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Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd (PANL) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $483M

PL Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd logo Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd PANL · US
Price$7.42
Fair Value$4.89
Upside-34.1%
Quality40/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 5.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.68% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 28/100
Evidence: Medium Range $3.21 – $6.60 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price +7.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 34% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($6.60). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range ($3.21 to $6.60) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$9.29 $2.71 Fair Value $4.89 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.71 – $9.29 · fair‑value band $3.21 – $6.60 · the $7.42 price screens above the $4.89 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd (PANL) currently trades at $7.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.89, implying the stock looks roughly 34.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd generated revenue of $680M at a net margin of 5.1%. Revenue grew 38.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.6%. Net debt stands at $269M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.21 (bear case) to $6.60 (bull case); at $7.42, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 71% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 67% fair-value upside, at -34%, PANL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $7.09 $10.07 $13.89 80
Residual Income $4.73 $4.71 $4.17 76
Rev-Margin DCF $5.90 $9.11 $12.94 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $7.09 $10.59 $15.44 38
Owner Earnings $8.29 $12.40 $18.08 31
5Y Revenue Exit $5.90 $9.08 $13.12 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $9.32 $15.65 $23.16 41
5Y P/E Exit $5.36 $8.05 $10.87 38
10Y Revenue Exit $6.16 $9.05 $12.95 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $8.32 $13.28 $20.12 37
10Y P/E Exit $5.98 $8.39 $11.34 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.01 $7.08 $9.52 54
Lynch FV $1.65 $2.36 $3.07 50
PEG = 1.0 $1.65 $2.36 $3.07 46
EPV $4.27 $4.84 $5.31 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.94 $3.49 $4.80 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.94 $3.18 $3.73 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $4.66 $6.22 $7.77 63
P/S Multiple $3.78 $5.03 $6.29 58
P/B Multiple $3.78 $5.03 $6.29 55
EV/EBIT $7.49 $9.95 $12.42 53
EV/EBITDA $12.08 $16.07 $20.07 54
EV/Revenue $5.37 $7.63 $9.89 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.28 $4.40 $6.56 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $7.09 $10.07 $13.89 80
Rev-Margin DCF $5.90 $9.11 $12.94 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $4.73 $4.71 $4.17 76
ROIC Compounder $4.27 $4.84 $5.31 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $4.03 $5.75 $7.48 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($9.11) versus Earnings-Based ($2.36). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $680M
Revenue growth (YoY) +38.9%
Net margin 5.1%
Return on equity 7.6%
Free cash flow $47.2M FY2025
P/E ratio 13.7
More key figures
Operating margin 6.4%
EPS (TTM) $0.5400
Dividend yield 2.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +1.0%
Net debt $269M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 69
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides seaborne dry bulk logistics and transportation services to industrial customers worldwide.

Full company description

Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides seaborne dry bulk logistics and transportation services to industrial customers worldwide. It offers transportation services for various dry bulk cargoes, such as grains, coal, iron ore, pig iron, hot briquetted iron, bauxite, alumina, cement clinker, dolomite, and limestone; and terminal and stevedoring services. The company also provides cargo loading, cargo discharge, port and terminal operations, vessel chartering, voyage planning, and technical vessel management. It owns and operates a fleet of 7 vessels. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Newport, Rhode Island.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd reported revenue of $632M in FY2025 versus $718M in FY2021, a compound −3.1%/yr. Reported net income was $19.4M in FY2025, compounding −26.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 77/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$632M
Latest YoY
+17.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−3.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+10.5%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+18.1%
Revenue −3.1%/yr
FY21 $718M
FY22 $700M
FY23 $499M
FY24 $537M
FY25 $632M
Net income −26.7%/yr
FY21 $67.2M
FY22 $79.5M
FY23 $26.3M
FY24 $28.9M
FY25 $19.4M

PANL screens 34% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PANL

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 231 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −34% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth 39% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.23× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.12× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.71× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 10.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 29
FUTURE 100 · sector 18
PAST 30 · sector 27
HEALTH 89 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 54 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,828 ₹1,041 -43%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 16,520 kr 3,033 -82%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥13.98 ¥40.37 +189%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.17 ¥6.57 +27%
HMM Co 011200 20,050 KRW 33,855 KRW +69%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.35 ¥5.58 +67%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥8.88 ¥15.97 +80%
JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA ₹330.05 ₹126.31 -62%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 80.70 TWD 212.79 TWD +164%
Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI kr 137.70 kr 50.56 -63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd (PANL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.89 versus a price of $7.42, about −34% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PANL?
Our model-based fair value for Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd is $4.89 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $7.42.
What is the quality score of PANL?
Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd (PANL)?
Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $680M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PANL?
The net profit margin of Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd is about 5.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd pay a dividend?
Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.68% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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