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Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OVCHY) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $87.8B

OC Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation logo Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation OVCHY · US
Price$47.60
Fair Value$32.78
Upside-31.1%
Quality59/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 53.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.32% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Wide moat 66/100
Evidence: High Range $24.59 – $40.98 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 27, 2026, revised from $32.63 to $32.78 (+0.5%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +14.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 31% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($40.98). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$47.60 $12.34 Fair Value $32.78 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $12.34 – $47.60 · fair‑value band $24.59 – $40.98 · the $47.60 price screens above the $32.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OVCHY) currently trades at $47.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $32.78, implying the stock looks roughly 31.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation generated revenue of $14.1B at a net margin of 53.2%. Revenue grew 4.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $274M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $24.59 (bear case) to $40.98 (bull case); at $47.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 98% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -31%, OVCHY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $25.47 $29.58 $52.36 76
Gordon GGM $18.29 $38.03 $60.34 70
P/E Multiple $31.72 $42.29 $52.87 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $18.29 $38.03 $60.34 70
DDM Multi-Stage $18.29 $32.07 $39.92 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $31.72 $42.29 $52.87 63
P/B Multiple $28.89 $38.52 $48.15 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $13.76 $18.44 $27.52 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $25.47 $29.58 $52.36 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($38.52) versus Asset-Based ($18.44). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $14.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.9%
Net margin 53.2%
Return on equity 12.2%
Free cash flow $11.3B FY2025
P/E ratio 15.2
More key figures
Operating margin 58.3%
EPS (TTM) $2.58
Dividend yield 3.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +2.7%
Net cash $274M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 98

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 93
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 15
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 97
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 98
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides financial services in Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, Greater China, rest of the Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates through Global Consumer/Private Banking, Global Wholesale Banking, Global Markets and Insurance segments.

Full company description

Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides financial services in Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, Greater China, rest of the Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates through Global Consumer/Private Banking, Global Wholesale Banking, Global Markets and Insurance segments. The company's Global Consumer/Private Banking segment provides checking accounts, savings and fixed deposits, consumer loans such as housing loans and other personal loans, credit cards, investments and wealth management products. This segment also offers investment advice and portfolio management, estate and trust planning, and wealth structuring services for high-net-worth individuals. Its Global Wholesale Banking segment provides long-term project financing, short-term credit, working capital and trade financing, as well as customized and structured equity-linked financing. This segment serves corporates, public sector, and small and medium enterprises. The company's Global Markets segment is involved in the foreign exchange activities, money market operations, and fixed income and derivatives trading, as well as offers structured treasury products, digital assets, brokerage services, and financial solutions. Its Insurance segment provides fund management services, and life and general insurance products. The company's Others segment is involved in property and investment holding activities. Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation Limited was founded in 1912 and is headquartered in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation reported revenue of $32.7B in FY2025 versus $9.7B in FY2021, a compound +35.4%/yr. Reported net income was $7.3B in FY2025, compounding +10.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$32.7B
Latest YoY
+137.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+45.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+32.2%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y)
+11.9%
Revenue +35.4%/yr
FY21 $9.7B
FY22 $10.7B
FY23 $12.8B
FY24 $13.8B
FY25 $32.7B
Net income +10.7%/yr
FY21 $4.9B
FY22 $5.5B
FY23 $7.0B
FY24 $7.6B
FY25 $7.3B

OVCHY screens 31% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OVCHY

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −31% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 53% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 58% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.16× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.42× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 6.22× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 7.8× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.9× · Cheaper than median
PEG 3.83× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 39
FUTURE 25 · sector 44
PAST 49 · sector 41
HEALTH 92 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 66 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OVCHY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $32.78 versus a price of $47.60, about −31% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OVCHY?
Our model-based fair value for Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation is $32.78 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $47.60.
What is the quality score of OVCHY?
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OVCHY)?
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $14.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OVCHY?
The net profit margin of Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation is about 53.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 53.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation pay a dividend?
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.32% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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