The Navigator Company (NVG) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · PT · Market cap €2.5B
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from €2.65 to €3.18 (+19.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.2% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (€2.22 to €4.12) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €1.93 – €3.91 · fair‑value band €2.22 – €4.12 · the €3.49 price screens above the €3.18 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
The Navigator Company (NVG) currently trades at €3.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.18, implying the stock looks roughly 9.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, The Navigator Company generated revenue of €1.9B at a net margin of 6.1%. Revenue declined 19.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.0%. Net debt stands at €704M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €2.22 (bear case) to €4.12 (bull case); at €3.49, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at -9%, NVG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€3.46) versus Earnings-Based (€0.6200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
The Navigator Company, S.A. engages in the production of forestry, pulp, paper, tissue, and packaging solutions worldwide. The company operates through Market Folder, UWF Paper, Tissue Paper, and Energy segments.
Full company description
The Navigator Company, S.A. engages in the production of forestry, pulp, paper, tissue, and packaging solutions worldwide. The company operates through Market Folder, UWF Paper, Tissue Paper, and Energy segments. It is involved in the production of pulp, printing, and writing papers under the Navigator, Pioneer, and Inacopia brands; production of tissue under the Amoos brand; provision of packaging solutions under the gKraft brand; research, acquisition, and sale of wood; production of bleached eucalyptus pulp; and production and commercialization of thermal and electrical energy. The company was formerly known as Portucel, S.A. and changed its name to The Navigator Company, S.A. in February 2016. The company was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Setúbal, Portugal. The Navigator Company, S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Semapa - Sociedade de Investimento e Gestão, SGPS, S.A.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
The Navigator Company reported revenue of €2.0B in FY2025 versus €1.6B in FY2021, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was €145M in FY2025, compounding −4.2%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Paper & Paper Products · 113 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Klabin S.A KLBN11 | R$17.58 | R$3.89 | -78% |
| UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPM | €23.45 | €15.47 | -34% |
| Suzano S.A SUZB3 | R$41.70 | R$138.01 | +231% |
| Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) SCAB | kr 103.00 | kr 49.40 | -52% |
| Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 | ¥14.13 | ¥17.29 | +22% |
| Holmen AB HOLMB | kr 305.40 | kr 217.72 | -29% |
| Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 | HK$7.55 | HK$8.73 | +16% |
| Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC | 1,078 CLP | 1,269 CLP | +18% |
| Xianhe Co 603733 | ¥22.05 | ¥24.32 | +10% |
| Billerud AB BILL | kr 68.70 | kr 48.60 | -29% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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