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Venture Global, Inc. (VG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Venture Global, Inc. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Energy · US · ISIN US92333F1012

VG Venture Global, Inc. logo Some data Sep 17, 2026

Venture Global, Inc.

VG · US

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value $14.00 · Fairly valued (+2%)
!Quality 37/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +28.8 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 18.1% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
·0.52% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Wide moat 72/100
!Insider activity 44/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $8.74 to $54.58
!Weak on dividend: 10 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$23.77 $5.90 Fair Value $14.00 Jan 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

20‑month range $5.90 – $23.77 · fair‑value band $8.74 – $54.58 · the $13.66 price screens below the $14.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 17, 2026.

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Company profile

Venture Global, Inc., a liquefied natural gas (LNG) company, engages in the ownership, development, construction, and operation of LNG production facilities and associated infrastructure in the United States, Germany, France, Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and internationally.The company is involved in LNG production, natural gas transportation, and …

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Venture Global, Inc., a liquefied natural gas (LNG) company, engages in the ownership, development, construction, and operation of LNG production facilities and associated infrastructure in the United States, Germany, France, Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and internationally.The company is involved in LNG production, natural gas transportation, and regasification operations, as well as LNG sales and shipping business through LNG tankers. Its LNG projects include Calcasieu, Plaquemines, and CP2 projects. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia. Venture Global, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Venture Global Partners II, LLC.

Stock analysis

Venture Global, Inc. (VG) currently trades at $13.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.00, implying the stock looks roughly 2.4% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $41.99 per share, and 6 of the 15 models we run sit above the $13.66 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.71, and 9 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $8.74 (bear) to $54.58 (bull), the price of $13.66 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Venture Global, Inc. reported revenue of $13.8B in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was $2.7B in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $36.0B · P/E ratio 13.0 · P/S ratio 2.55 · EPS (TTM) $0.9600 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 19.6% · Return on equity 25.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 139% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at 2%, VG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $8.74 Fair Value $14.00 Bull $54.58
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.6454 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV $4.14 $6.79 $9.11 72
ROIC Compounder $6.33 $13.65 $20.91 64
P/E Multiple $10.75 $14.33 $17.91 63
All 15 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $6.96 $48.54 $68.12 59
Lynch FV $25.08 $35.82 $46.57 57
PEG = 1.0 $25.08 $35.82 $46.57 53
EPV $4.14 $6.79 $9.11 72
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.62 $3.37 $5.34 62
DDM Multi-Stage $1.62 $2.84 $3.54 62
Multiples
P/E Multiple $10.75 $14.33 $17.91 63
P/S Multiple $4.70 $6.27 $7.84 58
P/B Multiple $3.45 $4.61 $5.76 55
EV/EBIT $2.55 $7.33 $12.10 61
EV/EBITDA n/a $1.83 $5.23 62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.28 $1.71 $2.56 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $8.98 $14.42 $241.53 59
ROIC Compounder $6.33 $13.65 $20.91 64
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $29.39 $41.99 $54.58 63

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 15
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 50
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 38
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+176.9%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+5.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.5%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.55% → 37%

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Recent news

News mood News mood, the average tone of recent news (84 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.

Compare Venture Global, Inc. with another stock

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Midstream · 87 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 18% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 25% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 59% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 4.95× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 5.08× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.22× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 10.5× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.86× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)37 · sector 4
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 60
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 42
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 51
DIVIDEND (yield)10 · sector 80

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Enbridge Inc ENB $48.36 $35.83 −26%
The Williams Companies, Inc WMB $71.63 $11.73 −84%
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD $38.09 $20.94 −45%
TC Energy Corporation TRP C$84.31 C$24.53 −71%
Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI $30.73 $28.24 −8%
Energy Transfer LP, ET $21.33 $11.45 −46%
MPLX LP owns and MPLX $57.93 $63.72 +10%
ONEOK, Inc OKE $92.70 $60.91 −34%
Targa Resources Corp TRGP $284.77 $79.61 −72%
Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG $267.75 $294.53 +10%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Venture Global, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VG

Frequently asked questions

Is Venture Global, Inc. (VG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $14.00 versus a price of $13.66, about +2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of VG?
Our model-based fair value for Venture Global, Inc. is $14.00 (as of Sep 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $13.66.
What is the quality score of VG?
Venture Global, Inc. has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Venture Global, Inc. (VG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $14.00 (as of Sep 17, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $8.74, optimistic scenario $54.58. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Venture Global, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $14.00, about +2% upside versus a price of $13.66 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $8.74, optimistic scenario $54.58. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Venture Global, Inc. (VG)?
Venture Global, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $15.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 17, 2026).
Does Venture Global, Inc. pay a dividend?
Venture Global, Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.52% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 17, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Venture Global, Inc. (VG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Venture Global, Inc. it is $14.00 per share (as of Sep 17, 2026), against a price of $13.66. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Venture Global, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 17, 2026, VG trades below its calculated fair value: price $13.66, fair value $14.00, a gap of about +2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VG?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($13.66); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($14.00). For Venture Global, Inc. the two are $0.3400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Venture Global, Inc. worth?
The market values Venture Global, Inc. at about $36.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 17, 2026). Per share that is $13.66; our models calculate a fair value of $14.00 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VG?
Our models span a range for Venture Global, Inc.: cautious scenario $8.74, base $14.00, optimistic $54.58 per share (as of Sep 17, 2026, price $13.66). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of VG?
Venture Global, Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.0 (as of Sep 17, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $14.00 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.9, P/B 5.1, P/S 2.2, EV/EBITDA 10.5.
What is the PEG ratio of VG?
The PEG ratio of Venture Global, Inc. is 0.86 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 17, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Venture Global, Inc. (VG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Venture Global, Inc. (as of Sep 17, 2026): return on equity 25.5%, debt of 4.95 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VG from its 52-week high?
Venture Global, Inc. trades at $13.66, about 30% below its 52-week high of $19.40 and 139% above the low of $5.71 (as of Sep 17, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $14.00 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Venture Global, Inc.?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Enbridge Inc, The Williams Companies, Inc, Enterprise Products Partners L.P., TC Energy Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Venture Global, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 17, 2026: price $13.66, calculated fair value $14.00 (+2%), Quality Score 37/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VG calculated?
We run Venture Global, Inc. through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $14.00, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Venture Global, Inc. currently trades 2 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Venture Global, Inc. (VG)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was $13.66. Our model-based fair value is $14.00, about +2% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Venture Global, Inc. right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($8.74 to $54.58). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.

Key figures of Venture Global, Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Venture Global, Inc. (VG)?
The market capitalisation of Venture Global, Inc. is $36.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Venture Global, Inc. (VG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Venture Global, Inc. is 2.55 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Venture Global, Inc. (VG)?
Earnings per share at Venture Global, Inc. are $0.9600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Venture Global, Inc. (VG)?
The dividend yield of Venture Global, Inc. is 0.5% (payout 7.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Venture Global, Inc. (VG)?
The net margin of Venture Global, Inc. is 19.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Venture Global, Inc. (VG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Venture Global, Inc. is 25.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Venture Global, Inc. (VG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Venture Global, Inc. is 13.5% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Venture Global, Inc. (VG)?
The operating margin of Venture Global, Inc. is 25.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Venture Global, Inc. (VG)?
Revenue at Venture Global, Inc. is growing +58.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +28.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Venture Global, Inc. (VG)?
Earnings per share at Venture Global, Inc. are growing +26.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Venture Global, Inc. (VG) generate?
The free cash flow of Venture Global, Inc. is −$6.8B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Venture Global, Inc. (VG) carry?
The net debt of Venture Global, Inc. is $32.5B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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