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Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. (NUTRISAA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 9, 2026: fair value of Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. MXN 3.91, price MXN 3.05, upside +28.2%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Defensive · MX

GN Thin data Oct 3, 2026

Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V.

NUTRISAA · MX

UndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.

Fair value 3.91 MXN · Undervalued (+28.2%)
Quality 51/100
Weak Growth (revenue YoY −49.8 %/yr in MXN)
Loss-making · -10.9% net margin (TTM)
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 12/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

5.29 MXN 2.83 MXN Fair Value 3.91 MXN Sep 2025 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

13‑month range 2.83 MXN – 5.29 MXN · fair‑value band 2.92 MXN – 5.83 MXN · the 3.05 MXN price screens below the 3.91 MXN fair value. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. operates as a holding company in the retail sector that produces and sells healthy and natural food products in Mexico. It offers yogurts; sweets, beverages, and snacks; yogurt ice cream; and coffee-based beverages. It sells its products through Nutrisa, Moyo, Cielito Querido Café, and Chilim Balam brands.

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Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. operates as a holding company in the retail sector that produces and sells healthy and natural food products in Mexico. It offers yogurts; sweets, beverages, and snacks; yogurt ice cream; and coffee-based beverages. It sells its products through Nutrisa, Moyo, Cielito Querido Café, and Chilim Balam brands. It operate primarily through stores located in Mexico and markets in Central America and Spain. The company was founded in 1979 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico. Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. operates independently of Grupo Herdez, S.A.B. de C.V. as of September 18, 2025.

Stock analysis

Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. (NUTRISAA) currently trades at 3.05 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.91 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 22.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 77/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: 2.92 MXN (bear) to 5.83 MXN (bull), the price of 3.05 MXN sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. reported revenue of 2.4B MXN in FY2024 versus 3.9B MXN in FY2022, a compound −22.6%/yr. Reported net income was −200M MXN in FY2024.

Key figures

Market cap 1.1B MXN (≈ $60.4M) · P/S ratio 0.47 · Net margin −8.5% · Return on equity −11.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.1% · Operating margin −1.7% · Revenue (TTM) 2.4B MXN · Revenue growth (YoY) −2.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at 28%, NUTRISAA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 2.92 MXN Fair Value 3.91 MXN Bull 5.83 MXN
Price 3.05 MXN · Upside +28.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) 2.92 MXN 3.91 MXN 5.83 MXN 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2.92 MXN 3.91 MXN 5.83 MXN 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Household & Personal Products · 240 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside +28.2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −4.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −10.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −1.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −2.9% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)71 · sector 32
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 19
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 32
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 56

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Puig Brands, S.A PUIG €17.84 €24.28 +36% vs NUTRISAA
Henkel AG HEN €68.10 €82.61 +21% vs NUTRISAA
Kimberly-Clark Corporation KMB $94.36 $83.77 −11% vs NUTRISAA
Beiersdorf Aktiengesellschaft, BEI €78.14 €69.09 −12% vs NUTRISAA
Kenvue Inc KVUE $17.80 $12.72 −29% vs NUTRISAA
Church & Dwight Co CHD $94.31 $65.04 −31% vs NUTRISAA
Colgate-Palmolive Company CL $84.26 $56.16 −33% vs NUTRISAA
Marico Limited MARICO ₹786.15 ₹493.84 −37% vs NUTRISAA
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc EL $94.32 $44.21 −53% vs NUTRISAA
Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR ₹1,845 ₹775.25 −58% vs NUTRISAA

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Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. · Fair Value
3.91 MXN +22%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NUTRISAA

Frequently asked questions

Is Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. (NUTRISAA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.91 MXN versus a price of 3.05 MXN, about +28% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NUTRISAA?
Our model-based fair value for Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. is 3.91 MXN (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 3.05 MXN.
What is the quality score of NUTRISAA?
Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. (NUTRISAA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3.91 MXN (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.92 MXN, optimistic scenario 5.83 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3.91 MXN, about +28% upside versus a price of 3.05 MXN (undervalued). Cautious scenario 2.92 MXN, optimistic scenario 5.83 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. (NUTRISAA)?
Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.4B MXN (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. (NUTRISAA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. it is 3.91 MXN per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of 3.05 MXN. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, NUTRISAA trades below its calculated fair value: price 3.05 MXN, fair value 3.91 MXN, a gap of about +28% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NUTRISAA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (3.05 MXN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3.91 MXN). For Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. the two are 0.8600 MXN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. worth?
The market values Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. at about 1.1B MXN (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is 3.05 MXN; our models calculate a fair value of 3.91 MXN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NUTRISAA?
Our models span a range for Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V.: cautious scenario 2.92 MXN, base 3.91 MXN, optimistic 5.83 MXN per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price 3.05 MXN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. (NUTRISAA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −11.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NUTRISAA from its 52-week high?
Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. trades at 3.05 MXN, about 41% below its 52-week high of 5.15 MXN and 8% above the low of 2.83 MXN (as of Oct 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3.91 MXN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V.?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Colgate-Palmolive Company, Hindustan Unilever Limited, Kenvue Inc, The Estée Lauder Companies Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price 3.05 MXN, calculated fair value 3.91 MXN (+28%), Quality Score 51/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NUTRISAA calculated?
We run Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 3.91 MXN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. currently trades 22 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. (NUTRISAA)?
The closing price on Oct 9, 2026 was 3.05 MXN. Our model-based fair value is 3.91 MXN, about +28% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. right now?
Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (2.92 MXN to 5.83 MXN) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V.

How large is the market capitalisation of Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. (NUTRISAA)?
The market capitalisation of Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. is 1.1B MXN (≈ $60.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. (NUTRISAA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. is 0.47 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. (NUTRISAA)?
The net margin of Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. is −8.5% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. (NUTRISAA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. is −11.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. (NUTRISAA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. is −6.1% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. (NUTRISAA)?
The operating margin of Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. is −1.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. (NUTRISAA)?
Revenue at Grupo Nutrisa, S.A.B. de C.V. is growing −2.9% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
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