Odessa Minerals Limited (ODE) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$38.8M
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price −8.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 16% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
- Our model range runs from A$0.0195 (bear) to A$0.0284 (bull), base A$0.0255. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 34/100 (below-average quality) with low evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0020 – A$0.1050 · fair‑value band A$0.0195 – A$0.0284 · the A$0.0220 price screens below the A$0.0255 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Odessa Minerals Limited (ODE) currently trades at A$0.0220, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0255, implying the stock looks roughly 15.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Revenue declined 13.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -24.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$2.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0195 (bear case) to A$0.0284 (bull case); at A$0.0220, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 340% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at 16%, ODE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Odessa Minerals Limited operates as a mineral exploration company primarily in Western Australia. It primarily explores lithium and rare earth elements. The company holds interest in the Lyndon project covering an area of 811 square kilometers; and lockier range REE/lithium project covering an area of 125 square kilometers in Gascoyne.
Full company description
Odessa Minerals Limited operates as a mineral exploration company primarily in Western Australia. It primarily explores lithium and rare earth elements. The company holds interest in the Lyndon project covering an area of 811 square kilometers; and lockier range REE/lithium project covering an area of 125 square kilometers in Gascoyne. The company was formerly known as Fargo Enterprises Limited and changed its name to Odessa Minerals Limited in January 2022. Odessa Minerals Limited was incorporated in 1935 and is based in West Perth, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Odessa Minerals Limited reported revenue of A$50.6K in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −A$2.5M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Other Precious Metals & Mining · 102 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresnillo plc FRES | 579.75 MXN | 558.30 MXN | -4% |
| Hecla Mining Company HL | $14.52 | $8.15 | -44% |
| Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN | $29.82 | $29.96 | +0% |
| Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW | $8.12 | $9.90 | +22% |
| China Gold International Resources Corp CGG | C$24.78 | C$18.48 | -25% |
| Artemis Gold Inc ARTG | C$32.98 | C$21.86 | -34% |
| Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM | $28.10 | $16.03 | -43% |
| Sino-Platinum Metals Co 600459 | ¥21.01 | ¥13.23 | -37% |
| Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA | C$26.10 | C$5.85 | -78% |
| Zhaojin International Gold Co 000506 | ¥13.15 | ¥2.84 | -78% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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