Osmond Resources Limited (OSM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 5, 2026: fair value of Osmond Resources Limited A$0.16, price A$0.61, upside -73.5%, quality 21 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
53‑month range A$0.0620 – A$1.10 · fair‑value band A$0.1190 – A$0.2465 · the A$0.6100 price screens above the A$0.1615 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
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Osmond Resources Limited operates as an early-stage mineral exploration and development company in Australia. The company primarily explores for gold, uranium, nickel, copper, platinum group, and rare earth elements. Its flagship project is Orion EU Critical Minerals Project, covering an area of 228 square kilometers, located in Southern Spain.
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Osmond Resources Limited operates as an early-stage mineral exploration and development company in Australia. The company primarily explores for gold, uranium, nickel, copper, platinum group, and rare earth elements. Its flagship project is Orion EU Critical Minerals Project, covering an area of 228 square kilometers, located in Southern Spain. Osmond Resources Limited was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.
Stock analysis
Osmond Resources Limited (OSM) currently trades at A$0.6100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1615, 73.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 81/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: A$0.1190 (bear) to A$0.2465 (bull), the price of A$0.6100 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Osmond Resources Limited reported revenue of A$30.7K in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −A$7.6M in FY2026.
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at −74%, OSM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.1190Fair Value A$0.1615Bull A$0.2465
Price A$0.6100 · Upside -73.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Osmond Resources Limited with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Precious Metals & Mining · 94 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score21 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−73.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−13.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth19.9% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.45× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 62
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Osmond Resources Limited (OSM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.1615 versus a price of A$0.6100, about −74% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OSM?
Our model-based fair value for Osmond Resources Limited is A$0.1615 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.6100.
What is the quality score of OSM?
Osmond Resources Limited has a Quality Score of 21/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Osmond Resources Limited (OSM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.1615 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.1190, optimistic scenario A$0.2465. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Osmond Resources Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.1615, about −74% upside versus a price of A$0.6100 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.1190, optimistic scenario A$0.2465. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Osmond Resources Limited (OSM)?
Osmond Resources Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$12.4K (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Osmond Resources Limited (OSM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Osmond Resources Limited it is A$0.1615 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of A$0.6100. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Osmond Resources Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, OSM trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.6100, fair value A$0.1615, a gap of about −74% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OSM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.6100); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.1615). For Osmond Resources Limited the two are A$0.4485 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Osmond Resources Limited worth?
The market values Osmond Resources Limited at about A$84.2M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is A$0.6100; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.1615 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OSM?
Our models span a range for Osmond Resources Limited: cautious scenario A$0.1190, base A$0.1615, optimistic A$0.2465 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price A$0.6100). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Osmond Resources Limited (OSM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Osmond Resources Limited (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −22.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 21/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OSM from its 52-week high?
Osmond Resources Limited trades at A$0.6100, about 45% below its 52-week high of A$1.10 and 51% above the low of A$0.4050 (as of Oct 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.1615 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Osmond Resources Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk, Hecla Mining Company, China Gold International Resources Corp, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A., among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Osmond Resources Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price A$0.6100, calculated fair value A$0.1615 (−74%), Quality Score 21/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OSM calculated?
We run Osmond Resources Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.1615, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Osmond Resources Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Osmond Resources Limited (OSM)?
The closing price on Oct 5, 2026 was A$0.6100. Our model-based fair value is A$0.1615, about −74% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Osmond Resources Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.2465). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (21/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (A$0.1190 to A$0.2465) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Osmond Resources Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Osmond Resources Limited (OSM)?
The market capitalisation of Osmond Resources Limited is A$84.2M (≈ $58.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Osmond Resources Limited (OSM)?
Earnings per share at Osmond Resources Limited are A$−0.0600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Osmond Resources Limited (OSM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Osmond Resources Limited is −22.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Osmond Resources Limited (OSM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Osmond Resources Limited is −34.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Osmond Resources Limited (OSM)?
The operating margin of Osmond Resources Limited is 172,111% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Osmond Resources Limited (OSM)?
Revenue at Osmond Resources Limited is growing +19.9% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Osmond Resources Limited (OSM) generate?
The free cash flow of Osmond Resources Limited is −A$2.1M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Osmond Resources Limited (OSM) hold?
Osmond Resources Limited holds more cash than debt, A$5.5M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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