Olympio Metals Limited (OLY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 14, 2026: fair value of Olympio Metals Limited A$0.04, price A$0.04, upside -7.5%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0220 – A$16.00 · fair‑value band A$0.0328 – A$0.0412 · the A$0.0400 price screens above the A$0.0370 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 14, 2026.
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Olympio Metals Limited engages in the exploration of mineral resources in Australia, the United States, and Canada. The company explores for gold, silver, copper, antimony, lithium, lead, zinc, and rare earth minerals. Its flagship project is the Bousquet Gold Project located on the Cadillac-Lake Larder Fault Zone in Quebec, Canada.
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Olympio Metals Limited engages in the exploration of mineral resources in Australia, the United States, and Canada. The company explores for gold, silver, copper, antimony, lithium, lead, zinc, and rare earth minerals. Its flagship project is the Bousquet Gold Project located on the Cadillac-Lake Larder Fault Zone in Quebec, Canada. Olympio Metals Limited is based in West Perth, Australia.
Stock analysis
Olympio Metals Limited (OLY) currently trades at A$0.0400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0370, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 8.1%).
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: A$0.0328 (bear) to A$0.0412 (bull), the price of A$0.0400 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Olympio Metals Limited reported revenue of A$299K in FY2025 versus A$80.6K in FY2021, a compound +38.8%/yr. Reported net income was −A$3.4M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap A$9.9M (≈ $6.9M) · P/S ratio 18.9 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0400 · Return on equity −161% · Return on assets (EBIT) −211% · Operating margin −442% · Revenue (TTM) A$524K · Revenue growth (YoY) +9.7%.
What moves the price
The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −8%, OLY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0328Fair Value A$0.0370Bull A$0.0412
Price A$0.0400 · Upside -7.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.6/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1,846.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+179.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−32.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−330.9% (2020) → −647.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 376 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score46 · Above median
Fair Value upside−11.9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−86.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth9.7% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
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Is Olympio Metals Limited (OLY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0370 versus a price of A$0.0400, about −8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of OLY?
Our model-based fair value for Olympio Metals Limited is A$0.0370 (as of Oct 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0400.
What is the quality score of OLY?
Olympio Metals Limited has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Olympio Metals Limited (OLY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0370 (as of Oct 14, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0328, optimistic scenario A$0.0412. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Olympio Metals Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0370, about −8% upside versus a price of A$0.0400 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$0.0328, optimistic scenario A$0.0412. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Olympio Metals Limited (OLY)?
Olympio Metals Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$524K (latest available figure, as of Oct 14, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Olympio Metals Limited (OLY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Olympio Metals Limited it is A$0.0370 per share (as of Oct 14, 2026), against a price of A$0.0400. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Olympio Metals Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 14, 2026, OLY trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0400, fair value A$0.0370, a gap of about −8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OLY?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0400); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0370). For Olympio Metals Limited the two are A$0.0030 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Olympio Metals Limited worth?
The market values Olympio Metals Limited at about A$9.9M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 14, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0400; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0370 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OLY?
Our models span a range for Olympio Metals Limited: cautious scenario A$0.0328, base A$0.0370, optimistic A$0.0412 per share (as of Oct 14, 2026, price A$0.0400). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Olympio Metals Limited (OLY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Olympio Metals Limited (as of Oct 14, 2026): return on equity −160.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OLY from its 52-week high?
Olympio Metals Limited trades at A$0.0400, about 58% below its 52-week high of A$0.0950 and 25% above the low of A$0.0320 (as of Oct 14, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0370 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Olympio Metals Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, Korea Zinc Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Olympio Metals Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 14, 2026: price A$0.0400, calculated fair value A$0.0370 (−8%), Quality Score 46/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OLY calculated?
We run Olympio Metals Limited through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0370, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Olympio Metals Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Olympio Metals Limited (OLY)?
The closing price on Oct 14, 2026 was A$0.0400. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0370, about −8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Olympio Metals Limited right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Olympio Metals Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Olympio Metals Limited (OLY)?
The market capitalisation of Olympio Metals Limited is A$9.9M (≈ $6.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Olympio Metals Limited (OLY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Olympio Metals Limited is 18.9 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Olympio Metals Limited (OLY)?
Earnings per share at Olympio Metals Limited are A$−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Olympio Metals Limited (OLY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Olympio Metals Limited is −161% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Olympio Metals Limited (OLY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Olympio Metals Limited is −211% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Olympio Metals Limited (OLY)?
The operating margin of Olympio Metals Limited is −442% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Olympio Metals Limited (OLY)?
Revenue at Olympio Metals Limited is growing +9.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +180%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Olympio Metals Limited (OLY) generate?
The free cash flow of Olympio Metals Limited is −A$3.5M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Olympio Metals Limited (OLY) hold?
Olympio Metals Limited holds more cash than debt, A$1.9M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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