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Ouster, Inc. (OUST) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Ouster, Inc. stock $24.95, price $38.22, that is 34.7% below the price, quality 39 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Technology US

OI Ouster, Inc. logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Ouster, Inc.

OUST · US
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 35% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Upbeat coverage
Revenue last quarter +56% vs. a year ago.
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +55.0 %/yr in USD)
Insiders sold $36.2M (6M)
Fair value $24.95 · Overvalued
Quality 39/100
Loss-making · -26.0% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/10)
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
Estimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$104.60 $3.24 Fair Value $24.95 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.24 – $104.60 · fair‑value band $18.71 – $31.18 · the $38.22 price screens above the $24.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Ouster, Inc. engages in the production and sale of lidar sensor kits for the automotive, industrial, robotics, and smart infrastructure industries in the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.

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The company offers the Outer Sensor (OS) product line, including OSDome that provides a hemispheric field of view; OS0 for wide view; OS1, for mid-range view; and OS2 for long-range view.

It also provides the DF series, a suite of short, mid, and long-range solid-state digital lidar sensors for advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving systems; Velodyne that offers surround-view lidar sensors comprising VLP-16, VLP-16 Lite, VLP-16 Hi-Res, VLP-32, and VLS-128; Ouster Gemini, a perception platform designed for smart infrastructure deployments; and BlueCity, a Gemini-powered solution for traffic operations, planning, and safety.

In addition, the company offers ZED, a high-performance camera that provides 2D and 3D color data, as well as AI Compute.

Further, it is developing solid-state digital flash sensors, a suite of short, mid, and long-range solid-state digital lidar sensors that provide uniform precision imaging without motion blur across an entire field of view.

Ouster, Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

Stock analysis

Ouster, Inc. (OUST) currently trades at $38.22, while our estimate is $24.95, 35% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: $18.71 (bear) to $31.18 (bull), the price of $38.22 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Ouster, Inc. Common Stock reported revenue of $169M in FY2025 versus $33.6M in FY2021, a compound +49.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$60.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $2.5B Mid · P/S ratio 11.8 · EPS (TTM) $−0.6500 · Net margin −35.6% · Return on equity −18.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −52.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin −46.6% · Revenue (TTM) $205M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 130% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −35%, OUST screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear $18.71 Fair Value $24.95 Bull $31.18
Price $38.22 · Downside -34.7%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 15
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 98
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 4
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 89
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 33
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 67
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 67
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 9 officers or directors sold shares worth $36.2M and none bought.

  • SaleStephen A SkaggsDirector4× since Apr 21, 2026: 20,000 shares, avg. $34.39$687,702Nov 6, 202610b5-1 plan
  • SaleMark FrichtlChief Technology Officer12× since Dec 12, 2025: 918,718 shares, avg. $33.81$31.1MSep 14, 202610b5-1 plan
  • SaleKenneth P. GianellaChief Financial Officer3× since Jun 12, 2026: 110,023 shares, avg. $40.49$4.5MSep 14, 202610b5-1 plan
  • SaleCyrille JacquemetChief Revenue Officer4× since May 14, 2026: 37,052 shares, avg. $36.92$1.4MSep 14, 2026
  • SaleCharles Angus PacalaPresident and CEO, Director4× since Dec 12, 2025: 109,449 shares, avg. $30.89$3.4MSep 14, 202610b5-1 plan
  • SaleDarien SpencerChief Operating Officer6× since Dec 12, 2025: 107,225 shares, avg. $38.72$4.2MSep 14, 202610b5-1 plan
  • SaleMegan ChungGeneral Counsel and Secretary6× since Dec 12, 2025: 54,708 shares, avg. $29.65$1.6MSep 14, 202610b5-1 plan
  • SaleTed L Tewksbury IIIDirector4× since Nov 11, 2025: 6,780 shares, avg. $28.46$192,976Jun 22, 202610b5-1 plan
  • SaleSusan HeysteeDirector2× since Dec 12, 2025: 20,966 shares, avg. $29.38$615,889May 21, 2026
  • BuyVirginia BouletDirector2× since Mar 6, 2026: 8,158 shares, avg. $21.82$178,006May 11, 2026

Plus 13 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 10, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+52.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+60.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+55.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+99.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−273.8% (2020) → −43.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

OUST screens overvalued: fair value 35% below the price. Compare with Amphenol Corporation →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (96 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 693 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −34.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −17.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −26.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −46.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 55.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.17× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/B 9.64× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 12.31× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 71
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)92 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 241.50 TWD 292.29 TWD +21% vs OUST
TE Connectivity plc TEL $217.76 $224.30 +3% vs OUST
Asia Vital Components Co 3017 2,790 TWD 2,737 TWD −2% vs OUST
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥70.93 ¥66.42 −6% vs OUST
Amphenol Corporation APH $79.95 $70.91 −11% vs OUST
Celestica Inc CLS $223.89 $109.91 −51% vs OUST
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,275 TWD 519.57 TWD −59% vs OUST
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥51.68 ¥18.44 −64% vs OUST
Corning Incorporated GLW $112.13 $33.72 −70% vs OUST
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 882,000 KRW 171,572 KRW −81% vs OUST

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Ouster, Inc. Common Stock: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ouster, Inc. Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OUST

Frequently asked questions

Is Ouster, Inc. (OUST) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is $24.95 versus a price of $38.22, about 35% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OUST?
Our estimate for Ouster, Inc. is $24.95 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $38.22.
What is the quality score of OUST?
Ouster, Inc. has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ouster, Inc. (OUST)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of $24.95 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario $18.71, optimistic scenario $31.18. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Ouster, Inc. Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at $24.95, about 35% lower versus a price of $38.22 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $18.71, optimistic scenario $31.18. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ouster, Inc. (OUST)?
Ouster, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $205M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ouster, Inc. (OUST)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ouster, Inc. it is $24.95 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of $38.22.
Is Ouster, Inc. Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, OUST trades above its calculated fair value: price $38.22, fair value $24.95, a gap of about −35% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OUST?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($38.22); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($24.95). For Ouster, Inc. the two are $13.27 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ouster, Inc. Common Stock worth?
The market values Ouster, Inc. at about $2.5B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is $38.22; our models calculate a fair value of $24.95 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OUST?
Our models span a range for Ouster, Inc.: cautious scenario $18.71, base $24.95, optimistic $31.18 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price $38.22). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ouster, Inc. (OUST)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ouster, Inc. (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −18.0%, debt of 0.17 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OUST from its 52-week high?
Ouster, Inc. trades at $38.22, about 39% below its 52-week high of $62.52 and 130% above the low of $16.63 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $24.95 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ouster, Inc. Common Stock?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Hon Hai Precision Industry Co, Corning Incorporated, Delta Electronics, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ouster, Inc. Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price $38.22, calculated fair value $24.95 (−35%), Quality Score 39/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Ouster, Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ouster, Inc. (OUST)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was $38.22. Our estimate is $24.95, about 35% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ouster, Inc. Common Stock right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($31.18). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Ouster, Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Ouster, Inc. (OUST)?
The market capitalisation of Ouster, Inc. is $2.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ouster, Inc. (OUST)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ouster, Inc. is 11.8 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ouster, Inc. (OUST)?
Earnings per share at Ouster, Inc. are $−0.6500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Ouster, Inc. (OUST)?
The net margin of Ouster, Inc. is −35.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ouster, Inc. (OUST)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ouster, Inc. is −18.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ouster, Inc. (OUST)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ouster, Inc. is −52.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ouster, Inc. (OUST)?
The operating margin of Ouster, Inc. is −46.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ouster, Inc. (OUST)?
Revenue at Ouster, Inc. is growing +55.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +60.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Ouster, Inc. (OUST) generate?
The free cash flow of Ouster, Inc. is −$64.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Ouster, Inc. (OUST) hold?
Ouster, Inc. holds more cash than debt, $50.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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