Oddity Tech Ltd (ODD) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $603M
Oddity Tech Ltd
ODD · US
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from $52.45 to $42.36 (−19.2%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −14.5% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 200% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($19.84). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The model range is unusually wide ($19.84 to $54.14). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
37‑month range $9.81 – $77.35 · fair‑value band $19.84 – $54.14 · the $14.12 price screens below the $42.36 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Oddity Tech Ltd (ODD) currently trades at $14.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $42.36, implying the stock looks roughly 200.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Oddity Tech Ltd generated revenue of $740M at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue declined 26.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.4%. Net debt stands at $206M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $19.84 (bear case) to $54.14 (bull case); at $14.12, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Analysts expect earnings well below the last reported figure (earnings in transition, for example expiring patents or contracts); a fair value that looks fair on trailing earnings may then be too optimistic. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at 200%, ODD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($146.62) versus Asset-Based ($7.68). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 8
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Oddity Tech Ltd. operates as a consumer tech company that builds digital-first brands for the beauty and wellness industries in the United States, Israel, and internationally.
Full company description
Oddity Tech Ltd. operates as a consumer tech company that builds digital-first brands for the beauty and wellness industries in the United States, Israel, and internationally. It serves consumers through its platform, which uses data science, machine learning, and computer vision capabilities to identify consumer needs, and develop solutions in the form of beauty, wellness, and technology products. The company provides a portfolio of products, including face and complexion, eye, brow and lip products, makeup tools, bodycare, medical grade prescription and OTC products, skincare, color cosmetics, haircare, and supplements under the IL MAKIAGE and SpoiledChild brands. In addition, it operates ODDITY LABS, a biotechnology center, which deploys AI-based molecule discovery technology to identify and launch novel ingredients that delivers performance and outcomes for consumers in beauty and wellness. Oddity Tech Ltd. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Jaffa, Israel.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Oddity Tech Ltd reported revenue of $810M in FY2025 versus $223M in FY2021, a compound +38.1%/yr. Reported net income was $111M in FY2025, compounding +67.9%/yr from FY2021.
Watch ODD: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- ODDITY to Announce Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results on September 9, 2026
- Oddity Tech (ODD) Stock Fair Value Moves Lower After Q1 Sparks Analyst Cuts
- How The Oddity Tech (ODD) Investment Story Is Evolving Without New Analyst Guidance
- Oddity Tech (ODD) Is Down 18.7% After Weak Q1 Results And Steep Q2 Revenue Guidance Cut
Peer Group
Household & Personal Products · 244 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Procter & Gamble Company PG | $146.80 | $108.16 | -26% |
| Unilever PLC ULN | 1,080 MXN | 1,273 MXN | +18% |
| Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR | ₹2,144 | ₹1,000 | -53% |
| Essity AB ESSITYA | kr 279.00 | kr 250.02 | -10% |
| Godrej Consumer Products Limited GODREJCP | ₹1,088 | ₹367.64 | -66% |
| Marico Limited MARICO | ₹846.75 | ₹233.05 | -72% |
| APR Co 278470 | 375,000 KRW | 151,222 KRW | -60% |
| Dabur India Limited DABUR | ₹429.45 | ₹181.60 | -58% |
| Kimberly-Clark de México, S. A. B. de C. V., KIMBERA | 38.07 MXN | 50.09 MXN | +32% |
| PT Unilever Indonesia Tbk UNVR | 1,730 IDR | 1,934 IDR | +12% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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