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NerdWallet, Inc (NRDS) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $551M

NI NerdWallet, Inc logo NerdWallet, Inc NRDS · US
Price$9.91
Fair Value$17.76
Upside+79.2%
Quality85/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 8.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (12/13)
Moderate moat 62/100
Evidence: High Range $13.32 – $22.20 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 27, 2026, revised from $17.02 to $17.76 (+4.3%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +4.6% over the past month.

A strong business, screening 79% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (85/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($13.32). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$28.30 $6.51 Fair Value $17.76 Nov 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

57‑month range $6.51 – $28.30 · fair‑value band $13.32 – $22.20 · the $9.91 price screens below the $17.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

NerdWallet, Inc (NRDS) currently trades at $9.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.76, implying the stock looks roughly 79.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 85/100 (high quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, NerdWallet, Inc generated revenue of $850M at a net margin of 8.1%. Revenue grew 6.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $98.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $13.32 (bear case) to $22.20 (bull case); at $9.91, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 79%, NRDS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $50.44 $82.83 $141.93 80
Residual Income $9.79 $11.32 $21.37 76
Rev-Margin DCF $31.64 $55.57 $92.25 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $37.03 $74.61 $144.35 31
5Y P/E Exit $27.65 $46.65 $70.17 38
10Y P/E Exit $35.95 $58.62 $94.84 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $9.71 $67.70 $95.01 54
Lynch FV $22.55 $32.22 $41.89 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $2.19 $3.94 $5.42 70
DDM Multi-Stage $2.19 $3.60 $4.21 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $13.92 $18.56 $23.20 63
P/B Multiple $11.53 $15.37 $19.21 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.49 $7.36 $10.98 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $50.44 $82.83 $141.93 80
Rev-Margin DCF $31.64 $55.57 $92.25 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $9.79 $11.32 $21.37 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($58.62) versus Dividend Discount ($3.60). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $850M
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.2%
Net margin 8.1%
Return on equity 19.5%
Free cash flow $130M FY2025
P/E ratio 9.0
More key figures
Operating margin 12.8%
EPS (TTM) $0.9300
EPS growth (YoY) +10,935%
Net cash $98.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 85/100

Of which business quality 83 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 70
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 88
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 82
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 31
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 28
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

NerdWallet, Inc. operates a digital platform that provides financial guidance to consumers and small and mid-sized businesses (SMB) in the United States, the United Kingdom, Australia, and Canada.

Full company description

NerdWallet, Inc. operates a digital platform that provides financial guidance to consumers and small and mid-sized businesses (SMB) in the United States, the United Kingdom, Australia, and Canada. It offers editorial and content publishing, a consumer and SMB financial education, tools, calculators, guides, and research published under the NerdWallet brand; Marketplace And Referral Services, a tool that enable users to compare, pre-qualify for, or connect with third-party providers of credit cards, consumer loans, small business loans, insurance, mortgages, financial services, and related products, as well as services including fundera, nerdwallet insurance services, nerdwallet advisory, and nerdwallet compare; and Financial Services, a brokerage and advisory services provided by insurance agency, loan and mortgage brokerages, and investment advisory subsidiaries. Additionally, the company provides finance and refinance facilities to students for education. NerdWallet, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is based in San Mateo, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

NerdWallet, Inc reported revenue of $837M in FY2025 versus $380M in FY2021, a compound +21.8%/yr. Reported net income was $48.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$837M
Latest YoY
+21.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+15.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+27.8%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+24.2%
Revenue +21.8%/yr
FY21 $380M
FY22 $539M
FY23 $599M
FY24 $688M
FY25 $837M
Net income
FY21 −$42.5M
FY22 −$10.2M
FY23 −$11.8M
FY24 $30.4M
FY25 $48.7M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NerdWallet, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NRDS

Peer Group

Internet Content & Information · 151 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 84 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +79% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 13% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.08× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.47× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.65× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 4.2× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 4.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 31 · sector 31
PAST 78 · sector 10
HEALTH 96 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 43

Insider activity: 44/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Internet Content & Information stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Alphabet Inc GOOGL $354.46 $145.14 -59%
Meta Platforms, Inc META $669.21 $534.91 -20%
Tencent Holdings 0700 HK$460.20 HK$467.50 +2%
Spotify Technology S.A SPOT $485.38 $209.56 -57%
Baidu, Inc BIDU $113.30 $451.51 +299%
Reddit, Inc RDDT $195.34 $39.59 -80%
Kuaishou Technology, an investment holding company, 1024 HK$44.70 HK$101.03 +126%
NAVER Corporation 035420 191,300 KRW 231,585 KRW +21%
Tencent Music Entertainment Group 1698 HK$34.74 HK$65.78 +89%
REA Group REA A$149.14 A$88.53 -41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is NerdWallet, Inc (NRDS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $17.76 versus a price of $9.91, about +79% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NRDS?
Our model-based fair value for NerdWallet, Inc is $17.76 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $9.91.
What is the quality score of NRDS?
NerdWallet, Inc has a Quality Score of 85/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of NerdWallet, Inc (NRDS)?
NerdWallet, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $850M (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NRDS?
The net profit margin of NerdWallet, Inc is about 8.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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