Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS (PAMEL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 30.70 TRY – 397.60 TRY · fair‑value band 9.14 TRY – 21.69 TRY · the 67.80 TRY price screens above the 13.69 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Pamukova Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim A.S., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the renewable energy business in Turkey. It operates 2 hydroelectric power plants with an installed power of 6,946 MW and 7.49 MW. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Istanbul, Turkey. Pamukova Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim A.S.
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Pamukova Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim A.S., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the renewable energy business in Turkey. It operates 2 hydroelectric power plants with an installed power of 6,946 MW and 7.49 MW. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Istanbul, Turkey. Pamukova Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim A.S. is a subsidiary of Pamukova Elektrik Uretim A.S.
Stock analysis
Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS (PAMEL) currently trades at 67.80 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 13.69 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 395.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 40.06 TRY per share, and 0 of the 13 models we run sit above the 67.80 TRY price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 13.03 TRY, and 13 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 9.14 TRY (bear) to 21.69 TRY (bull), the price of 67.80 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS reported revenue of 79.5M TRY in FY2025 versus 9.2M TRY in FY2021, a compound +71.4%/yr. Reported net income was −290M TRY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.4B TRY (≈ $49.8M) · P/S ratio 33.1 · EPS (TTM) −13.62 TRY · Return on equity −55.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.6% · Operating margin −253% · Revenue (TTM) 73.1M TRY · Revenue growth (YoY) −36.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −80%, PAMEL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 9.14 TRYFair Value 13.69 TRYBull 21.69 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.61/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+45.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+59.7%
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+56.3%
’18
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
42.7% (2019) → 107.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+47.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 210 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Above median
Fair Value upside−73% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−36% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.07× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.69× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF2.1× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA1.8× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 17
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 12
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 68
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 48
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PAMEL
Frequently asked questions
Is Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS (PAMEL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 13.69 TRY versus a price of 67.80 TRY, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PAMEL?
Our model-based fair value for Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS is 13.69 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 67.80 TRY.
What is the quality score of PAMEL?
Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS (PAMEL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 13.69 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 9.14 TRY, optimistic scenario 21.69 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 13.69 TRY, about −80% upside versus a price of 67.80 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 9.14 TRY, optimistic scenario 21.69 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS (PAMEL)?
Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 73.1M TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS (PAMEL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS would have to grow free cash flow by +47.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +59.8 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PAMEL use?
Our models discount Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS at 12.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.16, country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS that is +47.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS (PAMEL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS grew +59.8 % a year. The price currently implies +47.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS (PAMEL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS (+47.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS (PAMEL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.14 %: that much free cash flow Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS (PAMEL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS it is 13.69 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 67.80 TRY. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, PAMEL trades above its calculated fair value: price 67.80 TRY, fair value 13.69 TRY, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PAMEL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (67.80 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (13.69 TRY). For Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS the two are 54.11 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS worth?
The market values Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS at about 2.4B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 67.80 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 13.69 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PAMEL?
Our models span a range for Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS: cautious scenario 9.14 TRY, base 13.69 TRY, optimistic 21.69 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 67.80 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS (PAMEL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −55.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PAMEL from its 52-week high?
Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS trades at 67.80 TRY, about 51% below its 52-week high of 138.60 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 13.69 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Adani Green Energy Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 67.80 TRY, calculated fair value 13.69 TRY (−80%), Quality Score 50/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PAMEL calculated?
We run Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 13.69 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS (PAMEL)?
The closing price on Sep 14, 2026 was 67.80 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 13.69 TRY, about −80% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (21.69 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (9.14 TRY to 21.69 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS
How large is the market capitalisation of Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS (PAMEL)?
The market capitalisation of Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS is 2.4B TRY (≈ $49.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS (PAMEL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS is 33.1 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS (PAMEL)?
Earnings per share at Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS are −13.62 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS (PAMEL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS is −55.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS (PAMEL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS is 8.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS (PAMEL)?
The operating margin of Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS is −253% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS (PAMEL)?
Revenue at Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS is growing −36.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +45.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS (PAMEL)?
Earnings per share at Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS are growing +156% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS (PAMEL) carry?
The net debt of Pamel Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim AS is 3.6M TRY (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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