PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. (PADAMCO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹0.1392 – ₹12.25 · fair‑value band ₹1.91 – ₹9.28 · the ₹0.9700 price screens below the ₹3.46 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Padam Cotton Yarns Limited engages in lending and investment of shares and securities. It also trades in derivatives of cotton futures at MCX. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Karnal, India.
Stock analysis
PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. (PADAMCO) currently trades at ₹0.9700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹3.46, implying the stock looks roughly 72.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹23.15 per share, and 15 of the 17 models we run sit above the ₹0.9700 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹0.6500, and 2 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹1.91 (bear) to ₹9.28 (bull), the price of ₹0.9700 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. reported revenue of ₹734M in FY2026 versus ₹30.0K in FY2022, a compound +1,150.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹109M in FY2026, compounding +185.2%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap ₹213M (≈ $2.2M) · P/E ratio 1.9 · P/S ratio 0.29 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.5000 · Dividend yield 6.1% · Net margin 14.9% · Return on equity 35.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at 257%, PADAMCO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹1.91Fair Value ₹3.46Bull ₹9.28
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 5 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.2274 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.59/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest YoY
+416.1%
Revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2,771.3%
Revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+578.6%
Revenue growth/yr (6Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+398.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in INR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+78.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend, before any change in valuation.
Earnings per share, growth per year+72.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.1%
Share of sales kept as operating profit ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1,740.8% (2021) → 18.1% (2026) · rising
2026 sits 198% above its own trend, likely a one-off gain. The rate follows the median trend of the last 3 years, not the spike.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Consulting Services · 80 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)36% · Top 25%
Return on assets13% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)23% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth86% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)6.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Consulting Services median · lower = cheaper
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Is PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. (PADAMCO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹3.46 versus a price of ₹0.9700, about +257% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PADAMCO?
Our model-based fair value for PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. is ₹3.46 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹0.9700.
What is the quality score of PADAMCO?
PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. (PADAMCO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹3.46 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹1.91, optimistic scenario ₹9.28. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹3.46, about +257% upside versus a price of ₹0.9700 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹1.91, optimistic scenario ₹9.28. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. (PADAMCO)?
PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹734M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. pay a dividend?
PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.13% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. (PADAMCO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. it is ₹3.46 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ₹0.9700. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, PADAMCO trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹0.9700, fair value ₹3.46, a gap of about +257% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PADAMCO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹0.9700); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹3.46). For PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. the two are ₹2.49 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. worth?
The market values PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. at about ₹213M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ₹0.9700; our models calculate a fair value of ₹3.46 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PADAMCO?
Our models span a range for PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD.: cautious scenario ₹1.91, base ₹3.46, optimistic ₹9.28 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ₹0.9700). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PADAMCO?
PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 1.9 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹3.46 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 1.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. (PADAMCO)?
Balance-sheet figures for PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 35.5%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Verisk Analytics, Inc, SGS SA, Equifax Inc, Bureau Veritas SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ₹0.9700, calculated fair value ₹3.46 (+257%), Quality Score 42/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PADAMCO calculated?
We run PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹3.46, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 32.0 % above its aggregate fair value. PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. currently trades 257 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹1.91). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (₹1.91 to ₹9.28). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD.
How large is the market capitalisation of PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. (PADAMCO)?
The market capitalisation of PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. is ₹213M (≈ $2.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. (PADAMCO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. is 0.29 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. (PADAMCO)?
Earnings per share at PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. are ₹0.5000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 1.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. (PADAMCO)?
The dividend yield of PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. is 6.1% (payout 11.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. (PADAMCO)?
The net margin of PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. is 14.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. (PADAMCO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. is 35.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. (PADAMCO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. is 2.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. (PADAMCO)?
The operating margin of PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. is 22.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. (PADAMCO)?
Revenue at PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. is growing +86.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2,771%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. (PADAMCO)?
Earnings per share at PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. are growing −82.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. (PADAMCO) generate?
The free cash flow of PADAM COTTON YARNS LTD. is −₹180M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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