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Data-driven stock valuation

Nivaka Fashions Ltd (NIVAKA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Nivaka Fashions Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Consumer Discretionary · IN · Market cap ₹80.1M (≈ $841K) · ISIN INE139E01028

At a glance

NF Nivaka Fashions Ltd NIVAKA · BSE
Price₹0.7800
Fair Value₹0.2900
Upside−62.8%
Quality32/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 169% above our fair value of ₹0.2900.

As of Aug 26, 2026, the fair value of Nivaka Fashions Ltd is ₹0.2900 per share against a price of ₹0.7800, so the fair value sits 63% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −76.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/8)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range ₹0.2100 to ₹0.4300

Fair value as of: Aug 26, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price +62.5% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹0.4300). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹0.2100 to ₹0.4300) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹11.56 ₹0.3800 Fair Value ₹0.2900 Jul 2020 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹0.3800 – ₹11.56 · fair‑value band ₹0.2100 – ₹0.4300 · the ₹0.7800 price screens above the ₹0.2900 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Nivaka Fashions Ltd (NIVAKA) currently trades at ₹0.7800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹0.2900, implying the stock looks roughly 169.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Discretionary sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at ₹164K. Revenue declined 87.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −74.6%. Net debt stands at ₹10.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 26, 2026

Scenario range: ₹0.2100 (bear) to ₹0.4300 (bull), the price of ₹0.7800 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Discretionary peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −63%, NIVAKA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) best evidence ₹0.2100 ₹0.2900 ₹0.4300 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) best evidence ₹0.2100 ₹0.2900 ₹0.4300 54

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Key figures & financial health

EPS (TTM) ₹−0.4900
Return on equity −74.6% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −13.4% avg 5y
Operating margin −81,810% TTM
Revenue (TTM) ₹60.0K TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −87.2% 3y avg −84.1%
More key figures
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −₹56.0M FY2026
Net debt ₹10.6M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Nivaka Fashions Ltd reported revenue of ₹165K in FY2026 versus ₹120M in FY2022, a compound −80.7%/yr. Reported net income was −₹52.1M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹165K
Latest YoY
−98.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−84.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−76.2%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1.8% (2021) → −30,415.8% (2026)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −80.7%/yr
FY22 ₹120M
FY23 ₹41.2M
FY24 ₹16.0M
FY25 ₹14.7M
FY26 ₹165K
Net income
FY22 ₹2.9M
FY23 ₹227K
FY24 −₹2.6M
FY25 −₹5.0M
FY26 −₹52.1M

NIVAKA screens 169% overvalued. Compare with ACTIVE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nivaka Fashions Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NIVAKA

Peer Group

Consumer Discretionary · 3822 stocks

How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Apparel” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)

Valuation
Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −63% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −29% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −87% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.26× · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Consumer Discretionary median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 10.34× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 22
FUTURE0 · sector 14
PAST0 · sector 21
HEALTH87 · sector 96
DIVIDEND0 · sector 45

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Apparel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ACTIVE ACTIVE ₹117.20 ₹129.53 +11%
GARMNTMNTR GARMNTMNTR ₹1.13 ₹1.28 +13%
SPENTA SPENTA ₹121.35 ₹21.45 −82%
LWSKNIT LWSKNIT ₹14.93 ₹27.13 +82%
Spice Islands Apparels Limited 526827 ₹93.30 ₹122.15 +31%
SPICEISL SPICEISL ₹479.45 ₹170.58 −64%
541144 541144 ₹117.20 ₹85.15 −27%
Spenta International Limited 526161 ₹117.00 ₹21.75 −81%
Alibaba Group 89988 HK$97.45 HK$48.38 −50%
JD.com, Inc 89618 ¥95.45 ¥73.98 −22%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nivaka Fashions Ltd (NIVAKA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹0.2900 versus a price of ₹0.7800, about −63% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NIVAKA?
Our model-based fair value for Nivaka Fashions Ltd is ₹0.2900 (as of Aug 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹0.7800.
What is the quality score of NIVAKA?
Nivaka Fashions Ltd has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nivaka Fashions Ltd (NIVAKA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹0.2900 (as of Aug 26, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹0.2100, optimistic scenario ₹0.4300. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nivaka Fashions Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹0.2900, about −63% upside versus a price of ₹0.7800 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹0.2100, optimistic scenario ₹0.4300. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nivaka Fashions Ltd (NIVAKA)?
Nivaka Fashions Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹164K (latest available figure, as of Aug 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NIVAKA?
The net profit margin of Nivaka Fashions Ltd is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
What is the intrinsic value of Nivaka Fashions Ltd (NIVAKA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nivaka Fashions Ltd it is ₹0.2900 per share (as of Aug 26, 2026), against a price of ₹0.7800. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nivaka Fashions Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 26, 2026, NIVAKA trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹0.7800, fair value ₹0.2900, a gap of about −63% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NIVAKA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹0.7800); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹0.2900). For Nivaka Fashions Ltd the two are ₹0.4900 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nivaka Fashions Ltd worth?
The market values Nivaka Fashions Ltd at about ₹80.1M (market capitalisation, as of Aug 26, 2026). Per share that is ₹0.7800; our models calculate a fair value of ₹0.2900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NIVAKA?
Our models span a range for Nivaka Fashions Ltd: cautious scenario ₹0.2100, base ₹0.2900, optimistic ₹0.4300 per share (as of Aug 26, 2026, price ₹0.7800). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nivaka Fashions Ltd (NIVAKA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nivaka Fashions Ltd (as of Aug 26, 2026): return on equity −74.6%, debt of 0.26 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Nivaka Fashions Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Discretionary) we also value ACTIVE, GARMNTMNTR, SPENTA, LWSKNIT, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nivaka Fashions Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 26, 2026: price ₹0.7800, calculated fair value ₹0.2900 (−63%), Quality Score 32/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NIVAKA calculated?
We run Nivaka Fashions Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹0.2900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 32.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Nivaka Fashions Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on <a href="/is-it-worth-investing-now/">is it worth investing now</a>.
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