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Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V. (NMAKF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V. $0.70, price $0.17, upside +307.0%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · US · ISIN MX01NE000001

NS Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V. logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V.

NMAKF · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value $0.7000 · Strongly undervalued (+307.0%)
!Quality 49/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −39.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -1.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 14/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$0.3180 $0.0043 Fair Value $0.7000 Oct 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0043 – $0.3180 · fair‑value band $0.4000 – $1.01 · the $0.1720 price screens below the $0.7000 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells aluminum components for e-mobility, structure and chassis, and ICE powertrain applications to the automotive industry in North America, Europe, and internationally.

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Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells aluminum components for e-mobility, structure and chassis, and ICE powertrain applications to the automotive industry in North America, Europe, and internationally. The company provides ICE powertrain components, such as cylinder heads, engine blocks, oil pans, and transmission cases; and vehicle structures and chassis products, including lift gates, longitudinal members, support brackets, A-pillars, cradles, e-brackets, shock towers, and subframes. It also offers e-mobility components comprising e-motor, and battery housings for hybrid and electric vehicles. The company was formerly known as Tenedora Nemak, S. A. de C. V. and changed its name to Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V. in June 2015. The company was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in García, Mexico.

Stock analysis

Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., (NMAKF) currently trades at $0.1720, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.7000, implying the stock looks roughly 75.4% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $0.8800 per share, and 11 of the 14 models we run sit above the $0.1720 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.1300, and 3 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.4000 (bear) to $1.01 (bull), the price of $0.1720 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., reported revenue of $5.2B in FY2025 versus $77.9B in FY2021, a compound −49.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$123M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $566M · P/S ratio 0.11 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0300 · Net margin −2.4% · Return on equity −4.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.5% · Operating margin 1.3% · Revenue (TTM) $5.1B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 307%, NMAKF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.4000 Fair Value $0.7000 Bull $1.01
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $0.9000 $1.27 $1.88 80
Growth DCF $0.9300 $1.29 $1.82 79
5Y EBITDA Exit $1.10 $1.81 $2.72 74
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.9000 $1.27 $1.88 80
Owner Earnings n/a $0.0900 $0.2800 73
5Y Revenue Exit $0.4700 $0.7300 $1.10 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $1.10 $1.81 $2.72 74
10Y Revenue Exit $0.6300 $0.8800 $1.15 67
10Y EBITDA Exit $1.00 $1.53 $2.13 68
Earnings-Based
EPV $0.0600 $0.1300 $0.1800 70
Multiples
EV/EBIT $0.4800 $0.7900 $1.09 64
EV/EBITDA $1.50 $2.15 $2.79 67
EV/Revenue $0.1900 $0.4500 $0.7100 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.2900 $0.3900 $0.5800 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.9300 $1.29 $1.82 79
Rev-Margin DCF $0.4700 $0.7600 $1.13 72
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $0.0600 $0.1300 $0.1800 70

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 28
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 24/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−61.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−39.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −22.9% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
7.6% (2019) → 3.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NMAKF

Frequently asked questions

Is Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V. (NMAKF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.7000 versus a price of $0.1720, about +307% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NMAKF?
Our model-based fair value for Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., is $0.7000 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.1720.
What is the quality score of NMAKF?
Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V. (NMAKF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.7000 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.4000, optimistic scenario $1.01. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.7000, about +307% upside versus a price of $0.1720 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.4000, optimistic scenario $1.01. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V. (NMAKF)?
Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V. (NMAKF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., it is $0.7000 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.1720. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, NMAKF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.1720, fair value $0.7000, a gap of about +307% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NMAKF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.1720); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.7000). For Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., the two are $0.5280 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., worth?
The market values Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., at about $566M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.1720; our models calculate a fair value of $0.7000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NMAKF?
Our models span a range for Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V.,: cautious scenario $0.4000, base $0.7000, optimistic $1.01 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.1720). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is NMAKF from its 52-week high?
Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., trades at $0.1720, about 20% below its 52-week high of $0.2156 and 2% above the low of $0.1692 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.7000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V.,?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.1720, calculated fair value $0.7000 (+307%), Quality Score 49/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NMAKF calculated?
We run Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.7000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., currently trades 75 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V. (NMAKF)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was $0.1720. Our model-based fair value is $0.7000, about +307% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.4000). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($0.4000 to $1.01) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V. (NMAKF) come from?
Earnings per share at Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., grew −49.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −27.6 %, EBIT margin −12.6 %, tax rate −4.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −16.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V.,

How large is the market capitalisation of Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V. (NMAKF)?
The market capitalisation of Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., is $566M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V. (NMAKF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., is 0.11 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V. (NMAKF)?
Earnings per share at Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., are $−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V. (NMAKF)?
The net margin of Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., is −2.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V. (NMAKF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., is −4.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V. (NMAKF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., is 3.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V. (NMAKF)?
The operating margin of Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., is 1.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V. (NMAKF)?
Revenue at Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., is growing +15.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −61.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V. (NMAKF)?
Earnings per share at Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., are growing +372% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V. (NMAKF) generate?
The free cash flow of Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., is $332M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V. (NMAKF) carry?
The net debt of Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., is $1.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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