Ouster, Inc. Common Stock (OUST) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $2.5B · ISIN US68989M2026
Ouster, Inc. Common Stock
OUST · US
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price +10.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and trading another 479% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($7.85). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($3.52 to $7.85) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.24 – $144.80 · fair‑value band $3.52 – $7.85 · the $34.62 price screens above the $5.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Ouster, Inc. Common Stock (OUST) currently trades at $34.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.98, implying the stock looks roughly 82.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Ouster, Inc. Common Stock generated revenue of $185M at a net margin of -30.1%. Revenue grew 48.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -25.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $50.3M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $3.52 (bear case) to $7.85 (bull case); at $34.62, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 133% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -63% fair-value upside, at -83%, OUST screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($8.78) versus Asset-Based ($2.61). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Ouster, Inc. engages in the production and sale of lidar sensor kits for the automotive, industrial, robotics, and smart infrastructure industries in the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.
Full company description
Ouster, Inc. engages in the production and sale of lidar sensor kits for the automotive, industrial, robotics, and smart infrastructure industries in the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company offers the Outer Sensor (OS) product line, including OSDome that provides a hemispheric field of view; OS0 for wide view; OS1, for mid-range view; and OS2 for long-range view. It also provides the DF series, a suite of short, mid, and long-range solid-state digital lidar sensors for advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving systems; Velodyne that offers surround-view lidar sensors comprising VLP-16, VLP-16 Lite, VLP-16 Hi-Res, VLP-32, and VLS-128; Ouster Gemini, a perception platform designed for smart infrastructure deployments; and BlueCity, a Gemini-powered solution for traffic operations, planning, and safety. In addition, the company offers ZED, a high-performance camera that provides 2D and 3D color data, as well as AI Compute. Further, it is developing solid-state digital flash sensors, a suite of short, mid, and long-range solid-state digital lidar sensors that provide uniform precision imaging without motion blur across an entire field of view. Ouster, Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ouster, Inc. Common Stock reported revenue of $169M in FY2025 versus $33.6M in FY2021, a compound +49.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$60.4M in FY2025.
OUST screens 83% overvalued. Compare with Amphenol Corporation →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Is Ouster (OUST) Quietly Repositioning Its Lidar Platform at the Center of John Deere’s Autonomy Stack?
- How Ouster Is Helping Deere Implement Physical AI
- Robotics Stocks Punished Tuesday in AI Sell-Off: Ouster Down 10%, Aeva Technologies Down 12%, Symbotic Down 4%
- Can Ouster's BlueCity Expand Its LiDAR Growth Opportunity?
Peer Group
Electronic Components · 651 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 54/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphenol Corporation APH | $157.74 | $97.19 | -38% |
| Corning Incorporated GLW | CHF 134.64 | CHF 35.18 | -74% |
| Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 | 1,750 TWD | 602.37 TWD | -66% |
| Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 | ¥56.06 | ¥38.44 | -31% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 | 1,503,000 KRW | 172,954 KRW | -88% |
| Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 | ¥202.11 | ¥21.19 | -90% |
| TE Connectivity plc TEL | $202.66 | $144.42 | -29% |
| Shengyi Technology Co 600183 | ¥132.80 | ¥36.30 | -73% |
| Flex Ltd FLEX | $124.53 | $48.10 | -61% |
| Celestica Inc CLS | $307.32 | $113.54 | -63% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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