34.89 (bull), base $27.91. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 66/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$48.45 $10.22 Fair Value $27.91 Jul 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $10.22 – $48.45 · fair‑value band $20.60 – $34.89 · the $34.02 price screens above the $27.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

NGK Corporation (NGKIF) currently trades at $34.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $27.91, implying the stock looks roughly 18.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, NGK Corporation generated revenue of $670B at a net margin of 8.9%. Revenue grew 11.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.8%. Net debt stands at $46.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $20.60 (bear case) to $34.89 (bull case); at $34.02, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 183% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -18%, NGKIF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $21.22 $30.52 $43.52 80
Rev-Margin DCF $18.83 $29.09 $40.50 74
ROIC Compounder $15.02 $17.51 $21.19 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $20.73 $30.98 $46.08 38
Owner Earnings $15.72 $23.49 $34.92 31
5Y Revenue Exit $18.83 $28.94 $41.56 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $26.07 $42.14 $60.48 41
5Y P/E Exit $19.32 $29.85 $40.54 38
10Y Revenue Exit $18.78 $28.06 $39.92 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $23.90 $37.10 $54.02 37
10Y P/E Exit $19.65 $28.68 $39.16 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $9.04 $24.48 $32.08 54
Lynch FV $4.81 $6.87 $8.93 50
PEG = 1.0 $4.81 $6.87 $8.93 46
EPV $15.02 $17.51 $19.69 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $20.93 $27.91 $34.89 63
P/S Multiple $16.95 $22.59 $28.24 58
P/B Multiple $16.95 $22.59 $28.24 55
EV/EBIT $26.73 $35.61 $44.50 53
EV/EBITDA $32.89 $43.82 $54.76 54
EV/Revenue $18.80 $26.83 $34.85 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.97 $12.02 $17.94 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $21.22 $30.52 $43.52 80
Rev-Margin DCF $18.83 $29.09 $40.50 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $14.71 $15.59 $17.07 61
ROIC Compounder $15.02 $17.51 $21.19 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $16.53 $23.62 $30.70 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($29.09) versus Earnings-Based ($6.87). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $670B
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.1%
Net margin 8.9%
Return on equity 7.8%
Free cash flow $85.3B FY2026
P/E ratio 35.9
More key figures
Operating margin 11.6%
EPS (TTM) $1.29
Dividend yield 1.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +37.6%
Net debt $46.8B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 64
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 44
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 85
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 98
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

NGK Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells electric power related equipment in Japan, rest of Asia, North America, Europe, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Environment Business, Digital Society Business, and Energy & Industry Business.

Full company description

NGK Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells electric power related equipment in Japan, rest of Asia, North America, Europe, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Environment Business, Digital Society Business, and Energy & Industry Business. The company offers suspension, long rod, station post, hollow, pin post, and RTV silicone rubber insulators; hardware for insulator and assemblies; bushing; energy plant equipment; special metals and mold products, such as beryllium copper, copper-nickel-tin, beryllium, and mold products. It also provides ceramic heaters, electrostatic chucks, and components; C1 Home-Use water purifier; HONEYCERAM, a ceramic structure that carries a catalyst that neutralizes the harmful substances found in vehicle exhaust; Diesel Particulate Filters which eliminate particulate in the exhaust gas emitted from diesel automobiles; and Nox sensors for engine exhaust gas. In addition, the company offers wafer, piezoceramic actuators, translucent alumina ceramics, zirconia, Micro-Lens for UV-LED, HTCC, AMB substrate for power modules, and general pressed products, as well as EnerCera, a Li-ion rechargeable battery; industrial heating, kiln furniture and refractories, ceramic membranes and separators, glass-lining products, high-temperature dust collector, ceramic and vacuum pump, gas analyzer, and organic compound crystal search services. Its products are used for mobility, electronics, social infrastructure, environment, industrial equipment, medical and healthcare, daily living, aircraft, ship, and space-related applications. NGK Corporation was formerly known as NGK Insulators, Ltd. and changed its name to NGK Corporation in April 2026. The company was incorporated in 1919 and is headquartered in Nagoya, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

NGK Corporation reported revenue of $674B in FY2026 versus $510B in FY2022, a compound +7.2%/yr. Reported net income was $60.3B in FY2026, compounding −3.9%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 77/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$674B
Latest YoY
+8.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+6.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.3%
Avg. growth/yr (30Y)
+3.6%
Revenue +7.2%/yr
FY22 $510B
FY23 $559B
FY24 $579B
FY25 $620B
FY26 $674B
Net income −3.9%/yr
FY22 $70.9B
FY23 $55.0B
FY24 $40.6B
FY25 $54.9B
FY26 $60.3B

NGKIF screens 18% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NGK Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NGKIF

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −18% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.24× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 35.9× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 9 · sector 0
FUTURE 56 · sector 23
PAST 31 · sector 28
HEALTH 88 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 29 · sector 24

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
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Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is NGK Corporation (NGKIF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $27.91 versus a price of $34.02, about −18% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NGKIF?
Our model-based fair value for NGK Corporation is $27.91 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $34.02.
What is the quality score of NGKIF?
NGK Corporation has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of NGK Corporation (NGKIF)?
NGK Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $670B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NGKIF?
The net profit margin of NGK Corporation is about 8.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does NGK Corporation pay a dividend?
NGK Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.44% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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