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Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Orrön Energy AB (publ) SEK 8.52, price SEK 7.38, upside +15.5%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Utilities · SE · ISIN SE0000825820

OE Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Orrön Energy AB (publ)

ORRON · ST

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value kr 8.52 · Undervalued (+15%)
!Quality 41/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −59.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -67.4% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
!Narrow moat 26/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

kr 486.00 kr 3.93 Fair Value kr 8.52 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 3.93 – kr 486.00 · fair‑value band kr 6.36 – kr 12.71 · the kr 7.38 price screens below the kr 8.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Orrön Energy AB (publ) operates as an independent renewable energy company in Germany and Swede. The company owns and operates a portfolio of wind power assets in Sweden, Finland, and rest of Nordics. It also develops solar and battery projects in the United Kingdom, Germany, and France.

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Orrön Energy AB (publ) operates as an independent renewable energy company in Germany and Swede. The company owns and operates a portfolio of wind power assets in Sweden, Finland, and rest of Nordics. It also develops solar and battery projects in the United Kingdom, Germany, and France. The company was formerly known as Lundin Energy AB (publ) and changed its name to Orrön Energy AB (publ) in July 2022. Orrön Energy AB (publ) was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Stockholm, Sweden.

Stock analysis

Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON) currently trades at kr 7.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 8.52, implying the stock looks roughly 13.4% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: kr 6.36 (bear) to kr 12.71 (bull), the price of kr 7.38 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Orrön Energy AB (publ) reported revenue of €29.5M in FY2025 versus €3.9B in FY2021, a compound −70.5%/yr. Reported net income was −€26.8M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 2.1B SEK (≈ $213M) · P/S ratio 59.0 · EPS (TTM) kr −0.8900 · Net margin −91.0% · Return on equity −7.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.5% · Operating margin 19.7% · Revenue (TTM) €34.7M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 84% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at 15%, ORRON screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 6.36 Fair Value kr 8.52 Bull kr 12.71
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.5700 kr 0.7600 kr 1.13 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.5700 kr 0.7600 kr 1.13 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 12
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 62
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−59.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −25.6% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−0.6% (2020) → −77.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 207 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Below median
Fair Value upside +15% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −67% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 55% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.33× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.66× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 6.13× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 40.4× · Priciest 25%
PEG 16.68× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)54 · sector 14
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 14
HEALTH (low debt)84 · sector 68
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 47

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥28.08 ¥30.89 +10%
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 135.75 kr 31.40 −77%
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥9.62 ¥4.45 −54%
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,301 ₹169.61 −87%
BEP BEP $29.08 $70.40 +142%
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €23.56 €14.06 −40%
SDIC Power Holdings 600886 ¥14.30 ¥17.08 +19%
China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co 600905 ¥3.64 ¥2.40 −34%
EDP Renewables, S.A EDPR €13.22 €3.67 −72%
Public Power Corporation PPC €23.72 €7.44 −69%

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Orrön Energy AB (publ) · Fair Value
kr 8.52 +13%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Orrön Energy AB (publ) Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ORRON

Frequently asked questions

Is Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 8.52 versus a price of kr 7.38, about +15% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ORRON?
Our model-based fair value for Orrön Energy AB (publ) is kr 8.52 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 7.38.
What is the quality score of ORRON?
Orrön Energy AB (publ) has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 8.52 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 6.36, optimistic scenario kr 12.71. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Orrön Energy AB (publ) stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 8.52, about +15% upside versus a price of kr 7.38 (undervalued). Cautious scenario kr 6.36, optimistic scenario kr 12.71. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON)?
Orrön Energy AB (publ) reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €34.7M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Orrön Energy AB (publ) it is kr 8.52 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 7.38. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Orrön Energy AB (publ) stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ORRON trades below its calculated fair value: price kr 7.38, fair value kr 8.52, a gap of about +15% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ORRON?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 7.38); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 8.52). For Orrön Energy AB (publ) the two are kr 1.14 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Orrön Energy AB (publ) worth?
The market values Orrön Energy AB (publ) at about 2.1B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 7.38; our models calculate a fair value of kr 8.52 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ORRON?
Our models span a range for Orrön Energy AB (publ): cautious scenario kr 6.36, base kr 8.52, optimistic kr 12.71 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 7.38). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of ORRON?
The PEG ratio of Orrön Energy AB (publ) is 16.68 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON)?
Balance-sheet figures for Orrön Energy AB (publ) (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −7.0%, debt of 0.33 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ORRON from its 52-week high?
Orrön Energy AB (publ) trades at kr 7.38, about 29% below its 52-week high of kr 10.42 and 84% above the low of kr 4.01 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 8.52 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Orrön Energy AB (publ)?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Adani Green Energy Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Orrön Energy AB (publ) stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 7.38, calculated fair value kr 8.52 (+15%), Quality Score 41/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ORRON calculated?
We run Orrön Energy AB (publ) through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 8.52, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Orrön Energy AB (publ) currently trades 15 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was kr 7.38. Our model-based fair value is kr 8.52, about +15% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Orrön Energy AB (publ) right now?
A fairly wide model range (kr 6.36 to kr 12.71) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Orrön Energy AB (publ)

How large is the market capitalisation of Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON)?
The market capitalisation of Orrön Energy AB (publ) is 2.1B SEK (≈ $213M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Orrön Energy AB (publ) is 59.0 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON)?
Earnings per share at Orrön Energy AB (publ) are kr −0.8900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON)?
The net margin of Orrön Energy AB (publ) is −91.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Orrön Energy AB (publ) is −7.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Orrön Energy AB (publ) is −2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON)?
The operating margin of Orrön Energy AB (publ) is 19.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON)?
Revenue at Orrön Energy AB (publ) is growing +54.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +25.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON)?
Earnings per share at Orrön Energy AB (publ) are growing +10.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON) generate?
The free cash flow of Orrön Energy AB (publ) is −€10.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Orrön Energy AB (publ) (ORRON) carry?
The net debt of Orrön Energy AB (publ) is €90.2M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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