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CO2 Energy Transition Corp. Common Stock (NOEM) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $102M

CE CO2 Energy Transition Corp. Common Stock logo CO2 Energy Transition Corp. Common Stock NOEM · US
Price$10.99
Fair Value$2.41
Upside-78.1%
Quality44/100
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Risks

!Trades 78% ABOVE our fair value of $2.41
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/9)
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/9)
Narrow moat 6/100
Evidence: Medium Range $1.81 – $3.02 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +3.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 78% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.02). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (19 months)

$12.00 $9.80 Fair Value $2.41 Jan 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

19‑month range $9.80 – $12.00 · fair‑value band $1.81 – $3.02 · the $10.99 price screens above the $2.41 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

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Analysis

CO2 Energy Transition Corp. Common Stock (NOEM) currently trades at $10.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.41, implying the stock looks roughly 78.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 68.7. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.81 (bear case) to $3.02 (bull case); at $10.99, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at -78%, NOEM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth-Adj P/E $1.48 $2.12 $2.75 68
P/E Multiple $1.81 $2.41 $3.02 63
Residual Income $4.63 $4.25 $2.97 61
All 8 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.17 $3.12 $4.08 54
Lynch FV $0.6000 $0.8600 $1.12 50
PEG = 1.0 $0.6000 $0.8600 $1.12 46
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.81 $2.41 $3.02 63
P/B Multiple $2.20 $2.93 $3.66 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.63 $4.87 $7.26 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $4.63 $4.25 $2.97 61
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $1.48 $2.12 $2.75 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($4.87) versus Earnings-Based ($0.8600). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).

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Key figures & financial health

Free cash flow −$745K FY2025
P/E ratio 68.7
EPS (TTM) $0.1600
EPS growth (YoY) -23.9%
Net cash $276K FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 39
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

CO2 Energy Transition Corp. does not have significant operations. The company focuses on effecting a merger, capital stock exchange, asset acquisition, stock purchase, reorganization, or similar business combination with one or more businesses or entities in the energy industry. CO2 Energy Transition Corp.

Full company description

CO2 Energy Transition Corp. does not have significant operations. The company focuses on effecting a merger, capital stock exchange, asset acquisition, stock purchase, reorganization, or similar business combination with one or more businesses or entities in the energy industry. CO2 Energy Transition Corp. was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Houston, Texas. CO2 Energy Transition Corp. operates as a subsidiary of CO2 Energy Transition, LLC.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CO2 Energy Transition Corp. Common Stock reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2022. Reported net income was $1.7M in FY2025.

Revenue
FY22 $0
FY23 $0
FY24 $0
FY25 $0
Net income
FY21 −$6.0K
FY22 −$152K
FY23 −$184K
FY24 $2.6K
FY25 $1.7M

NOEM screens 78% overvalued. Compare with The Coca-Cola Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CO2 Energy Transition Corp. Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NOEM

Peer Group

Shell Companies · 95 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside −78% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Shell Companies median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 68.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.47× · Pricier than median

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is CO2 Energy Transition Corp. Common Stock (NOEM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.41 versus a price of $10.99, about −78% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NOEM?
Our model-based fair value for CO2 Energy Transition Corp. Common Stock is $2.41 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $10.99.
What is the quality score of NOEM?
CO2 Energy Transition Corp. Common Stock has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of NOEM?
The net profit margin of CO2 Energy Transition Corp. Common Stock is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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