OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of OVH Groupe S.A. $1.52, price $8.78, upside -82.7%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value $1.52 · Strongly overvalued (−83%)
!Quality 54/100
!Mixed Growth(revenue 5y +11.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -0.1% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers(4/11)
!Narrow moat22/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Watch OVH Groupe S.A. for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
42‑month range $4.00 – $10.25 · fair‑value band $1.52 – $3.62 · the $8.78 price screens above the $1.52 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Follow OVH Groupe in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether OVH Groupe is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
OVH Groupe S.A. provides public and private cloud, shared hosting, and dedicated server products and solutions worldwide. The company operates through Private Cloud, Public Cloud, and Web Cloud & Other segments.
Show more
OVH Groupe S.A. provides public and private cloud, shared hosting, and dedicated server products and solutions worldwide. The company operates through Private Cloud, Public Cloud, and Web Cloud & Other segments. It offers Bare Metal Cloud that provides dedicated servers; Hosted Private Cloud, which offers servers fully managed by OVHcloud, such as operating system and the virtualization layer; Public Cloud that provides cloud computing services on shared servers; and web cloud services. In addition, the company offers website hosting, domain name registration, telephony, and internet access services, as well as voice over internet protocol solutions. Further, it provides computing performance, storage, and network capabilities. OVH Groupe S.A. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Roubaix, France.
Stock analysis
OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY) currently trades at $8.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.52, implying the stock looks roughly 477.7% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $1.82 per share, and 3 of the 10 models we run sit above the $8.78 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $0.6900, and 7 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $1.52 (bear) to $3.62 (bull), the price of $8.78 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
OVH Groupe S.A. reported revenue of €993M in FY2024 versus €632M in FY2020, a compound +12.0%/yr. Reported net income was −€10.3M in FY2024.
Key figures
Market cap $3.0B · P/S ratio 2.76 · Net margin −1.0% · Return on equity −2.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.1% · Operating margin 6.6% · Revenue (TTM) €1.1B · Revenue growth (YoY) +1.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 76% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −83%, OVHGY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($0.0600 to $21.47). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear $1.52Fair Value $1.52Bull $3.62
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.48/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.9% (2019) → 5.0% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+35.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +32.7% a year for the price and +4.8% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 377 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Above median
Fair Value upside−83% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity24.66× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
P/S (TTM)2.76× · Pricier than median
P/FCF121.5× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA12.2× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 18
FUTURE (revenue growth)10· sector 49
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 33
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OVH Groupe S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OVHGY
Frequently asked questions
Is OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.52 versus a price of $8.78, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OVHGY?
Our model-based fair value for OVH Groupe S.A. is $1.52 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $8.78.
What is the quality score of OVHGY?
OVH Groupe S.A. has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.52 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.52, optimistic scenario $3.62. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the OVH Groupe S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.52, about −83% upside versus a price of $8.78 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.52, optimistic scenario $3.62. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY)?
OVH Groupe S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, OVH Groupe S.A. would have to grow free cash flow by +35.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OVHGY use?
Our models discount OVH Groupe S.A. at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.14, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For OVH Groupe S.A. that is +35.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at OVH Groupe S.A. grew +11.3 % a year. The price currently implies +35.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into OVH Groupe S.A. (+35.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.16 %: that much free cash flow OVH Groupe S.A. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For OVH Groupe S.A. it is $1.52 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $8.78. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is OVH Groupe S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, OVHGY trades above its calculated fair value: price $8.78, fair value $1.52, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OVHGY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($8.78); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.52). For OVH Groupe S.A. the two are $7.26 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is OVH Groupe S.A. worth?
The market values OVH Groupe S.A. at about $3.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $8.78; our models calculate a fair value of $1.52 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OVHGY?
Our models span a range for OVH Groupe S.A.: cautious scenario $1.52, base $1.52, optimistic $3.62 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $8.78). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY)?
Balance-sheet figures for OVH Groupe S.A. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −2.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OVHGY from its 52-week high?
OVH Groupe S.A. trades at $8.78, about 14% below its 52-week high of $10.25 and 76% above the low of $5.00 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.52 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to OVH Groupe S.A.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is OVH Groupe S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $8.78, calculated fair value $1.52 (−83%), Quality Score 54/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OVHGY calculated?
We run OVH Groupe S.A. through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.52, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. OVH Groupe S.A. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $8.78. Our model-based fair value is $1.52, about −83% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with OVH Groupe S.A. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.62). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($1.52 to $3.62) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of OVH Groupe S.A.
How large is the market capitalisation of OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY)?
The market capitalisation of OVH Groupe S.A. is $3.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of OVH Groupe S.A. is 2.76 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY)?
The net margin of OVH Groupe S.A. is −1.0% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of OVH Groupe S.A. is −2.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of OVH Groupe S.A. is 2.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY)?
The operating margin of OVH Groupe S.A. is 6.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY)?
Revenue at OVH Groupe S.A. is growing +1.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +14.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY) carry?
The net debt of OVH Groupe S.A. is €667M (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 26.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch OVH Groupe S.A. in the live analysis
One click puts OVH Groupe S.A. on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026