Orior AG (ORON) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Orior AG CHF 27.77, price CHF 12.94, upside +114.6%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 9.95 – CHF 81.81 · fair‑value band CHF 17.86 – CHF 41.72 · the CHF 12.94 price screens below the CHF 27.77 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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ORIOR AG, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a food and beverage company in Switzerland. It operates through three segments: ORIOR Convenience, ORIOR Refinement, and ORIOR International.
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ORIOR AG, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a food and beverage company in Switzerland. It operates through three segments: ORIOR Convenience, ORIOR Refinement, and ORIOR International. The ORIOR Convenience segment provides fresh convenience products, such as ready-made meals, patés and terrines, fresh pasta, vegetarian and vegan specialties, and cooked poultry and meat products, as well as organic vegetable and fruit juices through retail and food service channels, and specialized retailers. The ORIOR Refinement segment offers refined and processed meat products, including Bündnerfleisch, ham, salami, and Mostbröckli through retail and food service channels. The ORIOR International segment produces ready-made meals and meal components, and organic vegetable juices, as well as operates approximately small food to go islands, and convenience shops. The company offers its products under the myEnergy, Rapelli, Biotta, Ticinella, Albert Spiess, GESA, Vivitz, C-ICE, Happy Vegi Butcher, Biotta Sprizz, Casualfood, Goodman & Filippo, super food, Hermanns's, Beans Barley, Fredag, Le Patron, Möfag, Pastinella, Noppa's, Ocean's Best, Pure Nature, Nature Gourment, east side berlin, Brezel Lovers, Levante, Quicker's, Culinor, Vaco's Kitchen, and Home Cuisine brand names. ORIOR AG was founded in 1852 and is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.
Stock analysis
Orior AG (ORON) currently trades at CHF 12.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 27.77, implying the stock looks roughly 53.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of CHF 30.13 per share, and 19 of the 22 models we run sit above the CHF 12.94 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at CHF 4.07, and 3 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: CHF 17.86 (bear) to CHF 41.72 (bull), the price of CHF 12.94 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Orior AG reported revenue of CHF 623M in FY2025 versus CHF 614M in FY2021, a compound +0.4%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 9.4M in FY2025, compounding −23.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap CHF 102M · P/E ratio 9.0 · P/S ratio 0.14 · EPS (TTM) CHF 1.43 · Net margin 1.5% · Return on equity 26.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.1% · Operating margin 4.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at 115%, ORON screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear CHF 17.86Fair Value CHF 27.77Bull CHF 41.72
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (CHF 1.05 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.2% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−19.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−19.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−19% vs −11%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+2.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−0.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Switzerland: IMF forecast 0.6% a year to 2030, 0.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +2.0% a year for the price and −1.4% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 667 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+115% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)27% · Top 25%
Return on assets3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity2.46× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Orior AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ORON
Frequently asked questions
Is Orior AG (ORON) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 27.77 versus a price of CHF 12.94, about +115% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ORON?
Our model-based fair value for Orior AG is CHF 27.77 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: CHF 12.94.
What is the quality score of ORON?
Orior AG has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Orior AG (ORON)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of CHF 27.77 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario CHF 17.86, optimistic scenario CHF 41.72. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Orior AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at CHF 27.77, about +115% upside versus a price of CHF 12.94 (undervalued). Cautious scenario CHF 17.86, optimistic scenario CHF 41.72. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Orior AG (ORON)?
Orior AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 623M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Orior AG (ORON)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Orior AG would have to grow free cash flow by +2.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.7 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ORON use?
Our models discount Orior AG at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.53, country premium for Switzerland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Orior AG that is +2.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Orior AG (ORON) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Orior AG grew +0.7 % a year. The price currently implies +2.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Orior AG (ORON) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Orior AG (+2.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Orior AG (ORON)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 23.91 %: that much free cash flow Orior AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Orior AG (ORON)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Orior AG it is CHF 27.77 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of CHF 12.94. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Orior AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ORON trades below its calculated fair value: price CHF 12.94, fair value CHF 27.77, a gap of about +115% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ORON?
No. The price is what the market pays today (CHF 12.94); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (CHF 27.77). For Orior AG the two are CHF 14.83 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Orior AG worth?
The market values Orior AG at about CHF 102M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is CHF 12.94; our models calculate a fair value of CHF 27.77 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ORON?
Our models span a range for Orior AG: cautious scenario CHF 17.86, base CHF 27.77, optimistic CHF 41.72 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price CHF 12.94). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ORON?
Orior AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.0 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of CHF 27.77 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.1, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 5.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Orior AG (ORON)?
Balance-sheet figures for Orior AG (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 26.6%, debt of 2.46 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ORON from its 52-week high?
Orior AG trades at CHF 12.94, about 23% below its 52-week high of CHF 16.72 and 30% above the low of CHF 9.95 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of CHF 27.77 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Orior AG?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Orior AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price CHF 12.94, calculated fair value CHF 27.77 (+115%), Quality Score 62/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ORON calculated?
We run Orior AG through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of CHF 27.77, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Orior AG currently trades 115 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Orior AG (ORON)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was CHF 12.94. Our model-based fair value is CHF 27.77, about +115% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Orior AG right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (CHF 17.86). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (CHF 17.86 to CHF 41.72) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Orior AG (ORON) come from?
Earnings per share at Orior AG grew −5.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.2 %, EBIT margin −2.6 %, tax rate +0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −5.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Orior AG
How large is the market capitalisation of Orior AG (ORON)?
The market capitalisation of Orior AG is CHF 102M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Orior AG (ORON)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Orior AG is 0.14 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Orior AG (ORON)?
Earnings per share at Orior AG are CHF 1.43 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Orior AG (ORON)?
The net margin of Orior AG is 1.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Orior AG (ORON)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Orior AG is 26.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Orior AG (ORON)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Orior AG is 13.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Orior AG (ORON)?
The operating margin of Orior AG is 4.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Orior AG (ORON)?
Revenue at Orior AG is growing −3.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Orior AG (ORON)?
Earnings per share at Orior AG are growing −79.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Orior AG (ORON) carry?
The net debt of Orior AG is CHF 152M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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