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Data-driven stock valuation

OMRON Corp ADR (OMRNY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what OMRON Corp ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Technology · US · Market cap $7.2B · ISIN US6821513032

At a glance

OC OMRON Corp ADR logo OMRON Corp ADR OMRNY · US
Price$40.02
Fair Value$20.44
Upside−48.9%
Quality50/100

A solid business, but trading 96% above our fair value of $20.44.

As of Sep 8, 2026, the fair value of OMRON Corp ADR is $20.44 per share against a price of $40.02, so the fair value sits 49% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +4.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.7% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·1.81% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
!Narrow moat 34/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 15 out of 100
Evidence: Medium Range $15.69 to $30.07

Fair value as of: Sep 8, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Sep 8, 2026, revised from $19.49 to $20.44 (+4.9%) since Aug 30, 2026. Share price −5.0% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($30.07). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($15.69 to $30.07) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$95.79 $22.95 Fair Value $20.44 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $22.95 – $95.79 · fair‑value band $15.69 – $30.07 · the $40.02 price screens above the $20.44 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.

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Analysis

OMRON Corp ADR (OMRNY) currently trades at $40.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $20.44, implying the stock looks roughly 95.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $27.33 per share, and 3 of the 22 models we run sit above the $40.02 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $5.02, and 19 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, OMRON Corp ADR generated revenue of ¥767B at a net margin of 3.7%. Revenue grew 7.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.8%. Net debt stands at ¥75.0B. Fundamentals as of Sep 8, 2026

Scenario range: $15.69 (bear) to $30.07 (bull), the price of $40.02 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 74% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −62% fair-value upside, at −49%, OMRNY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $4.06 $4.94 $6.57 82
Growth DCF $4.16 $5.02 $6.46 80
Owner Earnings $4.49 $5.53 $7.44 78
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $4.06 $4.94 $6.57 82
Owner Earnings $4.49 $5.53 $7.44 78
5Y Revenue Exit $12.91 $20.44 $31.52 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $24.98 $41.21 $62.87 74
5Y P/E Exit $13.16 $20.86 $30.10 70
10Y Revenue Exit $8.83 $14.22 $20.33 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $16.49 $27.00 $38.80 68
10Y P/E Exit $9.46 $14.48 $19.49 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $6.64 $8.88 $10.24 67
EPV $16.03 $18.32 $20.29 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $20.50 $27.33 $34.17 63
P/S Multiple $12.45 $16.60 $20.74 58
P/B Multiple $12.45 $16.60 $20.74 55
EV/EBIT $38.53 $50.85 $63.17 66
EV/EBITDA $44.91 $59.36 $73.81 67
EV/Revenue $20.25 $28.26 $36.27 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $13.57 $18.18 $27.13 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $4.16 $5.02 $6.46 80
Rev-Margin DCF $12.91 $20.50 $29.63 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $19.67 $19.20 $16.51 71
ROIC Compounder $16.03 $18.32 $20.29 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $14.34 $20.48 $26.63 67

Widest divergence: Multiples ($27.33) versus Growth DCF ($5.02). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (82).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 37.1
P/S ratio 1.38 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $1.08 price ÷ EPS = P/E 37.1
Dividend yield 1.8% payout 67.1%
Net margin 3.7% FY2026
Return on equity 3.8% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 6.1% avg 5y
Operating margin 7.8% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ¥767B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.7% 3y avg −2.4%
EPS growth (YoY) −49.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow ¥8.3B FY2026
Net debt ¥75.0B FY2026 · ≈ 9.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 40
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 80
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 97
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

OMRON Corporation engages in industrial automation, device and module solutions, data solutions, social systems, and healthcare businesses in Japan and internationally. It provides sensors, switches, safety and control components, relays, motion and drives, robotics, energy conservation, power supplies, and automation system products.

Full company description

OMRON Corporation engages in industrial automation, device and module solutions, data solutions, social systems, and healthcare businesses in Japan and internationally. It provides sensors, switches, safety and control components, relays, motion and drives, robotics, energy conservation, power supplies, and automation system products. The company also offers environmental mobility, digital devices, food and commodities, logistics and warehouse automation, medical, robotic, panel, vision, software, and traceability solutions. In addition, it provides power storage systems; station systems, such as automatic ticket gates and ticket vending machines, traffic control systems, and payment systems; and data and power protection systems comprising UPS, as well as software development and maintenance services. Further, the company offers cardiovascular, respiratory care, pain management, remote patient monitoring, and other solutions. Additionally, it provides relays, switches, connectors, and sensors. OMRON Corporation was founded in 1933 and is headquartered in Kyoto, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

OMRON Corp ADR reported revenue of ¥814B in FY2026 versus ¥763B in FY2022, a compound +1.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥30.2B in FY2026, compounding −16.3%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$814B
Latest YoY
+1.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (21Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.4%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in JPY) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +3.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+1.8%
Dividend yield1.8%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y −6.5% vs 10Y −3.5%, flattening
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9.1% (2021) → 7.8% (2026) · falling
Worst earnings drop171% (2009) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in USD
⚠ Final year 2026 sits 86% above trend (one-off), rate on operating basis
Revenue +1.6%/yr
FY22 ¥763B
FY23 ¥876B
FY24 ¥819B
FY25 ¥802B
FY26 ¥814B
Net income −16.3%/yr
FY22 ¥61.4B
FY23 ¥73.9B
FY24 ¥8.1B
FY25 ¥16.3B
FY26 ¥30.2B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) −10.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +0.9 %

of which total revenue −0.2 % · buybacks/dilution +1.1 %

EBIT margin −3.6 %
Tax rate −1.8 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −5.7 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

OMRNY screens 96% overvalued. Compare with Amphenol Corporation →

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OMRON Corp ADR · Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OMRON Corp ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OMRNY

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −51% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 8% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.14× · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 37.1× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.9× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.63× · Pricier than median

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must OMRON Corp ADR deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years+35.9 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+4.4 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+8.2 %
FCF yield on price0.69 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models10.1 %

The price demands an acceleration versus past growth: a high bar the company still has to clear. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE39 · sector 40
PAST15 · sector 25
HEALTH93 · sector 95
DIVIDEND36 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Amphenol Corporation APH $82.78 $97.19 +17%
Corning Incorporated GLW CHF 134.64 CHF 35.18 −74%
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,750 TWD 602.37 TWD −66%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥56.06 ¥38.44 −31%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,503,000 KRW 172,954 KRW −88%
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 ¥178.67 ¥21.19 −88%
TE Connectivity plc TEL $202.66 $144.42 −29%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.80 ¥36.30 −73%
Flex Ltd FLEX $124.53 $48.10 −61%
Celestica Inc CLS $298.70 $113.54 −62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is OMRON Corp ADR (OMRNY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $20.44 versus a price of $40.02, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OMRNY?
Our model-based fair value for OMRON Corp ADR is $20.44 (as of Sep 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $40.02.
What is the quality score of OMRNY?
OMRON Corp ADR has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for OMRON Corp ADR (OMRNY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $20.44 (as of Sep 8, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $15.69, optimistic scenario $30.07. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the OMRON Corp ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $20.44, about −49% upside versus a price of $40.02 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $15.69, optimistic scenario $30.07. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of OMRON Corp ADR (OMRNY)?
OMRON Corp ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥767B (latest available figure, as of Sep 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OMRNY?
The net profit margin of OMRON Corp ADR is about 3.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does OMRON Corp ADR pay a dividend?
OMRON Corp ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.81% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 8, 2026).
What growth is priced into OMRON Corp ADR (OMRNY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, OMRON Corp ADR would have to grow free cash flow by +35.9 % per year for ten years (discount rate 10.1 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.4 % per year. As of Sep 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OMRNY use?
Our models discount OMRON Corp ADR at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.13, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
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