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Pan African Resources PLC (PAFRY) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $3.1B

PA Pan African Resources PLC logo Pan African Resources PLC PAFRY · US
Price$25.53
Fair Value$20.95
Upside-17.9%
Quality54/100
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Evidence: High Range $15.37 – $26.54

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026, revised from $14.30 to $20.95 (+46.5%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price −8.5% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$49.44 $12.47 Fair Value $20.95 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $12.47 – $49.44 · fair‑value band $15.37 – $26.54 · the $25.53 price screens above the $20.95 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Pan African Resources PLC (PAFRY) currently trades at $25.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $20.95, implying the stock looks roughly 17.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Pan African Resources PLC generated revenue of $838M at a net margin of 28.8%. Revenue grew 157.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 43.6%. Net debt stands at $140M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $15.37 (bear case) to $26.54 (bull case); at $25.53, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 140% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 27% fair-value upside, at -18%, PAFRY screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $838M
Revenue growth (YoY) +157%
Net margin 28.8%
Return on equity 43.6%
Free cash flow −$3.8M FY2025
P/E ratio 12.9
More key figures
Operating margin 52.4%
EPS (TTM) $2.39
Dividend yield 0.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +192%
Net debt $140M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Pan African Resources PLC engages in the mining, extraction, production, and sale of gold in South Africa. Its flagship projects include the Barberton Mines that consists of three underground mines, including Fairview, Sheba, and Consort located in the Barberton Greenstone Belt; and Elikhulu tailings retreatment plant in Southern Africa. Pan African Resources PLC is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Pan African Resources PLC reported revenue of $540M in FY2025 versus $369M in FY2021, a compound +10.0%/yr. Reported net income was $142M in FY2025, compounding +17.3%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +10.0%/yr
FY21 $369M
FY22 $376M
FY23 $322M
FY24 $374M
FY25 $540M
Net income +17.3%/yr
FY21 $74.7M
FY22 $75.1M
FY23 $61.1M
FY24 $79.4M
FY25 $142M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pan African Resources PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PAFRY

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Newmont Corporation NEMCL $112.00 $141.64 +26%
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥27.82 ¥28.67 +3%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM $176.75 $225.34 +27%
Barrick Mining Corporation B $37.19 $70.51 +90%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp SII €93.84 €49.15 -48%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $91.85 $136.63 +49%
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV $208.46 $157.56 -24%
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $26.30 $51.44 +96%
Gold Fields Limited GFI $33.61 $59.06 +76%
Zijin Gold International Company 2259 HK$94.30 HK$83.81 -11%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Pan African Resources PLC (PAFRY) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $20.95 versus a price of $25.53, about −18% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of PAFRY?
Our model-based fair value for Pan African Resources PLC is $20.95 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $25.53.
What is the quality score of PAFRY?
Pan African Resources PLC has a Quality Score of 54/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Pan African Resources PLC (PAFRY)?
Pan African Resources PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $838M (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PAFRY?
The net profit margin of Pan African Resources PLC is about 28.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 28.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Pan African Resources PLC pay a dividend?
Pan African Resources PLC currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.47% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.