Deutsche Pfandbriefbank AG (PBB) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · DE · Market cap €466M
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Share price +1.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 40% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€2.90). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (€1.16 to €2.90) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €2.76 – €8.22 · fair‑value band €1.16 – €2.90 · the €3.51 price screens above the €2.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Deutsche Pfandbriefbank AG (PBB) currently trades at €3.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.10, implying the stock looks roughly 40.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at €12.0M. Revenue declined 41.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.7%. Net debt stands at €17.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €1.16 (bear case) to €2.90 (bull case); at €3.51, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -40%, PBB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (€13.98) versus Dividend Discount (€1.90). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Deutsche Pfandbriefbank AG provides commercial real estate and public investment finance. It operates through Real Estate Finance and Non-Core segments.
Full company description
Deutsche Pfandbriefbank AG provides commercial real estate and public investment finance. It operates through Real Estate Finance and Non-Core segments. The Real Estate Finance segment provides financing for professional property investors, which includes national and international property companies, institutional investors, property funds, and medium-sized companies, as well as regionally oriented customers to finance properties comprising office buildings, residential properties, retail and logistics properties, and business hotels. The Non-Core segment offers financing eligible for Pfandbrief cover for the provision and improvement of public infrastructure and non-earmarked financing to the public sector. It operates in Germany, France, Austria, the United States, Poland, Other Europe, the United Kingdom, Spain, Sweden, Finland, Italy, Czech Republic, Portugal, Hungary, and internationally. Deutsche Pfandbriefbank AG was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Garching bei Munchen, Germany.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Deutsche Pfandbriefbank AG reported revenue of €2.3B in FY2025 versus €1.6B in FY2021, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was −€284M in FY2025.
of which total revenue −3.0 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
PBB screens 40% overvalued. Compare with Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation →
Peer Group
Mortgage Finance · 90 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Mortgage Finance median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Mortgage Finance stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation FMCCT | $13.90 | $27.80 | +100% |
| Rocket Companies, Inc RKT | $14.60 | $10.95 | -25% |
| Federal National Mortgage Association FNMAS | $9.55 | $1.93 | -80% |
| Bajaj Housing Finance Limited BAJAJHFL | ₹85.07 | ₹39.96 | -53% |
| PennyMac Financial Services, Inc PFSI | $82.35 | $125.45 | +52% |
| UWM Holdings UWMC | $2.02 | $0.2200 | -89% |
| LIC Housing Finance Limited LICHSGFIN | ₹505.00 | ₹1,010 | +100% |
| PNB Housing Finance Limited PNBHOUSING | ₹1,150 | ₹762.89 | -34% |
| Aadhar Housing Finance Limited AADHARHFC | ₹496.70 | ₹501.16 | +1% |
| Walker & Dunlop, Inc WD | $48.20 | $32.55 | -32% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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