Venture Global, Inc (VG) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $34.3B
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Share price +17.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($8.98 to $46.57). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Price vs Fair Value (18 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
18‑month range $5.90 – $23.77 · fair‑value band $8.98 – $46.57 · the $13.58 price screens below the $14.42 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Venture Global, Inc (VG) currently trades at $13.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.42, implying the stock looks roughly 6.2% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Venture Global, Inc generated revenue of $15.5B at a net margin of 18.1%. Revenue grew 58.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.5%. Net debt stands at $32.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $8.98 (bear case) to $46.57 (bull case); at $13.58, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 138% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at 6%, VG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($46.16) versus Asset-Based ($1.71). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Venture Global, Inc., a liquefied natural gas (LNG) company, engages in the ownership, development, construction, and operation of LNG production facilities and associated infrastructure in the United States, Germany, France, Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and internationally.The company is involved in LNG production, natural gas transportation, and …
Full company description
Venture Global, Inc., a liquefied natural gas (LNG) company, engages in the ownership, development, construction, and operation of LNG production facilities and associated infrastructure in the United States, Germany, France, Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and internationally.The company is involved in LNG production, natural gas transportation, and regasification operations, as well as LNG sales and shipping business through LNG tankers. Its LNG projects include Calcasieu, Plaquemines, and CP2 projects. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia. Venture Global, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Venture Global Partners II, LLC.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Venture Global, Inc reported revenue of $13.8B in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was $2.7B in FY2025.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Baker Hughes Secures Major LNG Technology Order for Venture Global’s CP2 LNG Expansion
- Venture Global (VG) Soars as Geopolitical Tensions Fuel Natural Gas Rally
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Midstream · 86 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Enbridge Inc ENB | $56.46 | $47.20 | -16% |
| The Williams Companies, Inc WMB | $73.38 | $12.03 | -84% |
| Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD | $38.31 | $24.74 | -35% |
| TC Energy Corporation TRP | C$97.79 | C$42.00 | -57% |
| Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI | $32.54 | $11.12 | -66% |
| Energy Transfer LP, ET | $19.91 | $17.69 | -11% |
| ONEOK, Inc OKE | $93.52 | $64.05 | -32% |
| Targa Resources Corp TRGP | $273.35 | $79.61 | -71% |
| MPLX LP owns and MPLX | $57.17 | $37.05 | -35% |
| Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG | $255.83 | $211.18 | -17% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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