Oriental Rise Holdings (ORIS) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $10.3M
Oriental Rise Holdings
ORIS · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −26.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 30% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (21/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- Our model range runs from $0.5015 (bear) to $0.8330 (bull), base $0.6715. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 21/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (22 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
22‑month range $0.5139 – $4,481 · fair‑value band $0.5015 – $0.8330 · the $0.5151 price screens below the $0.6715 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Oriental Rise Holdings (ORIS) currently trades at $0.5151, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6715, implying the stock looks roughly 30.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Oriental Rise Holdings generated revenue of $12.2M at a net margin of 5.6%. Revenue declined 1.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $48.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.5015 (bear case) to $0.8330 (bull case); at $0.5151, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 30%, ORIS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($2.62) versus Earnings-Based ($0.2800). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 0
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Oriental Rise Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in planting, cultivating, processing, and selling of primarily-processed tea in Mainland China. The company offers primarily-processed black and white tea, and refined tea, as well as operates a tea retail store.
Full company description
Oriental Rise Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in planting, cultivating, processing, and selling of primarily-processed tea in Mainland China. The company offers primarily-processed black and white tea, and refined tea, as well as operates a tea retail store. It sells its products to the tea business operators and end-user retail customers. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is based in Ningde, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Oriental Rise Holdings reported revenue of $12.2M in FY2025 versus $22.4M in FY2021, a compound −14.0%/yr. Reported net income was $681K in FY2025, compounding −48.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 649 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 348,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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