Nexted Group Ltd (NXD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Nexted Group Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0730 – A$1.75 · fair‑value band A$0.0599 – A$0.1268 · the A$0.0740 price screens below the A$0.0964 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
NextEd Group Limited provides educational services in Australia, Europe, and South America. It operates through four segments: Technology & Design, International, Go Study, and Domestic Vocational.
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NextEd Group Limited provides educational services in Australia, Europe, and South America. It operates through four segments: Technology & Design, International, Go Study, and Domestic Vocational. The International segment provides english language intensive courses, and vocational education and training courses in business, leadership and management, project management, marketing and communication, commercial cookery, hospitality, healthcare and community services for international students. The Technology & Design segment offers face-to-face and online courses in information technology, digital design, interactive multimedia, computer coding, digital marketing, games and apps programming, and digital filmmaking. The Domestic Vocational segment provides vocational course that covers commercial cookery, hospitality, business, community services, healthcare, construction, information technology, and interior design for domestic students. The Go Study segment operates an international student advisory recruitment agency. It is also involved in student recruitment. The company was formerly known as iCollege Limited and changed its name to NextEd Group Limited in December 2022. NextEd Group Limited was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Ultimo, Australia.
Stock analysis
Nexted Group Ltd (NXD) currently trades at A$0.0740, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0964, implying the stock looks roughly 23.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of A$0.9400 per share, and 11 of the 12 models we run sit above the A$0.0740 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.0600, and 1 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.0599 (bear) to A$0.1268 (bull), the price of A$0.0740 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Nexted Group Ltd reported revenue of A$95.9M in FY2025 versus A$16.3M in FY2021, a compound +55.8%/yr. Reported net income was −A$14.6M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$19.7M (≈ $14.1M) · P/S ratio 0.21 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0300 · Dividend yield 12.2% · Net margin −15.2% · Return on equity −29.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.1% · Operating margin 4.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 30%, NXD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0599Fair Value A$0.0964Bull A$0.1268
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.53/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+54.7%
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+51.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−22.5% (2020) → −3.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Education & Training Services · 138 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Below median
Fair Value upside+200% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)12.2% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nexted Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NXD
Frequently asked questions
Is Nexted Group Ltd (NXD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0964 versus a price of A$0.0740, about +30% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NXD?
Our model-based fair value for Nexted Group Ltd is A$0.0964 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0740.
What is the quality score of NXD?
Nexted Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nexted Group Ltd (NXD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0964 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0599, optimistic scenario A$0.1268. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nexted Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0964, about +30% upside versus a price of A$0.0740 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0599, optimistic scenario A$0.1268. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nexted Group Ltd (NXD)?
Nexted Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$94.9M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Nexted Group Ltd pay a dividend?
Nexted Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 12.16% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Nexted Group Ltd (NXD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nexted Group Ltd it is A$0.0964 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of A$0.0740. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nexted Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, NXD trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0740, fair value A$0.0964, a gap of about +30% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NXD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0740); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0964). For Nexted Group Ltd the two are A$0.0224 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nexted Group Ltd worth?
The market values Nexted Group Ltd at about A$19.7M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0740; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0964 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NXD?
Our models span a range for Nexted Group Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0599, base A$0.0964, optimistic A$0.1268 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price A$0.0740). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nexted Group Ltd (NXD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nexted Group Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −29.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Nexted Group Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value New Oriental Education & Technology Group, TAL Education Group, Laureate Education, Inc, Physicswallah Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nexted Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price A$0.0740, calculated fair value A$0.0964 (+30%), Quality Score 54/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NXD calculated?
We run Nexted Group Ltd through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0964, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Nexted Group Ltd currently trades 30 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Nexted Group Ltd right now?
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0599 to A$0.1268) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Nexted Group Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Nexted Group Ltd (NXD)?
The market capitalisation of Nexted Group Ltd is A$19.7M (≈ $14.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nexted Group Ltd (NXD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nexted Group Ltd is 0.21 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nexted Group Ltd (NXD)?
Earnings per share at Nexted Group Ltd are A$−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Nexted Group Ltd (NXD)?
The dividend yield of Nexted Group Ltd is 12.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Nexted Group Ltd (NXD)?
The net margin of Nexted Group Ltd is −15.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nexted Group Ltd (NXD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nexted Group Ltd is −29.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nexted Group Ltd (NXD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nexted Group Ltd is 0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nexted Group Ltd (NXD)?
The operating margin of Nexted Group Ltd is 4.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nexted Group Ltd (NXD)?
Revenue at Nexted Group Ltd is growing −2.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +27.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Nexted Group Ltd (NXD) generate?
The free cash flow of Nexted Group Ltd is A$11.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Nexted Group Ltd (NXD) carry?
The net debt of Nexted Group Ltd is A$21.7M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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