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Organon & Co (OGN) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $3.6B

OC Organon & Co logo Organon & Co OGN · US
Price$13.60
Fair Value$15.67
Upside+15.2%
Quality48/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 4.0% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
0.59% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: High Range $8.64 – $19.58 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 21 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price +1.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 15% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range ($8.64 to $19.58) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from $8.64 (bear) to $19.58 (bull), base $15.67. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 48/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$32.89 $5.69 Fair Value $15.67 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.69 – $32.89 · fair‑value band $8.64 – $19.58 · the $13.60 price screens below the $15.67 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Organon & Co (OGN) currently trades at $13.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.67, implying the stock looks roughly 15.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Organon & Co generated revenue of $6.2B at a net margin of 4.0%. Revenue declined 3.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 34.1%. Net debt stands at $8.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $8.64 (bear case) to $19.58 (bull case); at $13.60, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 139% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at 15%, OGN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $6.87 80
Residual Income $4.36 $5.61 $22.10 76
Rev-Margin DCF $1.44 $20.35 $43.15 74
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $7.70 38
5Y Revenue Exit $1.44 $19.89 $46.78 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $10.75 $36.01 $69.45 41
10Y Revenue Exit $7.86 $22.16 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $1.48 $17.60 $35.17 37
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $4.84 $5.92 $6.66 54
EPV $5.58 $11.30 $16.24 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $2.94 $3.21 $3.61 70
DDM Multi-Stage $2.94 $3.64 $4.58 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $11.75 $15.67 $19.58 63
P/S Multiple $9.08 $12.11 $15.13 58
P/B Multiple $9.08 $12.11 $15.13 55
EV/EBIT $31.72 $52.52 $73.31 53
EV/EBITDA $35.14 $57.08 $79.02 54
EV/Revenue $13.86 $32.94 $52.03 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.43 $1.92 $2.86 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $6.87 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1.44 $20.35 $43.15 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $4.36 $5.61 $22.10 76
ROIC Compounder $5.58 $12.26 $19.42 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $8.28 $11.83 $15.38 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($20.35) versus Asset-Based ($1.92). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $6.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) -3.5%
Net margin 4.0%
Return on equity 34.1%
Free cash flow $538M FY2025
P/E ratio 14.5
More key figures
Operating margin 18.7%
EPS (TTM) $0.9300
Dividend yield 0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +66.7%
Net debt $8.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 14
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 8
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 10
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 77
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 90
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Organon & Co. develops and delivers women health solutions through prescription therapies and medical devices in the United States, Europe, Canada, Japan, rest of the Asia Pacific, China, Latin America, the Middle East, Russia, Africa, and internationally.

Full company description

Organon & Co. develops and delivers women health solutions through prescription therapies and medical devices in the United States, Europe, Canada, Japan, rest of the Asia Pacific, China, Latin America, the Middle East, Russia, Africa, and internationally. The company's women's health portfolio comprises contraception and fertility brands, such as Nexplanon, a long-acting reversible contraceptive; NuvaRing, a monthly vaginal contraceptive ring; Cerazette, Marvelon, and Mercilon to prevent pregnancy; Follistim AQ, which is used to promote development of ovarian follicles; Elonva, a follicle stimulant; Ganirelix acetate injection, an injectable antagonist; Jada for abnormal postpartum uterine bleeding and hemorrhage; and Xaciato for bacterial vaginosis. Its biosimilars portfolio consists of immunology products, such as Brenzys, Renflexis, and Hadlima; oncology products, including Ontruzant and Aybintio; Bildyos and Bilprevda, a recombinant anti-RANKL human monoclonal antibodies; and Poherdy, a neu receptor antagonist. The company also offers cholesterol-modifying medicines under the Zetia, Ezetrol, Vytorin, Inegy, Atozet, Rosuzet, and Zocor brands; Cozaar and Hyzaar for hypertension; respiratory products to control and prevent asthma symptoms under the Singulair, Dulera, Zenhale, and Asmanex brands, as well as seasonal allergic rhinitis under the Nasonex, Clarinex, and Aerius brands. In addition, it provides dermatology products under the Vtama, Diprosone, and Elocon brand; bone health products under the Fosamax brand; and non-opioid pain management products under the Arcoxia, Diprospan, and Celestone brands, as well as Proscar for symptomatic benign prostatic hyperplasia; and Propecia for male pattern hair loss. The company serves drug wholesalers and retailers, hospitals, clinics, government agencies, health maintenance organizations, pharmacy benefit managers, and other institutions. Organon & Co. was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Jersey City, New Jersey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Organon & Co reported revenue of $6.2B in FY2025 versus $6.3B in FY2021, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was $187M in FY2025, compounding −39.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$6.2B
Latest YoY
−2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+0.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y)
−6.3%
Revenue −0.4%/yr
FY21 $6.3B
FY22 $6.2B
FY23 $6.3B
FY24 $6.4B
FY25 $6.2B
Net income −39.0%/yr
FY21 $1.4B
FY22 $917M
FY23 $1.0B
FY24 $864M
FY25 $187M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Organon & Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OGN

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - General · 76 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +15% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 34% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Below median
Revenue growth -4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 11.47× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - General median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 4.72× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.58× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 6.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 54 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 24
PAST 100 · sector 50
HEALTH 0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 12 · sector 46

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - General stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Eli Lilly and Company LLY $1,182 $396.77 -66%
Johnson & Johnson, JNJ $257.59 $169.04 -34%
AbbVie Inc ABBV $254.49 $67.72 -73%
Roche Holding 1RO €392.80 €226.68 -42%
Merck & Co MRK €108.08 €121.54 +12%
Novartis AG NVSN 2,742 MXN 2,379 MXN -13%
AstraZeneca PLC AZN $171.61 $129.54 -25%
Novo Nordisk A/S NOVOB kr 329.90 kr 409.46 +24%
Amgen Inc AMGN $363.39 $252.02 -31%
Sanofi SNYN 770.00 MXN 1,251 MXN +63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Organon & Co (OGN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $15.67 versus a price of $13.60, about +15% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OGN?
Our model-based fair value for Organon & Co is $15.67 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $13.60.
What is the quality score of OGN?
Organon & Co has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Organon & Co (OGN)?
Organon & Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OGN?
The net profit margin of Organon & Co is about 4.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Organon & Co pay a dividend?
Organon & Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.60% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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