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OVH Groupe S.A (OVHGY) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $3.0B

OG OVH Groupe S.A logo OVH Groupe S.A OVHGY · US
Price$8.78
Fair Value$1.22
Upside-86.1%
Quality54/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -0.1% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: Medium Range $1.22 – $2.08 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $1.19 to $1.22 (+2.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −14.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 86% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.08). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

$10.25 $4.00 Fair Value $1.22 Mar 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

41‑month range $4.00 – $10.25 · fair‑value band $1.22 – $2.08 · the $8.78 price screens above the $1.22 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

OVH Groupe S.A (OVHGY) currently trades at $8.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.22, implying the stock looks roughly 86.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, OVH Groupe S.A generated revenue of $1.1B at a net margin of -0.1%. Revenue grew 1.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.2%. Net debt stands at $667M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.22 (bear case) to $2.08 (bull case); at $8.78, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 76% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -86%, OVHGY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.6400 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.2100 $1.60 74
EV/EBITDA $10.62 $14.89 $19.17 54
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.8900 38
5Y Revenue Exit $0.2500 $1.78 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $5.97 $14.30 $24.96 41
10Y Revenue Exit $1.54 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $3.44 $10.02 $20.44 37
Multiples
EV/EBIT $0.0600 $0.8100 $1.56 53
EV/EBITDA $10.62 $14.89 $19.17 54
EV/Revenue $0.6300 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0500 $0.0600 $0.0900 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.6400 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.2100 $1.60 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($10.02) versus Asset-Based ($0.0600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.9%
Net margin -0.1%
Return on equity -2.2%
Free cash flow $25.1M FY2024
Operating margin 6.6%
More key figures
Net debt $667M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 10
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 28
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 90
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

OVH Groupe S.A. provides public and private cloud, shared hosting, and dedicated server products and solutions worldwide. The company operates through Private Cloud, Public Cloud, and Web Cloud & Other segments.

Full company description

OVH Groupe S.A. provides public and private cloud, shared hosting, and dedicated server products and solutions worldwide. The company operates through Private Cloud, Public Cloud, and Web Cloud & Other segments. It offers Bare Metal Cloud that provides dedicated servers; Hosted Private Cloud, which offers servers fully managed by OVHcloud, such as operating system and the virtualization layer; Public Cloud that provides cloud computing services on shared servers; and web cloud services. In addition, the company offers website hosting, domain name registration, telephony, and internet access services, as well as voice over internet protocol solutions. Further, it provides computing performance, storage, and network capabilities. OVH Groupe S.A. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Roubaix, France.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

OVH Groupe S.A reported revenue of $993M in FY2024 versus $632M in FY2020, a compound +12.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$10.3M in FY2024.

Growth Quality 48/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
$993M
Latest YoY
+10.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+14.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+11.3%
Revenue +12.0%/yr
FY20 $632M
FY21 $663M
FY22 $788M
FY23 $897M
FY24 $993M
Net income
FY20 −$11.3M
FY21 −$32.3M
FY22 −$28.6M
FY23 −$40.3M
FY24 −$10.3M

OVHGY screens 86% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OVH Groupe S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OVHGY

Peer Group

Software - Infrastructure · 368 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −86% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Debt / equity 24.66× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 2.76× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 121.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 12.2× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 10 · sector 46
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 0 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $384.00 $274.17 -29%
Oracle Corporation ORAC C$9.08 C$2.94 -68%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $160.78 $44.96 -72%
Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS €354.50 €93.61 -74%
Block, Inc XYZ A$114.53 A$70.69 -38%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $79.94 $44.89 -44%
Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 ¥71.60 ¥34.00 -53%
Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS ₹11,651 ₹5,821 -50%
360 Security Technology Inc 601360 ¥9.64 ¥5.05 -48%
One97 Communications Limited PAYTM ₹1,342 ₹181.50 -86%

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Frequently asked questions

Is OVH Groupe S.A (OVHGY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.22 versus a price of $8.78, about −86% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OVHGY?
Our model-based fair value for OVH Groupe S.A is $1.22 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $8.78.
What is the quality score of OVHGY?
OVH Groupe S.A has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of OVH Groupe S.A (OVHGY)?
OVH Groupe S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OVHGY?
The net profit margin of OVH Groupe S.A is about -0.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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