The North West Company (NWC) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CA · Market cap C$2.4B
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from C$54.18 to C$54.12 (−0.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.4% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (C$32.49 to C$77.14) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$26.83 – C$55.67 · fair‑value band C$32.49 – C$77.14 · the C$49.59 price screens below the C$54.12 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
The North West Company (NWC) currently trades at C$49.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$54.12, implying the stock looks roughly 9.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, The North West Company generated revenue of C$2.6B at a net margin of 5.4%. Revenue grew 0.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.0%. Net debt stands at C$349M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$32.49 (bear case) to C$77.14 (bull case); at C$49.59, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -31% fair-value upside, at 9%, NWC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (C$53.42) versus Asset-Based (C$11.28). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
The North West Company Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the retail of food and everyday products and services in northern Canada, rural Alaska, the South Pacific, and the Caribbean.
Full company description
The North West Company Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the retail of food and everyday products and services in northern Canada, rural Alaska, the South Pacific, and the Caribbean. The company operates Northern stores, which offers food, general merchandise, and financial services that include cheque cashing, ATMs, and prepaid card products; NorthMart stores that provides fresh food, apparel, and health products and services; and Quickstop convenience stores that provides ready-to-eat food products, fuel, and related services. It also operates Giant Tiger junior discount stores, which offers family fashion, household products, and food products; Valu Lots discount center and direct-to-customer food distribution outlets for remote communities; solo market, a full service grocery; Pharmacy and Convenience stores; and NWC Motorsports, a dealership that offers sales, service, parts and accessories for Ski-doo, Honda, Can-am and other premier brands. In addition, the company also engages in distribution of produces and fresh meats; provides contract tele-pharmacist services; and engages in shipping services. Further, it operates Alaska Commercial Company stores that provides food and general merchandise to remote and rural regions; Pacific Alaska wholesale, a distributor to independent grocery stores, commercial accounts, and individual households; Riteway food markets; and Cost-U-Less mid-size warehouse stores. Additionally, the company also offers gasoline. The North West Company Inc. was formerly known as North West Company Fund and changed its name to The North West Company Inc. in January 2011. The North West Company Inc. Inc was founded in 1668 and is headquartered in Winnipeg, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
The North West Company reported revenue of C$2.6B in FY2026 versus C$2.2B in FY2022, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was C$139M in FY2026, compounding −2.6%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +4.2 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Grocery Stores · 83 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loblaw Companies Limited L | C$65.49 | C$44.44 | -32% |
| Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AD | €36.30 | €53.50 | +47% |
| The Kroger Co KR | $58.82 | $28.19 | -52% |
| Woolworths Group WOW | A$39.20 | A$13.40 | -66% |
| George Weston Limited WN | C$100.98 | C$63.61 | -37% |
| Coles Group COL | A$23.56 | A$15.86 | -33% |
| Metro Inc MRU | C$93.64 | C$94.01 | +0% |
| Carrefour SA CA | €16.40 | €11.51 | -30% |
| CP ALL Public Company TCPD | 1.89 SGD | 2.36 SGD | +25% |
| BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S., BIMAS | 385.75 TRY | 267.12 TRY | -31% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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