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Odessa Minerals Ltd (ODE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Odessa Minerals Ltd stock A$0.01, price A$0.01, that is 13.2% below the price, quality 35 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU0000203796

OM Odessa Minerals Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Odessa Minerals Ltd

ODE · AU
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 13% below what the stock costs today.

Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +4.7 %/yr in AUD)
Fair value A$0.0122 · Overvalued
Quality 35/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/6)
Narrow moat 12/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

A$0.1050 A$0.0020 Fair Value A$0.0122 Oct 2020 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0020 – A$0.1050 · fair‑value band A$0.0119 – A$0.0124 · the A$0.0140 price screens above the A$0.0122 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Odessa Minerals Limited operates as a mineral exploration company primarily in Western Australia. It primarily explores lithium and rare earth elements.

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The company holds interest in the Lyndon project covering an area of 811 square kilometers; and lockier range REE/lithium project covering an area of 125 square kilometers in Gascoyne.

The company was formerly known as Fargo Enterprises Limited and changed its name to Odessa Minerals Limited in January 2022. Odessa Minerals Limited was incorporated in 1935 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Odessa Minerals Ltd (ODE) currently trades at A$0.0140, while our estimate is A$0.0122, 13% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: A$0.0119 (bear) to A$0.0124 (bull), the price of A$0.0140 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Odessa Minerals Ltd reported revenue of A$50.6K in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −A$4.8M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$25.4M (≈ $17.5M) Micro · Return on equity −74.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −42.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin 20,162% · Revenue (TTM) A$46.2K · Revenue growth (YoY) −4.4% · Free cash flow −A$1.4M · Net cash A$3.7M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −13%, ODE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value

Bear A$0.0119 Fair Value A$0.0122 Bull A$0.0124
Price A$0.0140 · Downside -13.2%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 92
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 23
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 24
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 8/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−57.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+302.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 36 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1,282.1% (2020) → −2,591.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

ODE screens overvalued: fair value 13% below the price. Compare with PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Precious Metals & Mining · 150 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Below median
Fair Value upside −12.9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −62.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −4.4% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.41× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)16 · sector 4
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 56

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW $9.36 $12.73 +36% vs ODE
Hecla Mining Company HL $14.29 $16.21 +13% vs ODE
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM $32.15 $32.54 +1% vs ODE
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN $27.08 $26.98 +0% vs ODE
International Gemological Institute Limited IGIL ₹426.80 ₹338.90 −21% vs ODE
Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA $19.33 $15.34 −21% vs ODE
Sino-Platinum Metals Co 600459 ¥16.98 ¥13.23 −22% vs ODE
China Gold International Resources Corp CGG C$32.07 C$15.00 −53% vs ODE
Artemis Gold Inc ARTG C$40.87 C$15.63 −62% vs ODE
PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk AMMN 3,730 IDR 881.70 IDR −76% vs ODE

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Odessa Minerals Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Odessa Minerals Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ODE

Frequently asked questions

Is Odessa Minerals Ltd (ODE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is A$0.0122 versus a price of A$0.0140, about 13% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ODE?
Our estimate for Odessa Minerals Ltd is A$0.0122 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0140.
What is the quality score of ODE?
Odessa Minerals Ltd has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Odessa Minerals Ltd (ODE)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of A$0.0122 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario A$0.0119, optimistic scenario A$0.0124. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Odessa Minerals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at A$0.0122, about 13% lower versus a price of A$0.0140 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0119, optimistic scenario A$0.0124. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Odessa Minerals Ltd (ODE)?
Odessa Minerals Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$46.2K (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Odessa Minerals Ltd (ODE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Odessa Minerals Ltd it is A$0.0122 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of A$0.0140.
Is Odessa Minerals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, ODE trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0140, fair value A$0.0122, a gap of about −13% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ODE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0140); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0122). For Odessa Minerals Ltd the two are A$0.0018 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Odessa Minerals Ltd worth?
The market values Odessa Minerals Ltd at about A$25.4M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0140; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0122 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ODE?
Our models span a range for Odessa Minerals Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0119, base A$0.0122, optimistic A$0.0124 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price A$0.0140). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Odessa Minerals Ltd (ODE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Odessa Minerals Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −74.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ODE from its 52-week high?
Odessa Minerals Ltd trades at A$0.0140, about 50% below its 52-week high of A$0.0280 and 40% above the low of A$0.0100 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0122 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Odessa Minerals Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk, Hecla Mining Company, China Gold International Resources Corp, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A., among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Odessa Minerals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price A$0.0140, calculated fair value A$0.0122 (−13%), Quality Score 35/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Odessa Minerals Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Odessa Minerals Ltd (ODE)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was A$0.0140. Our estimate is A$0.0122, about 13% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Odessa Minerals Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0124). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0119 to A$0.0124), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Odessa Minerals Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Odessa Minerals Ltd (ODE)?
The market capitalisation of Odessa Minerals Ltd is A$25.4M (≈ $17.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the return on equity of Odessa Minerals Ltd (ODE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Odessa Minerals Ltd is −74.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Odessa Minerals Ltd (ODE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Odessa Minerals Ltd is −42.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Odessa Minerals Ltd (ODE)?
The operating margin of Odessa Minerals Ltd is 20,162% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Odessa Minerals Ltd (ODE)?
Revenue at Odessa Minerals Ltd is growing −4.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +302%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Odessa Minerals Ltd (ODE) generate?
The free cash flow of Odessa Minerals Ltd is −A$1.4M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Odessa Minerals Ltd (ODE) hold?
Odessa Minerals Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$3.7M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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