L'Oréal S.A (ORN) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · MX · Market cap 4.1T MXN (≈ $241B) · ISIN FR0000120321
What is L'Oréal S.A really worth?
A solid business, but trading 83% above our fair value of 4,182 MXN.
As of Aug 14, 2026, the fair value of L'Oréal S.A is 4,182 MXN per share against a price of 7,641 MXN, so the fair value sits 45% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 14, 2026, revised from 4,819 MXN to 4,182 MXN (−13.2%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price +0.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
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What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 71/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (5,855 MXN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- A fairly wide model range (2,792 MXN to 5,855 MXN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 5,765 MXN – 9,233 MXN · fair‑value band 2,792 MXN – 5,855 MXN · the 7,641 MXN price screens above the 4,182 MXN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
Analysis
L'Oréal S.A (ORN) currently trades at 7,641 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4,182 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 82.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 4,289 MXN per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the 7,641 MXN price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 761.14 MXN, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, L'Oréal S.A generated revenue of 44.1B MXN at a net margin of 13.9%. Revenue grew 1.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.0%. Net debt stands at 254M MXN. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 2,792 MXN (bear case) to 5,855 MXN (bull case); at 7,641 MXN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −45%, ORN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 150.96 MXN per share, which is 3.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (4,289 MXN) versus Asset-Based (761.14 MXN). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
L'Oréal S.A., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells cosmetic products for women and men in Europe, North America, North Asia, South Asia Pacific, the Middle East, North Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, and Latin America. It operates through four divisions: Professional Products, Consumer Products, Luxe, and Dermatological Beauty.
Full company description
L'Oréal S.A., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells cosmetic products for women and men in Europe, North America, North Asia, South Asia Pacific, the Middle East, North Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, and Latin America. It operates through four divisions: Professional Products, Consumer Products, Luxe, and Dermatological Beauty. The company offers skincare, make-up, hair colourant, haircare, perfume, and hygiene products. It provides its products under the L'Oréal Paris, Garnier, Maybelline New York, NYX Professional Makeup, Stylenanda, Essie, Dark & Lovely, Mixa, Niely, L'Oréal Professionnel, Kérastase, Redken, Matrix, Pureology, Lancôme, Yves Saint Laurent Beauté, Armani Beauty, Kiehl's, Helena Rubinstein, Aesop, Biotherm, Valentino, Prada, Shu Uemura, IT Cosmetics, Mugler, Ralph Lauren, Urban Decay, Azzaro, Maison Margiela, Viktor&Rolf, Takami, La RochePosay, CeraVe, Vichy, SkinCeuticals, Skinbetter Science, and other brand names. The company sells its products through distribution channels, such as hair salons, local stores, e-commerce, travel retail, mass market retail, department store perfumeries, pharmacies, drug stores, medi-spas, and free-standing stores. L'Oréal S.A. was founded in 1909 and is headquartered in Clichy, France.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
L'Oréal S.A reported revenue of €44.1B in FY2025 versus €32.3B in FY2021, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was €6.1B in FY2025, compounding +7.4%/yr from FY2021.
ORN screens 83% overvalued. Compare with Unilever PLC →
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unilever PLC UNA | €55.92 | €40.47 | −28% |
| Colgate-Palmolive Company CL | $90.75 | $55.28 | −39% |
| 500696 500696 | ₹2,093 | ₹641.55 | −69% |
| Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR | ₹2,015 | ₹789.46 | −61% |
| Kenvue Inc KVUE | $18.95 | $10.97 | −42% |
| Kimberly-Clark Corporation KMB | $109.55 | $79.71 | −27% |
| Henkel AG HEN3 | €76.42 | €85.95 | +12% |
| The Estée Lauder Companies Inc ESLA | €86.54 | €18.84 | −78% |
| Church & Dwight Co CHD | $101.26 | $65.12 | −36% |
| Beiersdorf Aktiengesellschaft, BEI | €80.42 | €68.36 | −15% |
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