Orpheus Uranium Ltd (ORP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 26, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Orpheus Uranium Ltd stock A$0.02, price A$0.08, upside -78.0%, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value above price?No
Good quality?No
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0230 – A$1.00 · the A$0.0840 price screens above the A$0.0185 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 26, 2026.
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Orpheus Uranium Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties. It explores for uranium, copper, gold, nickel, lithium, and zinc deposits.
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The company was formerly known as Argonaut Resources NL and changed its name to Orpheus Uranium Limited in February 2024. Orpheus Uranium Limited was incorporated in 1985 and is based in Unley, Australia.
Stock analysis
Orpheus Uranium Ltd (ORP) currently trades at A$0.0840, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0185, 78.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Orpheus Uranium Ltd reported revenue of A$168K in FY2025 versus A$6.6K in FY2021, a compound +124.9%/yr. Reported net income was −A$1.8M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap A$33.5M (≈ $23.6M) Micro · P/S ratio 43.7 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −20.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −53.7% · Revenue growth (YoY) +395% · Free cash flow −A$2.0M · Net cash A$5.0M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 13 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 100% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −78%, ORP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$0.0185Fair Value A$0.0185BullA$0.0185
Price A$0.0840 · Upside -78.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham)A$0.0100A$0.0100A$0.010055
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)A$0.0100A$0.0100A$0.010055
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.30/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+84.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +17.1% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−22,545.8% (2020) → −961.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 384 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Below median
Fair Value upside−78.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−16.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)395.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
P/B3.37× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)34.98× · Priciest 25%
PEG0.98× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 76
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 33
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Orpheus Uranium Ltd (ORP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0185 versus a price of A$0.0840, about −78% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ORP?
Our model-based fair value for Orpheus Uranium Ltd is A$0.0185 (as of Oct 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0840.
What is the quality score of ORP?
Orpheus Uranium Ltd has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Orpheus Uranium Ltd (ORP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0185 (as of Oct 26, 2026) from 1 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Orpheus Uranium Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0185, about −78% upside versus a price of A$0.0840 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Orpheus Uranium Ltd (ORP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Orpheus Uranium Ltd it is A$0.0185 per share (as of Oct 26, 2026), against a price of A$0.0840. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Orpheus Uranium Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 26, 2026, ORP trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0840, fair value A$0.0185, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ORP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0840); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0185). For Orpheus Uranium Ltd the two are A$0.0655 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Orpheus Uranium Ltd worth?
The market values Orpheus Uranium Ltd at about A$33.5M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 26, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0840; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0185 per share.
What is the PEG ratio of ORP?
The PEG ratio of Orpheus Uranium Ltd is 0.98 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 26, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Orpheus Uranium Ltd (ORP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Orpheus Uranium Ltd (as of Oct 26, 2026): return on equity −20.7%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ORP from its 52-week high?
Orpheus Uranium Ltd trades at A$0.0840, about 42% below its 52-week high of A$0.1450 and 100% above the low of A$0.0420 (as of Oct 26, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0185 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Orpheus Uranium Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Orpheus Uranium Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 26, 2026: price A$0.0840, calculated fair value A$0.0185 (−78%), Quality Score 36/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ORP calculated?
We run Orpheus Uranium Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0185, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Orpheus Uranium Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Orpheus Uranium Ltd (ORP)?
The closing price on Oct 26, 2026 was A$0.0840. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0185, about −78% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Orpheus Uranium Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0185). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Orpheus Uranium Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Orpheus Uranium Ltd (ORP)?
The market capitalisation of Orpheus Uranium Ltd is A$33.5M (≈ $23.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Orpheus Uranium Ltd (ORP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Orpheus Uranium Ltd is 43.7 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Orpheus Uranium Ltd (ORP)?
Earnings per share at Orpheus Uranium Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Orpheus Uranium Ltd (ORP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Orpheus Uranium Ltd is −20.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Orpheus Uranium Ltd (ORP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Orpheus Uranium Ltd is −53.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Orpheus Uranium Ltd (ORP)?
Revenue at Orpheus Uranium Ltd is growing +395% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Orpheus Uranium Ltd (ORP) generate?
The free cash flow of Orpheus Uranium Ltd is −A$2.0M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Orpheus Uranium Ltd (ORP) hold?
Orpheus Uranium Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$5.0M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Oct 26, 2026