Onity Group (ONIT) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $309M
Onity Group
ONIT · US
Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Share price +5.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range ($19.49 to $46.57) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $17.99 – $53.35 · fair‑value band $19.49 – $46.57 · the $39.39 price screens above the $37.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
Analysis
Onity Group (ONIT) currently trades at $39.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $37.26, implying the stock looks roughly 5.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Onity Group generated revenue of $1.1B at a net margin of 15.8%. Revenue grew 17.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 29.4%. Net debt stands at $15.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $19.49 (bear case) to $46.57 (bull case); at $39.39, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -5%, ONIT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Earnings-Based ($786.57) versus Dividend Discount ($6.37). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Onity Group Inc., a financial services company, originates and services forward and reserve mortgage loans in the United States, the United States Virgin Islands, India, and the Philippines. The company operates through the Servicing and Originations segments.
Full company description
Onity Group Inc., a financial services company, originates and services forward and reserve mortgage loans in the United States, the United States Virgin Islands, India, and the Philippines. The company operates through the Servicing and Originations segments. The company offers owned mortgage servicing rights and subservicing products; conventional, government-insured, and non-agency mortgage loans, as well as reverse mortgage and multi-family loans; and residential forward mortgage and small commercial mortgage loans. It also originates and purchases conventional and government-insured residential forward and reverse mortgage loans through its correspondent lending arrangements, broker relationships, and retail channels. In addition, the company engages in reinsurance business. The company offers its services under the PHH Mortgage and Liberty Reverse Mortgage brands. It serves financial institutions. The company was formerly known as Ocwen Financial Corporation and changed its name to Onity Group Inc. in June 2024. Onity Group Inc. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in West Palm Beach, Florida.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Onity Group reported revenue of $1.1B in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound −0.2%/yr. Reported net income was $190M in FY2025, compounding +79.9%/yr from FY2021.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Onity Group Announces Closing of Transaction with Finance of America Reverse
- Onity Group (ONIT) Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript
Peer Group
Mortgage Finance · 90 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Mortgage Finance median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Mortgage Finance stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation FMCCT | $13.90 | $27.80 | +100% |
| Rocket Companies, Inc RKT | $14.60 | $10.95 | -25% |
| Federal National Mortgage Association FNMAS | $9.55 | $1.93 | -80% |
| Bajaj Housing Finance Limited BAJAJHFL | ₹91.33 | ₹61.48 | -33% |
| PennyMac Financial Services, Inc PFSI | $82.35 | $125.45 | +52% |
| UWM Holdings UWMC | $2.02 | $0.2200 | -89% |
| LIC Housing Finance Limited LICHSGFIN | ₹505.00 | ₹1,010 | +100% |
| PNB Housing Finance Limited PNBHOUSING | ₹1,150 | ₹762.89 | -34% |
| Aadhar Housing Finance Limited AADHARHFC | ₹496.70 | ₹501.16 | +1% |
| Walker & Dunlop, Inc WD | $48.20 | $32.55 | -32% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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