LIFULL Co. Ltd (NXCLF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 12, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of LIFULL Co. Ltd stock $1.59, price $1.57, upside +1.2%, quality 63 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 15 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.8505 – $10.22 · fair‑value band $1.30 – $2.10 · the $1.57 price screens below the $1.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 12, 2026.
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LIFULL Co.,Ltd. provides real estate information services in Japan and internationally.
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It offers LIFULL HOME'S, a site of real estate and housing information; LIFULL Revitalize Rural Japan that suggests new lifestyles to people in Japan based on the refurbishment of abandoned houses; LIFULL Move, which provides rankings and reviews of moving companies; LIFULL Nursing Care, a website related to nursing homes or other serviced housing for seniors; and LIFULL Investment, a money lending website.
The company also provides LIFULL FaM that enables working mothers to balance childcare with work while pursuing a career; LIFULL Storage, a storage space searching web service; LIFULL HUB, a coworking space in an office; LIFULL Fab for design and craftsmanship; and LIFULL Table, a gallery and open space for photography, exhibitions, press releases, and workshops.
In addition, it offers LivingAnywhere Commons, a network of accommodations with co-working spaces; instant house products; LIFULL FaM Partners, which offer back-office support services; LIFULL Agri Loop, an antioxidant technology; LIFULL ALT-RHYTHM, a team in the Japanese professional dance league; and leadership development programs.
LIFULL Co.,Ltd. was formerly known as NEXT Co., Ltd. and changed its name to LIFULL Co.,Ltd. in April 2017. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Stock analysis
LIFULL Co. Ltd (NXCLF) currently trades at $1.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.59, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 1.2%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $4.56 per share, and 9 of the 15 models we run sit above the $1.57 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.1800, and 6 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $1.30 (bear) to $2.10 (bull), the price of $1.57 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
LIFULL Co. Ltd reported revenue of ¥28.1B in FY2025 versus ¥35.9B in FY2021, a compound −5.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥5.3B in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $202M Micro · P/E ratio 9.8 · P/S ratio 1.86 · EPS (TTM) $0.1600 · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin 18.9% · Return on equity 11.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.3% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 56 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 37% fair-value upside, at 1%, NXCLF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$1.30Fair Value $1.59Bull$2.10
Price $1.57 · Upside +1.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1600 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.13/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−18.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.9% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+20.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+17.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.25.3% vs 6.1%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 14%
2025 sits 390% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Internet Content & Information · 140 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Above median
Fair Value upside+1.2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)11.5% · Above median
Return on assets12.8% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)10.5% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)12.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)4.6% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.28× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper
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Is LIFULL Co. Ltd (NXCLF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.59 versus a price of $1.57, about +1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of NXCLF?
Our model-based fair value for LIFULL Co. Ltd is $1.59 (as of Nov 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.57.
What is the quality score of NXCLF?
LIFULL Co. Ltd has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for LIFULL Co. Ltd (NXCLF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.59 (as of Nov 12, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.30, optimistic scenario $2.10. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the LIFULL Co. Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.59, about +1% upside versus a price of $1.57 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $1.30, optimistic scenario $2.10. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of LIFULL Co. Ltd (NXCLF)?
LIFULL Co. Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥29.1B (latest available figure, as of Nov 12, 2026).
Does LIFULL Co. Ltd pay a dividend?
LIFULL Co. Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 2.75% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 12, 2026).
How much is the dividend of LIFULL Co. Ltd (NXCLF) and when is the ex-dividend date?
LIFULL Co. Ltd has a dividend yield of 2.8%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 29, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2015. The payout ratio is 1.8% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of LIFULL Co. Ltd (NXCLF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For LIFULL Co. Ltd it is $1.59 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026), against a price of $1.57. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is LIFULL Co. Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 12, 2026, NXCLF trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.57, fair value $1.59, a gap of about +1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NXCLF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.57); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.59). For LIFULL Co. Ltd the two are $0.0185 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is LIFULL Co. Ltd worth?
The market values LIFULL Co. Ltd at about $202M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 12, 2026). Per share that is $1.57; our models calculate a fair value of $1.59 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NXCLF?
Our models span a range for LIFULL Co. Ltd: cautious scenario $1.30, base $1.59, optimistic $2.10 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026, price $1.57). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NXCLF?
LIFULL Co. Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.8 (as of Nov 12, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.59 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 5.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of LIFULL Co. Ltd (NXCLF)?
Balance-sheet figures for LIFULL Co. Ltd (as of Nov 12, 2026): return on equity 11.5%, debt of 0.28 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NXCLF from its 52-week high?
LIFULL Co. Ltd trades at $1.57, about 1% below its 52-week high of $1.58 and 31% above the low of $1.20 (as of Nov 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.59 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to LIFULL Co. Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Alphabet Inc, Meta Platforms, Inc, Tencent Holdings, Spotify Technology S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is LIFULL Co. Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 12, 2026: price $1.57, calculated fair value $1.59 (+1%), Quality Score 63/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NXCLF calculated?
We run LIFULL Co. Ltd through 15 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $1.59 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.3% above its aggregate fair value. LIFULL Co. Ltd currently trades 1% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of LIFULL Co. Ltd (NXCLF)?
The closing price on Nov 12, 2026 was $1.57. Our model-based fair value is $1.59, about +1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with LIFULL Co. Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of LIFULL Co. Ltd (NXCLF) come from?
Earnings per share at LIFULL Co. Ltd grew +2.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.0 %, EBIT margin −4.9 %, tax rate +1.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +4.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of LIFULL Co. Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of LIFULL Co. Ltd (NXCLF)?
The market capitalisation of LIFULL Co. Ltd is $202M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of LIFULL Co. Ltd (NXCLF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of LIFULL Co. Ltd is 1.86 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of LIFULL Co. Ltd (NXCLF)?
Earnings per share at LIFULL Co. Ltd are $0.1600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of LIFULL Co. Ltd (NXCLF)?
The dividend yield of LIFULL Co. Ltd is 2.8% (payout 27.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of LIFULL Co. Ltd (NXCLF)?
The net margin of LIFULL Co. Ltd is 18.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of LIFULL Co. Ltd (NXCLF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of LIFULL Co. Ltd is 11.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of LIFULL Co. Ltd (NXCLF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of LIFULL Co. Ltd is −3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of LIFULL Co. Ltd (NXCLF)?
The operating margin of LIFULL Co. Ltd is 12.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at LIFULL Co. Ltd (NXCLF)?
Revenue at LIFULL Co. Ltd is growing +4.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at LIFULL Co. Ltd (NXCLF)?
Earnings per share at LIFULL Co. Ltd are growing −15.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does LIFULL Co. Ltd (NXCLF) generate?
The free cash flow of LIFULL Co. Ltd is −¥3.4B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does LIFULL Co. Ltd (NXCLF) hold?
LIFULL Co. Ltd holds more cash than debt, ¥1.6B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Nov 12, 2026