OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of OVH Groupe S.A. stock $1.54, price $7.52, that is 79.5% below the price, quality 55 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 10 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
44‑month range $4.00 – $10.25 · fair‑value band $1.54 – $4.23 · the $7.52 price screens above the $1.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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OVH Groupe S.A. provides public and private cloud, shared hosting, and dedicated server products and solutions worldwide. The company operates through Private Cloud, Public Cloud, and Web Cloud & Other segments.
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It offers Bare Metal Cloud that provides dedicated servers; Hosted Private Cloud, which offers servers fully managed by OVHcloud, such as operating system and the virtualization layer; Public Cloud that provides cloud computing services on shared servers; and web cloud services.
In addition, the company offers website hosting, domain name registration, telephony, and internet access services, as well as voice over internet protocol solutions. Further, it provides computing performance, storage, and network capabilities.
OVH Groupe S.A. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Roubaix, France.
Stock analysis
OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY) currently trades at $7.52, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.54, 80% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $12.80 per share, and 3 of the 9 models we run sit above the $7.52 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $1.03, and 6 of the 9 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $1.54 (bear) to $4.23 (bull), the price of $7.52 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
OVH Groupe S.A. reported revenue of €993M in FY2024 versus €632M in FY2020, a compound +12.0%/yr. Reported net income was −€10.3M in FY2024.
Key figures
Market cap $2.3B Mid · P/E ratio 188.0 · P/S ratio 1.78 · EPS (TTM) $0.0400 · Net margin 0.8% · Return on equity 18.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin 7.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −80%, OVHGY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($0.7100 to $23.62). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear$1.54Fair Value $1.54Bull$4.23
Price $7.52 · Downside -79.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
’19
’20
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.9% (2019) → 5.0% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+33.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+8.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +30.6% a year for the price and +6.1% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (94 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
AI conclusion: Ready capacity enables expansion without further construction spending, yet high leverage, negative ROE and thin margins reflect a weak moat in commoditized cloud infrastructure.
Main risk: The existing debt load risks constraining gains from ready capacity by limiting further expansion or raising financing costs.
OVHcloud reported its first positive levered free cash flow since the IPO alongside accelerating quarterly growth. Roughly half its connected capacity stands ready for new customers without additional construction spending. Will this position fuel faster expansion than peers or will the existing debt load limit the gains?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 346 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside−79.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)18.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets−0.6% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)0.8% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)7.7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)7.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity24.66× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OVH Groupe S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OVHGY
Frequently asked questions
Is OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.54 versus the last price from Oct 30, 2026 of $7.52, about 80% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OVHGY?
Our model-based fair value for OVH Groupe S.A. is $1.54 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Oct 30, 2026): $7.52.
What is the quality score of OVHGY?
OVH Groupe S.A. has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.54 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.54, optimistic scenario $4.23. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the OVH Groupe S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.54, about 80% lower versus the last price from Oct 30, 2026 of $7.52 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.54, optimistic scenario $4.23. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY)?
OVH Groupe S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.1B (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What growth is priced into OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, OVH Groupe S.A. would have to grow free cash flow by +33.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.3 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OVHGY use?
Our models discount OVH Groupe S.A. at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.09, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For OVH Groupe S.A. that is +33.5 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at OVH Groupe S.A. grew +11.3 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +33.5 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into OVH Groupe S.A. (+33.5 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.49 %: that much free cash flow OVH Groupe S.A. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For OVH Groupe S.A. it is $1.54 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $7.52. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models in 3 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Growth DCF).
Is OVH Groupe S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, OVHGY trades above its calculated fair value: price $7.52, fair value $1.54, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OVHGY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($7.52); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.54). For OVH Groupe S.A. the two are $5.98 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is OVH Groupe S.A. worth?
The market values OVH Groupe S.A. at about $2.3B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $7.52; our models calculate a fair value of $1.54 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OVHGY?
Our models span a range for OVH Groupe S.A.: cautious scenario $1.54, base $1.54, optimistic $4.23 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $7.52). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OVHGY?
OVH Groupe S.A. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 188.0 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.54 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/S 1.8, EV/EBITDA 5.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY)?
Balance-sheet figures for OVH Groupe S.A. (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 18.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OVHGY from its 52-week high?
OVH Groupe S.A. trades at $7.52, about 27% below its 52-week high of $10.25 and 50% above the low of $5.00 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.54 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to OVH Groupe S.A.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is OVH Groupe S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $7.52, calculated fair value $1.54 (−80%), Quality Score 55/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OVHGY calculated?
We run OVH Groupe S.A. through 10 models from 3 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $1.54 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. OVH Groupe S.A. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY)?
The latest price we hold is from Oct 30, 2026 and stands at $7.52. Our model-based fair value is $1.54, about 80% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with OVH Groupe S.A. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($4.23). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide ($1.54 to $4.23). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of OVH Groupe S.A.
How large is the market capitalisation of OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY)?
The market capitalisation of OVH Groupe S.A. is $2.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of OVH Groupe S.A. is 1.78 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY)?
Earnings per share at OVH Groupe S.A. are $0.0400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 188.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY)?
The net margin of OVH Groupe S.A. is 0.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of OVH Groupe S.A. is 18.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of OVH Groupe S.A. is 2.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY)?
The operating margin of OVH Groupe S.A. is 7.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY)?
Revenue at OVH Groupe S.A. is growing +7.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +14.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does OVH Groupe S.A. (OVHGY) carry?
The net debt of OVH Groupe S.A. is €667M (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 26.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 7, 2026