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Venture Global, Inc (VG) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $34.3B

VG Venture Global, Inc logo Venture Global, Inc VG · US
Price$13.58
Fair Value$14.42
Upside+6.2%
Quality35/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 18.1% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
0.56% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Wide moat 72/100
Evidence: Medium Range $8.98 – $46.57 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +17.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($8.98 to $46.57). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
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Price vs Fair Value (18 months)

$23.77 $5.90 Fair Value $14.42 Jan 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

18‑month range $5.90 – $23.77 · fair‑value band $8.98 – $46.57 · the $13.58 price screens below the $14.42 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Venture Global, Inc (VG) currently trades at $13.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.42, implying the stock looks roughly 6.2% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Venture Global, Inc generated revenue of $15.5B at a net margin of 18.1%. Revenue grew 58.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.5%. Net debt stands at $32.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $8.98 (bear case) to $46.57 (bull case); at $13.58, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 138% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at 6%, VG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $8.98 $14.42 $241.53 76
ROIC Compounder $6.33 $13.65 $20.91 72
Gordon GGM $1.62 $3.37 $5.34 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $6.96 $48.54 $68.12 54
Lynch FV $25.08 $35.82 $46.57 50
PEG = 1.0 $25.08 $35.82 $46.57 46
EPV $4.14 $6.79 $9.11 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.62 $3.37 $5.34 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.62 $2.84 $3.54 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $15.35 $20.47 $25.59 63
P/S Multiple $9.80 $13.06 $16.33 58
P/B Multiple $5.76 $7.68 $9.60 55
EV/EBIT $14.01 $22.61 $31.21 53
EV/EBITDA $10.33 $17.70 $25.07 54
EV/Revenue $1.28 $5.20 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.28 $1.71 $2.56 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $8.98 $14.42 $241.53 76
ROIC Compounder $6.33 $13.65 $20.91 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $32.31 $46.16 $60.01 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($46.16) versus Asset-Based ($1.71). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $15.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +58.9%
Net margin 18.1%
Return on equity 25.5%
Free cash flow −$6.8B FY2025
P/E ratio 13.0
More key figures
Operating margin 25.0%
EPS (TTM) $0.9600
Dividend yield 0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +26.7%
Net debt $32.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 15
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 45
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 38
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Venture Global, Inc., a liquefied natural gas (LNG) company, engages in the ownership, development, construction, and operation of LNG production facilities and associated infrastructure in the United States, Germany, France, Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and internationally.The company is involved in LNG production, natural gas transportation, and …

Full company description

Venture Global, Inc., a liquefied natural gas (LNG) company, engages in the ownership, development, construction, and operation of LNG production facilities and associated infrastructure in the United States, Germany, France, Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and internationally.The company is involved in LNG production, natural gas transportation, and regasification operations, as well as LNG sales and shipping business through LNG tankers. Its LNG projects include Calcasieu, Plaquemines, and CP2 projects. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia. Venture Global, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Venture Global Partners II, LLC.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Venture Global, Inc reported revenue of $13.8B in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was $2.7B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 52/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$13.8B
Latest YoY
+176.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+28.8%
Revenue
FY21 $0
FY22 $6.4B
FY23 $7.9B
FY24 $5.0B
FY25 $13.8B
Net income
FY21 −$356M
FY22 $1.9B
FY23 $2.7B
FY24 $1.5B
FY25 $2.7B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Venture Global, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VG

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Midstream · 86 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +6% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 18% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 25% · Above median
Revenue growth 59% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 4.95× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 5.08× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.22× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 10.5× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.86× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 42 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 42
PAST 100 · sector 41
HEALTH 0 · sector 55
DIVIDEND 11 · sector 99

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Enbridge Inc ENB $56.46 $47.20 -16%
The Williams Companies, Inc WMB $73.38 $12.03 -84%
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD $38.31 $24.74 -35%
TC Energy Corporation TRP C$97.79 C$42.00 -57%
Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI $32.54 $11.12 -66%
Energy Transfer LP, ET $19.91 $17.69 -11%
ONEOK, Inc OKE $93.52 $64.05 -32%
Targa Resources Corp TRGP $273.35 $79.61 -71%
MPLX LP owns and MPLX $57.17 $37.05 -35%
Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG $255.83 $211.18 -17%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Venture Global, Inc (VG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $14.42 versus a price of $13.58, about +6% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of VG?
Our model-based fair value for Venture Global, Inc is $14.42 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $13.58.
What is the quality score of VG?
Venture Global, Inc has a Quality Score of 35/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Venture Global, Inc (VG)?
Venture Global, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $15.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VG?
The net profit margin of Venture Global, Inc is about 18.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Venture Global, Inc pay a dividend?
Venture Global, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.57% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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