Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $3.8B
Otter Tail Corporation
OTTR · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price +4.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 15% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Our model range runs from $59.86 (bear) to $99.77 (bull), base $79.82. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 47/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $41.29 – $95.54 · fair‑value band $59.86 – $99.77 · the $93.79 price screens above the $79.82 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) currently trades at $93.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $79.82, implying the stock looks roughly 14.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Otter Tail Corporation generated revenue of $1.3B at a net margin of 21.3%. Revenue grew 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.5%. Net debt stands at $718M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $59.86 (bear case) to $99.77 (bull case); at $93.79, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -15%, OTTR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Earnings-Based ($116.56) versus Growth DCF ($20.82). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Otter Tail Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in electric utility, manufacturing, and plastic pipe businesses in the United States. It operates through three segments: Electric, Manufacturing, and Plastics.
Full company description
Otter Tail Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in electric utility, manufacturing, and plastic pipe businesses in the United States. It operates through three segments: Electric, Manufacturing, and Plastics. The Electric segment generates, purchases, transmissions, distributes, and sells electric energy in Minnesota, North Dakota, and South Dakota; and operates as a participant in the Midcontinent Independent System Operator markets. This segment generates electricity through coal, fuel oil, solar, wind, and natural gas for residential, commercial, and industrial customers. Its Manufacturing segment engages in metal fabrication services for custom machine parts and metal components and manufacturing thermoformed plastic products for use in the agriculture, construction, horticulture, industrial, lawn and garden, recreational vehicle, and other end markets. These businesses have manufacturing facilities in Georgia, Illinois, and Minnesota and sell products primarily in the United States. The Plastics segment manufactures polyvinyl chloride pipes for municipal water, rural water, wastewater, storm drainage and water reclamation system, and other uses for customers in the horticulture, medical and life sciences, industrial, recreation, and electronics industries. This segment markets its products through independent sales representatives, company salespersons, and customer service representatives. Otter Tail Corporation was incorporated in 1907 and is headquartered in Fergus Falls, Minnesota.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Otter Tail Corporation reported revenue of $1.3B in FY2025 versus $1.2B in FY2021, a compound +2.2%/yr. Reported net income was $276M in FY2025, compounding +11.8%/yr from FY2021.
OTTR screens 15% overvalued. Compare with CITIC Limited →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Otter Tail initiates 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $5.68 to $6.08 while reaffirming 10% 5-year rate base CAGR
- Otter Tail Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
- Otter Tail (OTTR) Tops Q2 Earnings Estimates
- Otter Tail Non-GAAP EPS of $1.66 beats by $0.16, revenue of $334.38M beats by $8.26M
Peer Group
Conglomerates · 370 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CITIC Limited 0267 | HK$11.28 | HK$22.56 | +100% |
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| PT Astra International Tbk, ASII | 4,810 IDR | 9,620 IDR | +100% |
| The Siam Cement Public Company SCC | 254.00 THB | 199.40 THB | -21% |
| SRF Limited SRF | ₹2,875 | ₹1,053 | -63% |
| Empresas Copec S.A COPEC | 6,330 CLP | 10,879 CLP | +72% |
| Posco International Corporation 047050 | 50,900 KRW | 61,248 KRW | +20% |
| Tube Investments of India Limited TIINDIA | ₹2,940 | ₹559.30 | -81% |
| Doosan Corporation 000155 | 464,000 KRW | 75,620 KRW | -84% |
| Thermax Limited THERMAX | ₹4,809 | ₹1,087 | -77% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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