Oswal Agro Mills Limited (OSWALAGRO) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · IN · Market cap ₹4.9B
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated today
Share price −3.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 85% overvalued on our models.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹5.84). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- The models converge in a tight band (₹5.50 to ₹5.84), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹9.18 – ₹103.85 · fair‑value band ₹5.50 – ₹5.84 · the ₹36.79 price screens above the ₹5.67 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.
Analysis
Oswal Agro Mills Limited (OSWALAGRO) currently trades at ₹36.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹5.67, implying the stock looks roughly 84.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at ₹306K. Revenue declined 76.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.4%. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹5.50 (bear case) to ₹5.84 (bull case); at ₹36.79, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 45% fair-value upside, at -85%, OSWALAGRO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (₹113.94) versus Multiples (₹5.67). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Oswal Agro Mills Limited engages in the trading of commodities in India. It operates through Trading, Real Estate, and Investment segments. The company is involved in the development and trading of real estate projects.
Full company description
Oswal Agro Mills Limited engages in the trading of commodities in India. It operates through Trading, Real Estate, and Investment segments. The company is involved in the development and trading of real estate projects. In addition, it invests in equity instruments and other securities; and invests surplus funds in inter-corporate deposits, as well as trades in mutual funds and other miscellaneous incomes. Oswal Agro Mills Limited was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in New Delhi, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Oswal Agro Mills Limited reported revenue of ₹193M in FY2026 versus ₹110M in FY2022, a compound +15.0%/yr. Reported net income was −₹220M in FY2026.
OSWALAGRO screens 85% overvalued. Compare with DLF Limited →
Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 598 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹667.10 | ₹170.24 | -74% |
| Macrotech Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,244 | ₹583.42 | -53% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,050 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,075 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +56% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 610.00 IDR | 1,525 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 77.00 IDR | 192.50 IDR | +150% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 610.00 IDR | 1,525 IDR | +150% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,300 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +45% |
| PT Puradelta Lestari Tbk DMAS | 147.00 IDR | 164.33 IDR | +12% |
| Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corporation PDR | 12,100 VND | 4,943 VND | -59% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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