Ono Pharmaceutical Co (OPHLY) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $6.5B
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $7.16 to $7.97 (+11.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −1.2% over the past month.
A strong business, screening 60% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (79/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($5.98). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.94 – $7.64 · fair‑value band $5.98 – $9.96 · the $4.98 price screens below the $7.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Ono Pharmaceutical Co (OPHLY) currently trades at $4.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.97, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 79/100 (high quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Ono Pharmaceutical Co generated revenue of $516B at a net margin of 13.5%. Revenue grew 5.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $117B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $5.98 (bear case) to $9.96 (bull case); at $4.98, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at 60%, OPHLY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($9.67) versus Asset-Based ($2.52). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 78 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ono Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. produces, purchases, and sells pharmaceuticals and diagnostic reagents worldwide. It offers Opdivo intravenous infusion and Kyprolis intravenous injection for malignant tumors; Emend capsule intravenous injections for chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting; Demser capsules for the symptoms in patients with pheochromocytoma; …
Full company description
Ono Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. produces, purchases, and sells pharmaceuticals and diagnostic reagents worldwide. It offers Opdivo intravenous infusion and Kyprolis intravenous injection for malignant tumors; Emend capsule intravenous injections for chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting; Demser capsules for the symptoms in patients with pheochromocytoma; Mektovi, Velexbru, and Braftovi capsules for malignant tumors; and ADLUMIZ tablets for cancer cachexia. The company also provides Glactiv tablets for type 2 diabetes; Forxiga tablets for diabetes, chronic heart failure, and chronic kidney disease; Onoact intravenous infusion for tachyarrhythmia; Opalmon tablets to treat peripheral circulatory disorder; Coralan for chronic heart failure; Orencia injections for rheumatoid arthritis; Rivastach patches for Alzheimer's disease; Ongentys tablets for Parkinson's disease; Parsabiv for the treatment of secondary hyperparathyroidism; Staybla tablets for overactive bladder; Onon capsules and Dry Syrups for bronchial asthma and allergic rhinitis; and Joyclu intra-articular injection for the improvement of joint function, as well as Recalbon tablets for osteoporosis. In addition, it develops products for hepatocellular and urothelial carcinoma; ovarian, bladder, prostate, pancreatic, gastric, esophageal, colorectal, thyroid, cell lung, and breast cancer; acute myeloid leukemia; solid tumors; myelodysplastic syndrome; melanoma; T-cell lymphoma; tachyarrhythmia; pemphigus; scleroderma; seizures; diabetic polyneuropathy; neurodegenerative diseases; autoimmune diseases; narcolepsy; and thrombosis. The company has collaborations with Adimab LLC; Turbine Ltd.; Harvard University; Sibylla Biotech; and Congruence Therapeutics. Ono Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. was founded in 1717 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Ono Pharmaceutical Co reported revenue of $547B in FY2026 versus $361B in FY2022, a compound +10.9%/yr. Reported net income was $74.0B in FY2026, compounding −2.1%/yr from FY2022.
Watch OPHLY: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Ono Pharmaceutical (TSE:4528) Could Be 58% Undervalued On First Quarter Earnings
- Are Investors Undervaluing Ono Pharmaceutical Co. (OPHLF) Right Now?
- Ono Pharmaceutical Co. (OPHLF) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates
- Ono Pharmaceutical partners with Phylo to embed agentic AI with every discovery scientist
Peer Group
Drug Manufacturers - General · 76 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - General median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Drug Manufacturers - General stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Lilly and Company LLY | $1,182 | $396.77 | -66% |
| Johnson & Johnson, JNJ | $257.59 | $169.04 | -34% |
| AbbVie Inc ABBV | $254.49 | $67.72 | -73% |
| Roche Holding 1RO | €392.80 | €226.68 | -42% |
| Merck & Co MRK | €108.08 | €121.54 | +12% |
| Novartis AG NVSN | 2,742 MXN | 2,379 MXN | -13% |
| AstraZeneca PLC AZN | $171.61 | $129.54 | -25% |
| Novo Nordisk A/S NOVOB | kr 329.90 | kr 409.46 | +24% |
| Amgen Inc AMGN | $363.39 | $252.02 | -31% |
| Sanofi SNYN | 770.00 MXN | 1,251 MXN | +63% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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