Nerdwallet Inc (NRDS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Nerdwallet Inc stock $22.48, price $7.89, upside +184.9%, quality 88 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $6.51 – $28.30 · fair‑value band $15.74 – $29.23 · the $7.89 price screens below the $22.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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NerdWallet, Inc. operates a digital platform that provides financial guidance to consumers and small and mid-sized businesses (SMB) in the United States, the United Kingdom, Australia, and Canada.
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It offers editorial and content publishing, a consumer and SMB financial education, tools, calculators, guides, and research published under the NerdWallet brand; Marketplace And Referral Services, a tool that enable users to compare, pre-qualify for, or connect with third-party providers of credit cards, consumer loans, small business loans, insurance, mortgages, financial services, and related products, as well as services including fundera, nerdwallet insurance services, nerdwallet advisory, and nerdwallet compare; and Financial Services, a brokerage and advisory services provided by insurance agency, loan and mortgage brokerages, and investment advisory subsidiaries.
Additionally, the company provides finance and refinance facilities to students for education. NerdWallet, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is based in San Mateo, California.
Stock analysis
Nerdwallet Inc (NRDS) currently trades at $7.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $22.48, implying the stock looks roughly 65% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $33.37 per share, and 21 of the 24 models we run sit above the $7.89 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.40, and 3 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $15.74 (bear) to $29.23 (bull), the price of $7.89 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 88/100 (high quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Nerdwallet Inc reported revenue of $837M in FY2025 versus $380M in FY2021, a compound +21.8%/yr. Reported net income was $48.7M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $519M Small · P/E ratio 10.1 · P/S ratio 0.59 · EPS (TTM) $0.7800 · Net margin 6.1% · Return on equity 14.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin 8.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at 185%, NRDS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$15.74Fair Value $22.48Bull$29.23
Price $7.89 · Upside +184.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.6689 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.
SaleTopline Capital Partners, LP10% owner1,961,860 shares at $9.11$17.9MJun 30, 2026
SaleCollin McBirneyOther1,961,860 shares at $9.11$17.9MJun 30, 2026
SaleSamuel YountChief Business Officer7× since Nov 13, 2025: 120,944 shares, avg. $12.13$1.5MMar 17, 2026
SaleNicholas TatumChief Accounting Officer2× since Dec 3, 2025: 12,235 shares, avg. $11.89$145,426Mar 5, 202610b5-1 plan
Plus 13 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+21.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.2%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+13.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+13.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 8%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−18.9%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −20.8% a year for the price and +3.6% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (100 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Internet Content & Information · 122 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score88 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+184.9% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)14.4% · Above median
Return on assets10.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)6.1% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)8.1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)11.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.08× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nerdwallet Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NRDS
Frequently asked questions
Is Nerdwallet Inc (NRDS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $22.48 versus a price of $7.89, about +185% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NRDS?
Our model-based fair value for Nerdwallet Inc is $22.48 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $7.89.
What is the quality score of NRDS?
Nerdwallet Inc has a Quality Score of 88/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nerdwallet Inc (NRDS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $22.48 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $15.74, optimistic scenario $29.23. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nerdwallet Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $22.48, about +185% upside versus a price of $7.89 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $15.74, optimistic scenario $29.23. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nerdwallet Inc (NRDS)?
Nerdwallet Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $884M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What growth is priced into Nerdwallet Inc (NRDS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Nerdwallet Inc would have to grow free cash flow by -18.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +27.8 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NRDS use?
Our models discount Nerdwallet Inc at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.21, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Nerdwallet Inc that is -18.9 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Nerdwallet Inc (NRDS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Nerdwallet Inc grew +27.8 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -18.9 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Nerdwallet Inc (NRDS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Nerdwallet Inc (-18.9 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Nerdwallet Inc (NRDS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 25.10 %: that much free cash flow Nerdwallet Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Nerdwallet Inc (NRDS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nerdwallet Inc it is $22.48 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $7.89. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Nerdwallet Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, NRDS trades below its calculated fair value: price $7.89, fair value $22.48, a gap of about +185% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NRDS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($7.89); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($22.48). For Nerdwallet Inc the two are $14.59 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nerdwallet Inc worth?
The market values Nerdwallet Inc at about $519M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $7.89; our models calculate a fair value of $22.48 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NRDS?
Our models span a range for Nerdwallet Inc: cautious scenario $15.74, base $22.48, optimistic $29.23 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $7.89). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NRDS?
Nerdwallet Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.1 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $22.48 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 17.2 (reported for FY2025: 12.3). Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 5.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nerdwallet Inc (NRDS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nerdwallet Inc (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 14.4%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 88/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NRDS from its 52-week high?
Nerdwallet Inc trades at $7.89, about 50% below its 52-week high of $15.93 and 4% above the low of $7.58 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $22.48 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nerdwallet Inc?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Alphabet Inc, Meta Platforms, Inc, Tencent Holdings, Spotify Technology S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nerdwallet Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $7.89, calculated fair value $22.48 (+185%), Quality Score 88/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NRDS calculated?
We run Nerdwallet Inc through 24 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $22.48 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Nerdwallet Inc currently trades 65% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nerdwallet Inc (NRDS)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $7.89. Our model-based fair value is $22.48, about +185% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nerdwallet Inc right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (88/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($15.74). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range ($15.74 to $29.23) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Nerdwallet Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Nerdwallet Inc (NRDS)?
The market capitalisation of Nerdwallet Inc is $519M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nerdwallet Inc (NRDS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nerdwallet Inc is 0.59 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nerdwallet Inc (NRDS)?
Earnings per share at Nerdwallet Inc are $0.7800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Nerdwallet Inc (NRDS)?
The net margin of Nerdwallet Inc is 6.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nerdwallet Inc (NRDS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nerdwallet Inc is 14.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nerdwallet Inc (NRDS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nerdwallet Inc is 0.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nerdwallet Inc (NRDS)?
The operating margin of Nerdwallet Inc is 8.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nerdwallet Inc (NRDS)?
Revenue at Nerdwallet Inc is growing +11.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nerdwallet Inc (NRDS)?
Earnings per share at Nerdwallet Inc are growing −32.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Nerdwallet Inc (NRDS) hold?
Nerdwallet Inc holds more cash than debt, $98.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Nov 8, 2026