Odlewnie Polskie S.A (ODL) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · PL · Market cap 412M PLN
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −2.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 17% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (11.71 PLN to 21.75 PLN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4.11 PLN – 23.29 PLN · fair‑value band 11.71 PLN – 21.75 PLN · the 20.20 PLN price screens above the 16.73 PLN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Odlewnie Polskie S.A (ODL) currently trades at 20.20 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16.73 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 17.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Odlewnie Polskie S.A generated revenue of 242M PLN at a net margin of 8.9%. Revenue grew 8.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 10.1M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 11.71 PLN (bear case) to 21.75 PLN (bull case); at 20.20 PLN, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 137% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at -17%, ODL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (16.73 PLN) versus Asset-Based (5.30 PLN). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Odlewnie Polskie S.A. produces and sells castings in Germany, the Czech Republic, the Netherlands, the United States, Sweden, Hungary, Great Britain, Austria, Slovakia, Denmark, Turkey, Spain, Italy, Switzerland, France, and Serbia. It offers ductile iron products using grey, nodular, ADI, SiMo, and steel cast iron materials.
Full company description
Odlewnie Polskie S.A. produces and sells castings in Germany, the Czech Republic, the Netherlands, the United States, Sweden, Hungary, Great Britain, Austria, Slovakia, Denmark, Turkey, Spain, Italy, Switzerland, France, and Serbia. It offers ductile iron products using grey, nodular, ADI, SiMo, and steel cast iron materials. The company is involved in the buying ang selling of foreign castings; and provision of services in German foundries. In addition, it provides customer service, including design, production of foundry equipment and the creation of castings, their machining and heat treatment, as well as priming, assembly, and shipment services. The company offers its products to machine, automotive, industrial instruments, plumbing and sewage systems, heavy rail, energy, and appliance industries. The company was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in Starachowice, Poland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Odlewnie Polskie S.A reported revenue of 237M PLN in FY2025 versus 219M PLN in FY2021, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was 18.1M PLN in FY2025, compounding −2.5%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +6.4 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.3 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
ODL screens 17% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →
Peer Group
Metal Fabrication · 244 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS | $577.10 | $103.31 | -82% |
| ATI Inc ATI | $186.17 | $36.51 | -80% |
| Mueller Industries, Inc MLI | $59.13 | $60.24 | +2% |
| China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 | ¥7.45 | ¥1.15 | -85% |
| JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 | ¥31.69 | ¥8.74 | -72% |
| Western Superconducting Technologies Co 688122 | ¥56.73 | ¥24.43 | -57% |
| Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 | ¥131.65 | ¥44.23 | -66% |
| Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co 603308 | ¥48.52 | ¥8.07 | -83% |
| Baoding Technology Co 002552 | ¥43.95 | ¥5.44 | -88% |
| Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co 301196 | ¥110.08 | ¥42.71 | -61% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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