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ONEOK, Inc. (ONK) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Jul 24, 2026: fair value of ONEOK, Inc. €97.96, price €82.58, upside +18.6%, quality 33 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Energy · DE

OI Broad data Sep 29, 2026

ONEOK, Inc.

ONK · XETRA

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value €97.96 · Undervalued (+18.6%)
!Quality 33/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +14.5 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 10.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!5.1% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Trails peers (5/15)
!Moderate moat 55/100
!The models disagree: range €33.27 to €172.75
!Weak on valuation: 22 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€104.91 €32.95 Fair Value €97.96 May 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €32.95 – €104.91 · fair‑value band €33.27 – €172.75 · the €82.58 price screens below the €97.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

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Company profile

ONEOK, Inc. operates as a midstream service provider of gathering, processing, fractionation, transportation, storage, and marine export services in the United States. It operates in four segments: Natural Gas Gathering and Processing; Natural Gas Liquids; Natural Gas Pipelines; and Refined Products and Crude.

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ONEOK, Inc. operates as a midstream service provider of gathering, processing, fractionation, transportation, storage, and marine export services in the United States. It operates in four segments: Natural Gas Gathering and Processing; Natural Gas Liquids; Natural Gas Pipelines; and Refined Products and Crude. The company owns natural gas gathering pipelines and processing plants in the Mid-Continent, Permian Basin, North Texas, Gulf Coast region, and Rocky Mountain regions; and provides midstream services to producers of NGLs. It also owns NGL gathering and distribution pipelines, fractionation, terminal and storage facilities; and transports refined products, including gasoline, diesel fuel, aviation fuel, kerosene, and heating oil. In addition, the company transports and stores natural gas through regulated interstate and intrastate natural gas transmission pipelines, and natural gas storage facilities; it owns and operates a parking garage in downtown Tulsa, Oklahoma; and leases buildings, warehouses, office space, land, and equipment, including pipeline equipment, pipeline capacity, rail cars, and information technology equipment. Further, the company transports, stores, and distributes refined products, purity NGLs, and crude oil, as well as conducts commodity-related activities, including liquids blending and marketing activities. It serves integrated and independent exploration and production companies; other NGL and natural gas gathering and processing companies; crude oil and natural gas production companies; utilities; industrial companies; natural gasoline distributors; propane distributors; municipalities; ethanol producers; petrochemical, refining, and marketing companies; and diluent users, refineries, and exporters. ONEOK, Inc. was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.

Stock analysis

ONEOK, Inc. (ONK) currently trades at €82.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €97.96, implying the stock looks roughly 15.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €134.15 per share, and 11 of the 24 models we run sit above the €82.58 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €21.24, and 13 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: €33.27 (bear) to €172.75 (bull), the price of €82.58 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

ONEOK, Inc. reported revenue of $33.6B in FY2025 versus $16.5B in FY2021, a compound +19.4%/yr. Reported net income was $3.4B in FY2025, compounding +22.6%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €52.0B · P/E ratio 16.8 · P/S ratio 1.69 · EPS (TTM) €4.93 · Dividend yield 5.1% · Net margin 10.1% · Return on equity 15.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at 19%, ONK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €33.27 Fair Value €97.96 Bull €172.75
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.5520 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income €31.88 €42.19 €66.50 71
EPV €18.51 €28.80 €37.81 70
FCF DCF €48.24 €100.71 €267.81 68
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €48.24 €100.71 €267.81 68
Owner Earnings €26.77 €116.08 €303.59 63
5Y Revenue Exit €14.02 €51.43 €129.35 61
5Y EBITDA Exit €16.94 €57.34 €136.33 64
5Y P/E Exit €19.73 €88.48 €180.63 61
10Y Revenue Exit €23.18 €92.25 €132.93 61
10Y EBITDA Exit €27.13 €98.55 €218.27 59
10Y P/E Exit €29.16 €104.54 €224.90 55
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €32.53 €226.86 €318.37 60
Lynch FV €84.25 €120.36 €156.47 58
PEG = 1.0 €84.25 €120.36 €156.47 55
EPV €18.51 €28.80 €37.81 70
Multiples
P/E Multiple €50.23 €66.97 €83.72 63
P/S Multiple €42.67 €56.90 €71.12 58
P/B Multiple €42.80 €57.06 €71.33 55
EV/EBIT €18.31 €38.83 €59.36 62
EV/EBITDA €3.29 €18.81 €34.32 59
EV/Revenue n/a €13.64 €30.71 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €15.85 €21.24 €31.70 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €42.80 €116.82 €266.43 68
Rev-Margin DCF €14.13 €65.13 €160.50 61
Economic Profit
Residual Income €31.88 €42.19 €66.50 71
ROIC Compounder €18.51 €28.80 €47.58 66
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €93.91 €134.15 €174.40 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 49
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 24
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 20
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+55.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+15.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.1%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 17%

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+17.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +14.3% a year for the price and −0.6% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+13.7%
Forecast 2027 (sales)−1.6%
Projected 2028 (sales)−1.2%
Projected 2029 (sales)−0.7%
Projected 2030 (sales)−0.3%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Midstream · 84 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/15 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −8.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 15.9% · Above median
Return on assets 5.7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 10.0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 14.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 19.6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.37× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.60× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.66× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 23.9× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 11.9× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.20× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)22 · sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)98 · sector 100
PAST (return on equity)64 · sector 56
HEALTH (low debt)32 · sector 56
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 85

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Enbridge Inc ENB $46.97 $36.91 −21%
The Williams Companies, Inc WMB $68.98 $11.72 −83%
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD $36.65 $24.66 −33%
Energy Transfer LP, ET $20.10 $15.29 −24%
Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI $30.63 $28.16 −8%
TC Energy Corporation TRP $58.78 $24.51 −58%
Targa Resources Corp TRGP $277.84 $65.24 −77%
MPLX LP owns and MPLX $57.66 $70.77 +23%
ONEOK, Inc OKE $88.62 $80.15 −10%
Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG $267.29 $294.02 +10%

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ONEOK, Inc. · Fair Value
€97.96 +16%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ONEOK, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ONK

Frequently asked questions

Is ONEOK, Inc. (ONK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €97.96 versus the last price from Jul 24, 2026 of €82.58, about +19% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ONK?
Our model-based fair value for ONEOK, Inc. is €97.96 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 24, 2026): €82.58.
What is the quality score of ONK?
ONEOK, Inc. has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ONEOK, Inc. (ONK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €97.96 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario €33.27, optimistic scenario €172.75. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ONEOK, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €97.96, about +19% upside versus the last price from Jul 24, 2026 of €82.58 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €33.27, optimistic scenario €172.75. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ONEOK, Inc. (ONK)?
ONEOK, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $35.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does ONEOK, Inc. pay a dividend?
ONEOK, Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.09% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into ONEOK, Inc. (ONK)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, ONEOK, Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +17.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +19.4 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ONK use?
Our models discount ONEOK, Inc. at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.71, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For ONEOK, Inc. that is +17.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has ONEOK, Inc. (ONK) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at ONEOK, Inc. grew +19.4 % a year. The price currently implies +17.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of ONEOK, Inc. (ONK) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into ONEOK, Inc. (+17.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of ONEOK, Inc. (ONK)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.18 %: that much free cash flow ONEOK, Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of ONEOK, Inc. (ONK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ONEOK, Inc. it is €97.96 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of €82.58. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ONEOK, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, ONK trades below its calculated fair value: price €82.58, fair value €97.96, a gap of about +19% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ONK?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€82.58); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€97.96). For ONEOK, Inc. the two are €15.38 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ONEOK, Inc. worth?
The market values ONEOK, Inc. at about €52.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is €82.58; our models calculate a fair value of €97.96 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ONK?
Our models span a range for ONEOK, Inc.: cautious scenario €33.27, base €97.96, optimistic €172.75 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price €82.58). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ONK?
ONEOK, Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.8 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €97.96 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.2, P/B 2.6, P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 11.9.
What is the PEG ratio of ONK?
The PEG ratio of ONEOK, Inc. is 2.20 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 29, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of ONEOK, Inc. (ONK)?
Balance-sheet figures for ONEOK, Inc. (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 15.9%, debt of 1.37 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ONK from its 52-week high?
ONEOK, Inc. trades at €82.58, about 1% below its 52-week high of €83.42 and 51% above the low of €54.58 (as of Jul 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €97.96 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ONEOK, Inc.?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Enbridge Inc, The Williams Companies, Inc, Enterprise Products Partners L.P., Energy Transfer LP,, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ONEOK, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price €82.58, calculated fair value €97.96 (+19%), Quality Score 33/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ONK calculated?
We run ONEOK, Inc. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €97.96, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. ONEOK, Inc. currently trades 16 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ONEOK, Inc. (ONK)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 24, 2026 and stands at €82.58. Our model-based fair value is €97.96, about +19% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ONEOK, Inc. right now?
The model range is unusually wide (€33.27 to €172.75). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Key figures of ONEOK, Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of ONEOK, Inc. (ONK)?
The market capitalisation of ONEOK, Inc. is €52.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ONEOK, Inc. (ONK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ONEOK, Inc. is 1.69 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ONEOK, Inc. (ONK)?
Earnings per share at ONEOK, Inc. are €4.93 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of ONEOK, Inc. (ONK)?
The dividend yield of ONEOK, Inc. is 5.1% (payout 85.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of ONEOK, Inc. (ONK)?
The net margin of ONEOK, Inc. is 10.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ONEOK, Inc. (ONK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ONEOK, Inc. is 15.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ONEOK, Inc. (ONK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ONEOK, Inc. is 9.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ONEOK, Inc. (ONK)?
The operating margin of ONEOK, Inc. is 14.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ONEOK, Inc. (ONK)?
Revenue at ONEOK, Inc. is growing +19.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +14.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ONEOK, Inc. (ONK)?
Earnings per share at ONEOK, Inc. are growing +18.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does ONEOK, Inc. (ONK) carry?
The net debt of ONEOK, Inc. is $32.7B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 13.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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