NOVARTIS INDIA LTD. (NOVARTIND) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · IN · Market cap ₹36.3B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
A solid business, but screening 76% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹546.53). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- A fairly wide model range (₹291.50 to ₹546.53) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹480.28 – ₹1,606 · fair‑value band ₹291.50 – ₹546.53 · the ₹1,532 price screens above the ₹370.12 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
NOVARTIS INDIA LTD. (NOVARTIND) currently trades at ₹1,532, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹370.12, implying the stock looks roughly 75.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, NOVARTIS INDIA LTD. generated revenue of ₹3.5B at a net margin of 26.3%. Revenue grew 8.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.6%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 40.6. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹291.50 (bear case) to ₹546.53 (bull case); at ₹1,532, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 104% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at -76%, NOVARTIND screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹627.07) versus Asset-Based (₹221.92). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 86
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Novartis India Limited operates as a healthcare company in India. The company offers therapeutic products in the areas of bone and pain products under the Voveran brand; transplantation immunology products under the Simulect, Certican, Sandimmun, Neoral, and Myfortic brands. It also offers neurosciences products under the Tegrital and Exelon brands.
Full company description
Novartis India Limited operates as a healthcare company in India. The company offers therapeutic products in the areas of bone and pain products under the Voveran brand; transplantation immunology products under the Simulect, Certican, Sandimmun, Neoral, and Myfortic brands. It also offers neurosciences products under the Tegrital and Exelon brands. Novartis India Limited was incorporated in 1947 and is based in Mumbai, India. The company is a subsidiary of Novartis AG.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
NOVARTIS INDIA LTD. reported revenue of ₹3.5B in FY2026 versus ₹3.9B in FY2022, a compound −2.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹932M in FY2026.
NOVARTIND screens 76% overvalued. Compare with Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co →
Peer Group
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 633 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 | ¥53.76 | ¥25.94 | -52% |
| Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA | ₹1,944 | ₹989.50 | -49% |
| Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB | ₹8,525 | ₹1,228 | -86% |
| Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM | ₹4,915 | ₹1,163 | -76% |
| PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 | 1,440 TWD | 233.93 TWD | -84% |
| Cipla Limited CIPLA | ₹1,463 | ₹1,001 | -32% |
| Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE | ₹1,167 | ₹703.32 | -40% |
| Lupin Limited LUPIN | ₹2,281 | ₹2,477 | +9% |
| Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND | ₹2,433 | ₹983.11 | -60% |
| Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY | ₹1,200 | ₹874.79 | -27% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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