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Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Orrön Energy AB (publ) stock SEK 8.34, price SEK 8.35, that is 0.1% below the price, quality 38 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Utilities SE · ISIN SE0000825820

OE Orrön Energy AB (publ) logo Thin data Nov 8, 2026

Orrön Energy AB (publ)

ORRON · ST
Fairly valued, weak quality

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Highly profitable · 47.7% net margin (TTM)
Low debt
Fair value kr 8.34 · Fairly valued
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y −59.0 %/yr in EUR)
Revenue last quarter 60% below a year ago.
Quality 38/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 27/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

kr 486.00 kr 3.93 Fair Value kr 8.34 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 3.93 – kr 486.00 · fair‑value band kr 6.23 – kr 12.45 · the kr 8.35 price screens above the kr 8.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Orrön Energy AB (publ) operates as an independent renewable energy company in Germany and Swede. The company owns and operates a portfolio of wind power assets in Sweden, Finland, and rest of Nordics. It also develops solar and battery projects in the United Kingdom, Germany, and France.

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The company was formerly known as Lundin Energy AB (publ) and changed its name to Orrön Energy AB (publ) in July 2022. Orrön Energy AB (publ) was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Stockholm, Sweden.

Stock analysis

Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON) currently trades at kr 8.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 8.34, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 0.1%).

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: kr 6.23 (bear) to kr 12.45 (bull), the price of kr 8.35 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2010: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2010.

Orrön Energy AB (publ) reported revenue of €29.5M in FY2025 versus €3.9B in FY2021, a compound −70.5%/yr. Reported net income was −€26.8M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 2.4B SEK (≈ $242M) Micro · P/S ratio 72.1 · EPS (TTM) kr −0.2200 · Net margin −91.0% · Return on equity −4.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin −60.9% · Revenue (TTM) €33.1M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 108% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at 0%, ORRON screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 6.23 Fair Value kr 8.34 Bull kr 12.45
Price kr 8.35 · Downside -0.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) kr 6.22 kr 8.33 kr 12.43 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 6.22 kr 8.33 kr 12.43 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 74
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 67
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 9
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 67
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 84
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 84
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2010: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2010.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−59.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −25.6% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−0.6% (2020) → −77.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 195 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Below median
Fair Value upside −0.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −5.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 47.7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −60.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −59.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.33× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.67× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 6.55× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 31.4× · Priciest 25%
PEG 16.68× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)33 · sector 13
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 14
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 12
HEALTH (low debt)84 · sector 70
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 47

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
BEP BEP $31.14 $72.13 +132% vs ORRON
SDIC Power Holdings 600886 ¥15.72 ¥17.01 +8% vs ORRON
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥29.83 ¥32.21 +8% vs ORRON
VERBUND AG VER €71.15 €66.45 −7% vs ORRON
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €23.19 €11.12 −52% vs ORRON
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥10.99 ¥4.45 −60% vs ORRON
Public Power Corporation PPC €23.72 €6.43 −73% vs ORRON
EDP Renewables, S.A EDPR €14.49 €3.67 −75% vs ORRON
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 148.70 kr 33.25 −78% vs ORRON
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,449 ₹170.50 −88% vs ORRON

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Orrön Energy AB (publ): fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Orrön Energy AB (publ) Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ORRON

Frequently asked questions

Is Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 8.34 versus a price of kr 8.35, about 0% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ORRON?
Our model-based fair value for Orrön Energy AB (publ) is kr 8.34 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 8.35.
What is the quality score of ORRON?
Orrön Energy AB (publ) has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 8.34 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 6.23, optimistic scenario kr 12.45. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Orrön Energy AB (publ) stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 8.34, about 0% lower versus a price of kr 8.35 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario kr 6.23, optimistic scenario kr 12.45. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON)?
Orrön Energy AB (publ) reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €33.1M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Orrön Energy AB (publ) it is kr 8.34 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of kr 8.35. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Orrön Energy AB (publ) stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, ORRON trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 8.35, fair value kr 8.34, a gap of about −0% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ORRON?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 8.35); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 8.34). For Orrön Energy AB (publ) the two are kr 0.0100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Orrön Energy AB (publ) worth?
The market values Orrön Energy AB (publ) at about 2.4B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is kr 8.35; our models calculate a fair value of kr 8.34 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ORRON?
Our models span a range for Orrön Energy AB (publ): cautious scenario kr 6.23, base kr 8.34, optimistic kr 12.45 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price kr 8.35). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of ORRON?
The PEG ratio of Orrön Energy AB (publ) is 16.68 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON)?
Balance-sheet figures for Orrön Energy AB (publ) (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −4.5%, debt of 0.33 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ORRON from its 52-week high?
Orrön Energy AB (publ) trades at kr 8.35, about 20% below its 52-week high of kr 10.42 and 108% above the low of kr 4.01 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 8.34 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Orrön Energy AB (publ)?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, VERBUND AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Orrön Energy AB (publ) stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price kr 8.35, calculated fair value kr 8.34 (−0%), Quality Score 38/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ORRON calculated?
We run Orrön Energy AB (publ) through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of kr 8.34 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Orrön Energy AB (publ) itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was kr 8.35. Our model-based fair value is kr 8.34, about 0% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Orrön Energy AB (publ) right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (kr 6.23 to kr 12.45) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Orrön Energy AB (publ)

How large is the market capitalisation of Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON)?
The market capitalisation of Orrön Energy AB (publ) is 2.4B SEK (≈ $242M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Orrön Energy AB (publ) is 72.1 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON)?
Earnings per share at Orrön Energy AB (publ) are kr −0.2200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON)?
The net margin of Orrön Energy AB (publ) is −91.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Orrön Energy AB (publ) is −4.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Orrön Energy AB (publ) is −2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON)?
The operating margin of Orrön Energy AB (publ) is −60.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON)?
Revenue at Orrön Energy AB (publ) is growing −59.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +25.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON)?
Earnings per share at Orrön Energy AB (publ) are growing +10.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON) generate?
The free cash flow of Orrön Energy AB (publ) is −€10.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON) carry?
The net debt of Orrön Energy AB (publ) is €90.2M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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