Newmark Group (NMRK) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $3.9B
Newmark Group
NMRK · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −3.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 51% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($8.99). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.99 – $19.43 · fair‑value band $5.05 – $8.99 · the $14.81 price screens above the $7.19 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Newmark Group (NMRK) currently trades at $14.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.19, implying the stock looks roughly 51.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Newmark Group generated revenue of $3.5B at a net margin of 4.3%. Revenue grew 27.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.6%. Net debt stands at $1.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $5.05 (bear case) to $8.99 (bull case); at $14.81, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at -51%, NMRK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($12.24) versus Dividend Discount ($1.30). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Newmark Group, Inc. operates as a commercial real estate advisor and service provider in the United States, the United Kingdom, Asia, rest of Europe, and other Americas.
Full company description
Newmark Group, Inc. operates as a commercial real estate advisor and service provider in the United States, the United Kingdom, Asia, rest of Europe, and other Americas. The company offers capital markets services consisting of investment sales, including placement and raising of equity; and commercial mortgage brokerage, such as government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) and federal housing administration (FHA) lending, as well as the placement of debt, loan sales, and structured finance on behalf of third parties. It also provides landlord or agency representation leasing; GSEs and FHA multifamily loan servicing, as well as limited loan servicing, special loan servicing, and asset management; management consulting, managed services, and fund accounting for investors; valuation and advisory services; property management and workspace solutions for owners; due diligence, consulting, and other advisory services; commercial real estate technology platform and capabilities; and business rates for property owners. In addition, the company offers tenant representation leasing; occupier solutions comprising project management, transaction management, lease administration, and facilities management, as well as corporate consulting services to real estate and supply chain optimization, workplace strategy, and occupancy strategy areas; workspace solutions for occupiers; and business rates for occupiers. It serves commercial real estate tenants, investors, owners, occupiers, and developers, lenders, small and medium size businesses, multi-national corporations, and institutional owners of real estate. The company was formerly known as Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Capital Group and changed its name to Newmark Group, Inc. in October 2017. Newmark Group, Inc. was founded in 1929 and is based in New York, New York. Newmark Group, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Cantor Fitzgerald, L.P.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Newmark Group reported revenue of $3.3B in FY2025 versus $2.9B in FY2021, a compound +3.5%/yr. Reported net income was $126M in FY2025, compounding −36.0%/yr from FY2021.
NMRK screens 51% overvalued. Compare with Vingroup Joint Stock Company →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- The Bull Case For Newmark Group (NMRK) Could Change Following Q2 Beat, 601W Expansion, Buybacks
- Is Newmark Group (NMRK) Undervalued On Strong Q2 Earnings And A New Contract?
- Newmark Group Inc (NMRK) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Revenue Growth Amidst ...
- Newmark Group (NMRK) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Lag Estimates
Peer Group
Real Estate Services · 521 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
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| PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR | 372.00 IDR | 1,208 IDR | +225% |
| PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI | 20,975 IDR | 19,160 IDR | -9% |
| PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK | 3,530 IDR | 3,464 IDR | -2% |
| IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA | 2,495 ARS | 3,998 ARS | +60% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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