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Odessa Minerals Ltd (ODE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Odessa Minerals Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Sep 13, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU0000203796

OM Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Odessa Minerals Ltd

ODE · AU

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value A$0.0230 · Fairly valued (+5%)
!Quality 34/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +4.7 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/6)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.1050 A$0.0020 Fair Value A$0.0230 Sep 2020 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0020 – A$0.1050 · fair‑value band A$0.0194 – A$0.0283 · the A$0.0220 price screens below the A$0.0230 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Odessa Minerals Limited operates as a mineral exploration company primarily in Western Australia. It primarily explores lithium and rare earth elements. The company holds interest in the Lyndon project covering an area of 811 square kilometers; and lockier range REE/lithium project covering an area of 125 square kilometers in Gascoyne.

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Odessa Minerals Limited operates as a mineral exploration company primarily in Western Australia. It primarily explores lithium and rare earth elements. The company holds interest in the Lyndon project covering an area of 811 square kilometers; and lockier range REE/lithium project covering an area of 125 square kilometers in Gascoyne. The company was formerly known as Fargo Enterprises Limited and changed its name to Odessa Minerals Limited in January 2022. Odessa Minerals Limited was incorporated in 1935 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Odessa Minerals Ltd (ODE) currently trades at A$0.0220, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0230, implying the stock looks roughly 4.4% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0194 (bear) to A$0.0283 (bull), the price of A$0.0220 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Odessa Minerals Ltd reported revenue of A$50.6K in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −A$2.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$38.8M (≈ $27.3M) · Return on equity −24.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −47.6% · Operating margin −3,291% · Revenue (TTM) −A$3.2K · Revenue growth (YoY) −13.7% · Free cash flow −A$635K · Net cash A$2.1M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 214% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at 5%, ODE screens cheaper than that median.

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 9
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 25
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 8/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−57.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+302.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 36 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1,282.1% (2020) → −2,591.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Precious Metals & Mining · 102 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 34 · Below median
Fair Value upside +5% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −15% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −14% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 4.89× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)39 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 94
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 31

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk AMMN 4,870 IDR 871.64 IDR −82%
Hecla Mining Company HL $19.03 $16.28 −14%
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN $34.70 $28.79 −17%
Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW $11.41 $15.10 +32%
China Gold International Resources Corp CGG C$43.13 C$47.44 +10%
Artemis Gold Inc ARTG C$41.59 C$15.84 −62%
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM $33.73 $32.40 −4%
PT Merdeka Battery Materials Tbk. MBMA 525.00 IDR 73.59 IDR −86%
Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA $24.76 $6.07 −75%
Zhaojin International Gold Co 000506 ¥18.58 ¥2.01 −89%

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Odessa Minerals Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.0230 +4%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Odessa Minerals Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ODE

Frequently asked questions

Is Odessa Minerals Ltd (ODE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0230 versus a price of A$0.0220, about +5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ODE?
Our model-based fair value for Odessa Minerals Ltd is A$0.0230 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0220.
What is the quality score of ODE?
Odessa Minerals Ltd has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Odessa Minerals Ltd (ODE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0230 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0194, optimistic scenario A$0.0283. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Odessa Minerals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0230, about +5% upside versus a price of A$0.0220 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$0.0194, optimistic scenario A$0.0283. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Odessa Minerals Ltd (ODE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Odessa Minerals Ltd it is A$0.0230 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of A$0.0220. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Odessa Minerals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, ODE trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0220, fair value A$0.0230, a gap of about +5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ODE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0220); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0230). For Odessa Minerals Ltd the two are A$0.0010 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Odessa Minerals Ltd worth?
The market values Odessa Minerals Ltd at about A$38.8M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0220; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0230 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ODE?
Our models span a range for Odessa Minerals Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0194, base A$0.0230, optimistic A$0.0283 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price A$0.0220). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Odessa Minerals Ltd (ODE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Odessa Minerals Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −24.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ODE from its 52-week high?
Odessa Minerals Ltd trades at A$0.0220, about 21% below its 52-week high of A$0.0280 and 214% above the low of A$0.0070 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0230 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Odessa Minerals Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk, Hecla Mining Company, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A., Sibanye Stillwater Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Odessa Minerals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price A$0.0220, calculated fair value A$0.0230 (+5%), Quality Score 34/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ODE calculated?
We run Odessa Minerals Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0230, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Odessa Minerals Ltd currently trades 5 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Odessa Minerals Ltd (ODE)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was A$0.0220. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0230, about +5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Odessa Minerals Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Odessa Minerals Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Odessa Minerals Ltd (ODE)?
The market capitalisation of Odessa Minerals Ltd is A$38.8M (≈ $27.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the return on equity of Odessa Minerals Ltd (ODE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Odessa Minerals Ltd is −24.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Odessa Minerals Ltd (ODE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Odessa Minerals Ltd is −47.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Odessa Minerals Ltd (ODE)?
The operating margin of Odessa Minerals Ltd is −3,291% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much revenue does Odessa Minerals Ltd (ODE) generate?
Odessa Minerals Ltd generates revenue of −A$3.2K (last twelve months). Revenue of the last twelve months (TTM), the most recent full year, not the calendar year.
How fast is revenue growing at Odessa Minerals Ltd (ODE)?
Revenue at Odessa Minerals Ltd is growing −13.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +302%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Odessa Minerals Ltd (ODE) generate?
The free cash flow of Odessa Minerals Ltd is −A$635K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Odessa Minerals Ltd (ODE) hold?
Odessa Minerals Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$2.1M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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