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Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $608M

Price$9.01
Fair Value$6.30
Upside-30.1%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Medium Range $4.72 – $7.87

Analysis

Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE) currently trades at $9.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.30 — implying the stock looks roughly 30.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

Obsidian Energy Ltd. engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas in Western Canada. Its portfolio of properties includes unitized and non-unitized light oil, heavy oil, and natural gas production. The company was formerly known as Penn West Petroleum Ltd. and changed its name to Obsidian Energy Ltd. in June 2017. Obsidian Energy Ltd. is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.