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Paymentus Holdings (PAY) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $3.7B

PH Paymentus Holdings logo Paymentus Holdings PAY · US
Price$38.57
Fair Value$6.73
Upside-82.6%
Quality70/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 5.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: High Range $5.04 – $8.41 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $13.83 to $6.73 (−51.3%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +37.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 83% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($8.41). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$44.60 $7.00 Fair Value $6.73 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.00 – $44.60 · fair‑value band $5.04 – $8.41 · the $38.57 price screens above the $6.73 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Paymentus Holdings (PAY) currently trades at $38.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.73, implying the stock looks roughly 82.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Paymentus Holdings generated revenue of $1.3B at a net margin of 5.8%. Revenue grew 30.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $313M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $5.04 (bear case) to $8.41 (bull case); at $38.57, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 88% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -83%, PAY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $37.69 $63.35 $106.37 80
Residual Income $8.11 $9.44 $17.95 76
Rev-Margin DCF $23.26 $34.08 $48.70 74
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $27.26 $46.83 $81.45 31
5Y P/E Exit $22.42 $32.26 $43.39 38
10Y P/E Exit $27.55 $38.63 $54.07 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $7.23 $38.35 $53.11 54
Lynch FV $10.56 $15.09 $19.62 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple $10.37 $13.83 $17.28 63
P/B Multiple $9.35 $12.47 $15.58 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.45 $5.97 $8.90 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $37.69 $63.35 $106.37 80
Rev-Margin DCF $23.26 $34.08 $48.70 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $8.11 $9.44 $17.95 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($38.63) versus Asset-Based ($5.97). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +30.2%
Net margin 5.8%
Return on equity 13.7%
Free cash flow $162M FY2025
P/E ratio 37.0
More key figures
Operating margin 7.4%
EPS (TTM) $0.5700
EPS growth (YoY) +45.5%
Net cash $313M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 65
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 79
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 19
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 76
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 82
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 65
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Paymentus Holdings, Inc. provides cloud-based bill payment technology and solutions in the United States and internationally. The company offers electronic bill presentment and payment services, enterprise customer communication, and self-service revenue management to billers through a software-as-a-service, secure, and omni channel technology platform.

Full company description

Paymentus Holdings, Inc. provides cloud-based bill payment technology and solutions in the United States and internationally. The company offers electronic bill presentment and payment services, enterprise customer communication, and self-service revenue management to billers through a software-as-a-service, secure, and omni channel technology platform. Its platform's payment processing includes credit cards, debit cards, echecks, and digital wallets. The company serves utility, financial services, insurance, telecommunication, real estate management, education, consumer finance, healthcare, and business to business industries, as well as governments and small businesses. Paymentus Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Paymentus Holdings reported revenue of $1.2B in FY2025 versus $396M in FY2021, a compound +31.9%/yr. Reported net income was $66.9M in FY2025, compounding +63.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.2B
Latest YoY
+37.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+34.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+31.7%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y)
+5.3%
Revenue +31.9%/yr
FY21 $396M
FY22 $497M
FY23 $614M
FY24 $872M
FY25 $1.2B
Net income +63.8%/yr
FY21 $9.3M
FY22 −$513K
FY23 $22.3M
FY24 $44.2M
FY25 $66.9M

PAY screens 83% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Paymentus Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PAY

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Software - Infrastructure · 368 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −83% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Above median
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 30% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 52.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 6.68× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.93× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 23.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 36.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 46
PAST 55 · sector 15
HEALTH 100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $384.00 $274.17 -29%
Oracle Corporation ORAC C$9.08 C$2.94 -68%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $160.78 $44.96 -72%
Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS €354.50 €93.61 -74%
Block, Inc XYZ A$114.53 A$70.69 -38%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $79.94 $44.89 -44%
Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 ¥71.60 ¥34.00 -53%
Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS ₹11,651 ₹5,821 -50%
360 Security Technology Inc 601360 ¥9.64 ¥5.05 -48%
One97 Communications Limited PAYTM ₹1,342 ₹181.50 -86%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Paymentus Holdings (PAY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.73 versus a price of $38.57, about −83% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PAY?
Our model-based fair value for Paymentus Holdings is $6.73 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $38.57.
What is the quality score of PAY?
Paymentus Holdings has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Paymentus Holdings (PAY)?
Paymentus Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.3B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PAY?
The net profit margin of Paymentus Holdings is about 5.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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